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08-29

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The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, Aug. 29
by
Matt Sussman

08-29

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2

Prospectus Feature: Baseball Player Human
by
Trevor Strunk

08-29

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What You Need to Know: Everything Is Gary Sanchez
by
Ashley Varela

08-29

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1

The Buyer's Guide: Hernan Perez and Friends
by
J.P. Breen

08-29

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5

Prospectus Q&A: Rusty Kuntz
by
Tim Britton

08-29

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Prospectus Feature: Coleman/Hamilton, Part 2: Why We’re Missing Out On It
by
Rob Mains

08-29

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Monday Morning Ten Pack: August 29, 2016
by
BP Prospect Staff

08-29

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3

Transaction Analysis: Heart, Soul, and Marginal Upgrades
by
Bryan Grosnick and Wilson Karaman

08-29

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Deep League Report: Week 22
by
Scooter Hotz

08-29

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2

Minor League Update: Games of August 26-28
by
Christopher Crawford

08-28

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BP Milwaukee
by
Seth Victor

08-28

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Prospect Profile: James Reeves
by
Jessica Quiroli

08-28

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Raising Aces: Bundy's Travels
by
Doug Thorburn

08-27

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BP Toronto
by
Joshua Howsam

08-27

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BP Mets
by
Jarrett Seidler

08-26

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The Call-Up: Jorge Alfaro
by
Jarrett Seidler and J.P. Breen

08-26

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2

The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, August 26
by
Matthew Kory

08-26

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Fantasy Freestyle: DRA Do-Gooders
by
Wilson Karaman

08-26

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Weekly Wrap: August 26, 2016
by
Will Haines

08-26

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1

What You Need to Know: Nope, Hit
by
Nicolas Stellini

08-26

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1

Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 25th
by
Mark Anderson

08-26

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15

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 21
by
Scooter Hotz

08-26

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6

Prospectus Feature: Coleman/Hamilton, Pt. 1: What We're Missing Out On
by
Rob Mains

08-26

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7

Pebble Hunting: A Sense Of Where You Are
by
Sam Miller

08-25

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3

Dynasty Dynamics: What the Hell Is Happening: AL Edition
by
Ben Carsley

08-25

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7

Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 24th
by
Christopher Crawford

08-25

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Eyewitness Accounts: August 25, 2016
by
BP Prospect Staff

08-25

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1

Pitching Backward: Zach With No K
by
Jeff Long

08-25

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6

What You Need to Know: Beltway Goes Balt's Way
by
Demetrius Bell

08-25

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3

Banjo Hitter: Baseball's Unlikeliest Slugger?
by
Aaron Gleeman

08-24

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1

Transaction Analysis: Go-Go Goes to Texas
by
Bryan Grosnick

08-24

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Rubbing Mud: Alex Reyes, Game-Changer
by
Matthew Trueblood

08-24

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1

What You Need to Know: Gsellman Is Just In Time
by
Emma Baccellieri

08-24

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0

Two-Strike Approach: Verlander's Third Act
by
Cat Garcia

08-24

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Outta Left Field: 1 Percent Playoff Odds, 110 Percent Effort
by
Dustin Palmateer

08-24

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6

Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 23rd
by
Wilson Karaman

08-23

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5

What You Need to Know: Homer Story
by
Daniel Rathman

08-23

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2

Baseball Therapy: If I Had A Million Dollars
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-23

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0

Prospect House: Risky Business
by
Mauricio Rubio

08-23

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6

The Buyer's Guide: Keon Broxton
by
J.P. Breen

08-23

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4

Notes from the Field: August 23, 2016
by
BP Prospect Staff

08-23

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Closer Report: Week 21
by
Matt Collins

08-23

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6

Rubbing Mud: Should Probably Trade Cespedes
by
Matthew Trueblood

08-23

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5

Cold Takes: Introducing The Dubuque Plan
by
Patrick Dubuque

08-23

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1

Minor League Update: Games of Monday, August 22nd
by
Mark Anderson

08-23

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Expert FAAB Review: Week 21
by
Mike Gianella

08-23

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1

The Call-Up: Robert Gsellman
by
Jeffrey Paternostro and Mike Gianella

08-22

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BP Kansas City
by
Craig Brown

08-22

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1

The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, Aug. 22
by
Matt Sussman

08-22

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9

Prospectus Feature: Something Not Worth Forfeiting
by
Henry Druschel

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Guaranteed gold.

