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03-26

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3

Daisy Cutter: Pedroia Got His Thumb Back, But Don't Call it a Comeback
by
Sahadev Sharma

03-26

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3

Expert League Auction Recap: Tout Wars: General Impressions
by
Mike Gianella

03-26

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3

Spring Training Notebook: Grapefruit League
by
Jeff Moore and Chris King

03-26

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7

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, 2015
by
Mike Gianella

03-26

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6

The Quinton: Draft Setting and the Wisdom of our Competition
by
Jeff Quinton

03-26

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Endgame Picks
by
Nick Shlain

03-26

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10

Player Profile: Jedd Gyorko
by
Keith Cromer

03-26

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2

Every Team's Moneyball: Baltimore Orioles: Unearth
by
Jeff Long

03-26

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29

Some Projection Left: Top 50 Draft Prospects [With Aiken Update]
by
Christopher Crawford

03-26

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0

Every Team's Moneyball: Miami Marlins: Haste
by
Brendan Gawlowski

03-26

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6

Transaction Analysis: It's Olivera Now, Baby Blue
by
R.J. Anderson

03-25

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8

Rumor Roundup: The Diamondbacks' Shortstop Decision Will Affect 2B, 3B, and Perhaps All Three OF Positions
by
Daniel Rathman

03-25

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7

Tout Wars X
by
Bret Sayre

03-25

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4

Painting the Black: Getting Personal
by
R.J. Anderson

03-25

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2

Every Team's Moneyball: Milwaukee Brewers: Nay Handedness!
by
Matthew Trueblood

03-25

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10

The Lineup Card: Eight Spring Training Lines of Interest
by
Baseball Prospectus

03-25

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8

Baseball Therapy: On the High Five
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-25

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14

The Darkhorses: ERA and WHIP
by
BP Fantasy Staff

03-25

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0

Every Team's Moneyball: Cleveland Indians: Yay Handedness!
by
Nick Wheatley-Schaller

03-25

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7

Five to Watch: National League Position Battles
by
Wilson Karaman

03-25

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18

Moonshot: If We Can Land a Man on the Moon, Surely I Can Get Good Data
by
Robert Arthur

03-25

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10

Every Team's Moneyball: Seattle Mariners: Top of the (Free Agent) Market to You!
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-24

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9

Expert League Auction Recap: National League Tout Wars
by
Mike Gianella

03-24

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5

Every Team's Moneyball: Pittsburgh Pirates: MLB's Apple Watch
by
Jeff Moore

03-24

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13

Some Projection Left: Top Hit Tools
by
Christopher Crawford

03-24

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8

Spring Training Notebook: Cactus League
by
BP Prospect Staff

03-24

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2

Rumor Roundup: Olivera on the run/Driving in the sun/Looking out for Number 1
by
Chris Mosch

03-24

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4

Five to Watch: American League Position Battles
by
Nick Shlain

03-24

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2

Player Profile: Coco Crisp
by
Matt Collins

03-24

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Graduated Prospects, Part 2: 26-50
by
Ben Carsley

03-23

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1

Transaction Analysis: Good Eaton
by
R.J. Anderson

03-23

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0

The Week in Quotes: March 16-22, 2015
by
Chris Mosch

03-23

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73

Rubbing Mud: Kris Bryant and the CBA Fight Ahead
by
Matthew Trueblood

03-23

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6

Every Team's Moneyball: Washington Nationals: On a Draft High
by
Christopher Crawford

03-23

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19

The Darkhorses: Wins and Strikeouts
by
BP Fantasy Staff

03-23

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6

League Preview Series
by
Mark Anderson

03-23

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2

The Buyer's Guide: Kyle Hendricks
by
J.P. Breen

03-23

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4

Rumor Roundup: Chase Utley is 'Easily Attainable,' Though Probably Not By You
by
Chris Mosch

03-23

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6

Every Team's Moneyball: Detroit Tigers: Dealing Dombrowski
by
Nick Shlain

03-20

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2

Raising Aces: Auditing the Mechanics Report Card
by
Doug Thorburn

03-20

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9

Every Team's Moneyball: New York Yankees: Two Low-Budget(ish) Strategies
by
Jeff Quinton

03-20

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16

Rubbing Mud: The Reds Chose the Wrong Time to Move Cingrani
by
Matthew Trueblood

03-20

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1

Daisy Cutter: In Search of Jose Abreu's Weakness
by
Sahadev Sharma

03-20

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36

Fantasy Draft Rankings
by
Mike Gianella

03-20

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2

Spring Training Notebook: Cactus League
by
BP Prospect Staff

03-20

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14

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Graduated Prospects, Part 1: 1-25
by
Ben Carsley

03-20

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2

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: American League Players to Monitor
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

03-20

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3

Rumor Roundup: Aaron-Starting Era Starting
by
Chris Mosch

03-20

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7

Every Team's Moneyball: New York Mets: You Will Always Have Enough Pitching Injuries
by
Will Woods

03-20

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5

Transaction Analysis: Marlins, and Yelich, Commit
by
R.J. Anderson

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There's more to Pedroia's sinking power than thumb injuries.

The simplest explanation is usually the right one. We hear this saying all the time. Ironically enough, it’s derived from a more complicated principle—Occam’s Razor—but it’s easier for us all to just use that watered-down version. Here’s the thing: I’m not a fan of that type of mindset. Sure, the simplest explanation might be a part of the answer, but in all likelihood, it’s much more layered than one reason. This is especially the case when analyzing baseball.

While I try to avoid leaning on the obvious answer, even I have my pitfalls. The biggest would be when I see power numbers are down for a particular player. Immediately, I’ll go check said player’s injury history, searching for wrist, thumb, or hand issues (which are widely believed to sap a player’s power) and if I find what I’m looking for, I’ll stop digging for other reasons. And this is where I recently made a mistake.

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March 26, 2015 6:00 am

Expert League Auction Recap: Tout Wars: General Impressions

3

Mike Gianella

Mike compares the AL and NL LABR and Tout Wars auctions.

On Tuesday, I wrote about how I did in my NL-only Tout Wars auction. Today, I will take a broader look at what happened in both of the mono leagues.

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Notes from Arizona on Wilmer Difo, Anthony Alford, and more.

Throughout March, the BP Prospect Team is invading both Arizona and Florida to get some fresh looks at players as they prepare for their 2015 assignments. Between now and the start of the minor league season, they’ll be providing updates (and videos) on the prospects you know and love—and quite a few that you may not.

Read the full article...

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March 26, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, 2015

7

Mike Gianella

Mike updates his recommended bid limits based on the latest news.

The third update of my fantasy auction values brings another set of dollar values to look at, this time from the expert Tout Wars auctions, which were held this past weekend in New York City. Having a troika of expert auctions to look at gives us even more expert opinions to look at, and gives me yet another opportunity to move my prices up or down based on events at the auctions.

This isn’t the only reason I move my prices up or down, of course. Breaking news can also influence my bid limits for better or worse. This isn’t an exercise in being reactive to every little tidbit of news coming out of Florida or Arizona but rather an opportunity to adjust prices based on larger scale news.

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March 26, 2015 6:00 am

The Quinton: Draft Setting and the Wisdom of our Competition

6

Jeff Quinton

How being conscious of others' opinions can impact what you do on draft day.

In scouring the strategy and decision-making side of fantasy baseball for potential areas of improvement, we have now arrived in the land of draft setting. In making this definition up in order to fit the points I am trying to make in the rest of the article, we can break draft setting into two parts: draft medium (in-person or online) and competition (familiars or strangers). The draft setting matters, particularly how we view and know our competition, because the way in which we perceive our decisions will be perceived by others will often influence the decisions we make. As we have mentioned about other decisions, these factors should not matter when we make decisions in an auction or draft, but, alas, they do.

This is not something that only happens to your average fantasy baseball participant, such as me, this is something that happens to the experts too. In discussing the results of his NL Tout auction, Mike Gianella messaged me the following:

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March 26, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Endgame Picks

4

Nick Shlain

A few possible bargains with which to round out your auctions.

Much of my writing for Baseball Prospectus so far has been about AL-only deep league targets, but even though the following players each reside in the AL, for the purposes of this article these recommendations are intended to be for the endgame in mixed leagues.

Daniel NorrisToronto Blue Jays

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March 26, 2015 6:00 am

Player Profile: Jedd Gyorko

10

Keith Cromer

Can the power-hitting second sacker rediscover his 2013 form?

Player Background

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How the Orioles excel at picking up players from the discard pile who immediately produce.

Every day until Opening Day, Baseball Prospectus authors will preview two teams—one from the AL, one from the NL—identifying strategies those teams employ to gain an advantage. Today: how production comes from unexpected places for the Orioles and Marlins.

Week 1 previews: Giants | Royals | Dodgers | Rays | Padres | Astros | Rockies | Athletics | Yankees | Mets

Read the full article...

A first look at the top 50 names to keep an eye on for this June's amateur draft.

To put it bluntly, this is not a very strong draft class, at least not on paper. The same problems that have plagued the last few classes—such as the lack of quality collegiate bats and depth up the middle—are here. But compounding the issues is that there isn’t the glut of prep pitching prospects that we’ve had in the previous editions of this decade, and there are a plethora of injury question marks here, particularly with the college arms.

With all of that being said, the barrel isn’t empty, and there is some upper-echelon talent to be found here, particularly in the southern part of the country. Despite the injury concerns college pitching—again—dominates the top of the class, and there are some prep bats here that have a chance to be all-stars if everything breaks right. Even the weakest class will give your team a chance to substantially improve its system, and 2015 isn’t an exception.

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How the Marlins aggressively promote prospects who have minimal minor-league experience.

Every day until Opening Day, Baseball Prospectus authors will preview two teams—one from the AL, one from the NL—identifying strategies those teams employ to gain an advantage. Today: how production comes from unexpected places for the Orioles and Marlins.

Week 1 previews: Giants | Royals | Dodgers | Rays | Padres | Astros | Rockies | Athletics | Yankees | Mets

Read the full article...

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March 26, 2015 12:01 am

Transaction Analysis: It's Olivera Now, Baby Blue

6

R.J. Anderson

The Dodgers get the last big name on the free agent market, Cuban infielder Hector Olivera. Meanwhile, Brian Dozer gets certainty, while Jhoulys Chacin gets freedom, of a sort.

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Nick Ahmed might win the starting shortstop job, which had implications on the rest of the roster; while the Indians and Corey Kluber aren't even close on a contract extension.

Diamondbacks infield arrangement still in flux
A Monday morning report from Peter Gammons, which indicated that Nick Ahmed had gone from darkhorse to favorite in the battle to be the Diamondbacks’ Opening Day shortstop, set off a chain of speculation about the rest of the team’s infield plans. But hours later, first-year manager Chip Hale had a message for everyone eager to etch the club’s depth chart in stone: Hold your horses.


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