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On the ongoing Tommy La Stella story.

If you’ve read any of my columns thus far, you probably could see this one coming. Tommy La Stella, erstwhile OBP machine second-base fantasy sleeper for the Atlanta Braves and current Iowa Cub, has been one of the most fascinating baseball stories this year—well, at least for someone like me who likes to think about labor and contracts and the ugly side of baseball.

The short version is that La Stella, despite putting together a pretty solid year as a utility/spot start guy, got sent down to the minors after the Cubs acquired Once, Future, Past, and Present Cub Chris Coghlan. Understandably frustrated, La Stella made the unexpected move to, well, not report. He did not show up in Des Moines and held out in his home of New Jersey. Held out might be the wrong word here, as La Stella does not have the leverage that an NFL player like Joey Bosa does in his current holdout or like a young top draft pick like Jacob Groome did in this year’s Rule 4 draft. La Stella didn’t make any dramatic demands or pleas of unfairness; he just decided to take some time to think about what he wanted from his future.

Unsurprisingly, the minds at Baseball Prospectus Wrigleyville have had some wonderful takes on the situation. Twitter pal and good writer Tom Hitchner produced a piece near and dear to my heart that tied film analysis to the La Stella situation in an effort to talk about anticlimax in baseball. And Ken Schultz put together a lovely piece explaining the ways in which La Stella’s holdout was not what it might seem, and that a young player might actually deserve time to get his head together.

And it’s times like this that I’m grateful to my colleagues for being such good people. Baseball Prospectus, despite its beep bop boop computers reputation, gets that people, who are sometimes flawed and complex, play the game. In the mainstream press, La Stella has not fared so well. Most notorious is the piece that Schultz critiques in his BP Wrigleyville essay, a fairly brutal polemic against La Stella by Paul Sullivan of the Chicago Tribune.

I don’t want to give my editors conniptions by spending an entire article getting furious at another reporter, so let me give the very quick blow-by-blow of what I find problematic about Sullivan’s piece. First he opens with a fairly hamfisted Carlos Zambrano comparison that smacks of typical Anti-Latino sentiment in major-league baseball writing. Second, the piece refuses to believe La Stella’s own explanation of his behavior, casting not-so-subtle aspersions on his claim that his refusal to report to Iowa was not about being demoted. But third, and worst of all to this leftist’s mind, he sides with management. A longish quote:

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Gary Sanchez sets a new home run record, Luke Weaver dazzles in his home debut, and more from the weekend’s action.

The Weekend Takeaway
If you thought Trevor Story’s record-breaking April was the only time we’d see a rookie rake in his major-league debut season, you need to meet Gary Sanchez. It isn’t just that the 23-year-old catcher is cultivating a .400/.467/.900 batting line, or that he became the first rookie to hit 11 home runs in his first 23 games with this blast off of a Dylan Bundy heater,


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August 29, 2016 6:00 am

The Buyer's Guide: Hernan Perez and Friends

1

J.P. Breen

A look at whether four players with big-time helium can keep on soaring, or if they're balloons waiting to pop.

Normally, in this space, I explore one hitter or one pitcher in a more longform fashion. This week, though, I wanted to profile four specific players who have gotten a lot of helium in the second half. I’ll present my thoughts on each player and offer a buy/hold/sell recommendation on each, per usual.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

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Baseball's most prepared first-base coach talks about the details that can change a scouting report, and ignoring the sheet of paper that comes from upstairs.

Few men embody the ethos of the defending champion Kansas City Royals better than first-base coach Rusty Kuntz. The long-time coach is the maestro behind Kansas City's running game and its outfield defense—previously overlooked qualities that have helped propel the Royals to consecutive pennants and a World Series title.

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Baseball's move beyond seat-of-your-pants, gut-feel baserunning is good for winning and good for Vince Coleman's records.

In this article, I talked about Vince Coleman who stole 326 bases in his first three years in the majors, eclipsing 100 every season, and opined that Billy Hamilton is a similarly devastating basestealer in a more boring era. I calculated that if Hamilton had been used in 2014-2016 the way Coleman was in 1985-1987, he’d have 244 stolen bases since the start of 2014 rather than his present 166. That breaks down to 87 in 2014, 89 in 2015, and 68 so far in 2016. We’d be talking about one of the greatest basestealers in baseball history rather than a guy who’s just really fast. Why aren’t we? Why aren’t the Reds deploying Hamilton the way the Cardinals deployed Coleman three decades ago?

Well, it’s not the Reds. It’s baseball.

It’s not just that Hamilton gets (justifiably) marked down for his low OBP (.296 so far in his career, .294 since 2014) in a way Coleman never did. Here’s a chart of stolen base attempts per team per year from 1951 to 2016. I’ve normalized all the figures to assume a 162-game season, to put the pre-expansion 154-game seasons, the strike years, and the ongoing 2016 season on equal footing.

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August 29, 2016 6:00 am

Monday Morning Ten Pack: August 29, 2016

1

BP Prospect Staff

Notes on Matt Manning, Stephen Gonsalves, Cody Ponce, and more.

Stephen Gonsalves, LHP, Minnesota Twins (Double-A Chattanooga)
Gonsalves has been putting up impressive numbers throughout his minor-league career, and that hasn’t changed in the Double-A jump this year. Does the stuff match the minor-league production? Somewhat. Most importantly, it’s enough to project a serviceable major-league starter.


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Chooch is switching coasts, Desmond Jennings is moving on, David Freese is staying put, and Scrabble goes to Washington.

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August 29, 2016 6:00 am

Deep League Report: Week 22

1

Scooter Hotz

Examining players who might pique your interest in deeper formats.

Most of the players in this week’s Deep League Report are worth single-digit FAAB bids, and some of them are barely worth that. One guy, though, is worth most if not all of your remaining budget. Can’t stand the suspense? Start reading.

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August 29, 2016 6:00 am

Minor League Update: Games of August 26-28

2

Christopher Crawford

Notes on prospects who stood out over the weekend, including Jose De Leon, Jeimer Candelario, Nick Torres, and Carson Fulmer.

Prospect of the Weekend:

Jose De Leon, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Triple-A Oklahoma City): 7.2 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 13 K
On July 25th, De Leon gave up seven runs on eight hits while getting four outs. Since that start, De Leon has given up six runs in 41 innings. In his last three starts, he’s struck out 33 hitters in 21 innings while allowing just four runs. Long story shorter, Jose De Leon is on fire, and by all accounts, he’s ready to pitch for the Dodgers.


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August 28, 2016 1:01 pm

BP Milwaukee

0

Seth Victor

Jonathan Villar has 50 stolen bases and has been worth negative runs on the bases. Lol.

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How a lesser known Yankees prospect is helping himself stand out.

James Reeves stepped on the field in Tampa to accept an honor from his current team, the Tampa Yankees. Reeves was named Pitcher of the Month, just a week after holding down the Florida State League honor for Pitcher of the Week.

The day the lefty received the monthly award, he was preparing to take the mound for his 12th start of the 2016. He was upbeat and humorous in the early part of the day, but, later, as the game got closer, he was quieter, an unwavering focus showed on his face as he walked toward his locker. That mix of concentration and lightheartedness has served him well. In June, the Yankees switched the script and decided to make Reeves a full-time starter.

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