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09-19

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BP Bronx
by
Martin Nolan

09-19

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3

What You Need to Know: A Tale of Two Teams in One City
by
Stacey Gotsulias

09-19

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1

Rubbing Mud: The Sinker Doesn't Play Well With Others
by
Matthew Trueblood

09-19

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3

Baseball Therapy: Confessions of a Fake Manager: April
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-19

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BP En Espanol: Tuneles y secuencias: aplicaciones en el campo
by
Kate Morrison and Jeff Long

09-19

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4

Short Relief: A Long September
by
Kate Preusser and Trevor Strunk

09-19

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Expert FAAB Review: Week 25
by
Mike Gianella

09-19

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27

Baseball Prospectus News: Subscription Price Change
by
BP Staff

09-18

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Closer Report: Week 25
by
Matt Collins

09-18

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1

What You Need to Know: Sometimes You Win, Sometimes You Lose (Sometimes You Win Again)
by
Ashley Varela

09-18

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Prospectus Feature: Tunnels and Sequencing: Applications on the Field
by
Kate Morrison and Jeff Long

09-18

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2

Short Relief: The Cracks in Our Stars
by
Holly Wendt, Meg Rowley and James Fegan

09-18

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8

Flu-Like Symptoms: Walk-Off Winners
by
Rob Mains

09-18

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Minor League Update: Games of September 15th-17th
by
Mark Anderson

09-18

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3

Monday Morning Ten Pack: 2018 Breakout Candidates
by
BP Prospect Staff

09-15

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1

Players Prefer Presentation: An Informed State of Joy
by
Meg Rowley

09-15

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4

BP En Espanol: Una Oportunidad
by
Jarrett Seidler

09-15

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What You Need to Know: All Of This Winning, I've Been Losing My Mind
by
Demetrius Bell

09-15

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1

Rubbing Mud: The Arrival of Kyle Gibson
by
Matthew Trueblood

09-15

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Circle Change: Bringing Mookie Betts Back to Earth
by
Zach Crizer

09-15

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1

Guarding The Lines: One Shot
by
Jarrett Seidler

09-15

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9

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 24
by
Mark Barry

09-15

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Free Agent Watch: Week 24
by
George Bissell and Mark Barry

09-15

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1

Short Relief: Introducing Dodgers X
by
Matt Sussman, Kate Morrison and Mary Craig

09-15

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: The Other Out-of-Nowhere Power-Hitting Rookie
by
Matt Collins

09-15

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1

Minor League Update: Games of September 14
by
Steve Givarz

09-14

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The Prospectus Hit List: September 14, 2017
by
Ben Carsley

09-14

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BP En Espanol: El camino dificil a los 100
by
Aaron Gleeman

09-14

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What You Need to Know: Streak of all Streaks
by
Ben Diamond

09-14

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12

Flu-Like Symptoms: One Entire Season of Baseball From the 1960s (Part 4)
by
Rob Mains

09-14

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1

Transaction Analysis: The Slow Death of Hope
by
Bryan Grosnick

09-14

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5

Eyewitness Accounts: September 14, 2017
by
BP Prospect Staff

09-14

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Minor League Update: Games of September 13th
by
Mark Anderson

09-14

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0

Short Relief: The Man Who Shouldn't Have Been There
by
Rachael McDaniel and Zack Moser

09-14

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3

Banjo Hitter: 100 The Hard Way
by
Aaron Gleeman

09-13

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BP En Espanol: La ultima noche de la dinastia de los Tigers que nunca fue
by
Ben Carsley

09-13

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2

What You Need to Know: Twenty!
by
Nicolas Stellini

09-13

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0

The Call-Up: Willie Calhoun
by
JH Schroeder

09-13

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5

Let It Eat: The Last Night of the Tigers Dynasty That Wasn't
by
Ben Carsley

09-13

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8

Flu-Like Symptoms: One Entire Season of Baseball From the 1960s (Part 3)
by
Rob Mains

09-13

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4

Baseball Therapy: Confessions of a Fake Manager: The Set Up
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-13

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0

Short Relief: Ourselves, in Cheap Resin
by
Nathan Bishop, Matt Ellis and Jason Wojciechowski

09-13

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4

Deep League Report: Week 24
by
Scooter Hotz

09-13

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0

Minor League Update: Games of September 12th
by
Wilson Karaman

09-12

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0

BP En Espanol: Analisis del experto en FAAB
by
Mike Gianella

09-12

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5

What You Need to Know: Hey Nineteen
by
Stacey Gotsulias

09-12

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Minor League Update: Games of September 11
by
Wilson Karaman

09-12

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1

Rubbing Mud: Carl Edwards Jr.'s Filthy Fast Thing
by
Matthew Trueblood

09-12

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Notes from the Field: September 12, 2017
by
Wilson Karaman and Nathan Graham

09-12

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Prospectus Roundtable: Wild Card X-Factors
by
BP Staff

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September 19, 2017 9:22 am

BP Bronx

0

Martin Nolan

Midseason trades can be tricky devils.

Paste post text here

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It was the best of times, it was the worst of times.

The Monday Takeaway

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Alternative ideas about the disappearance of the sinker.

Earlier this month, Jeff Sullivan of FanGraphs wrote about a global trend in pitching throughout MLB. Pitchers are throwing fewer fastballs (as a percentage of total pitches) than ever before, at least for the decade during which we have reliable data. What Sullivan found is that, while it’s true when considering fastballs as an undifferentiated set, it really doesn’t capture the whole truth. He looked at Pitch Info, which (correctly) tags four-seam and two-seam fastballs (the latter often being called, and being called from here onward in this piece, sinkers) as separate pitches, and found that the loss of fastballs is almost all sinkers.

The league is increasingly selecting for pitchers who use four-seam heat to work up in the zone, frustrating batters’ efforts to attack the ball on an uphill plane and get it in the air—or at least, that’s the theory Sullivan puts forward for the shift. I mostly agree. There’s no doubt in my mind that the move toward four-seamers and away from sinkers is at least partially in response to batters making changes geared toward handling those sinkers, and punishing them. (Recall that, as recently as 2013-2014, Ray Searage’s Pirates were at the cutting edge of run prevention because they so consistently pounded hitters with sinkers that ran in on their hands or nipped the bottom of the strike zone; there has been ample incentive for batters to adjust in turn.)

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September 19, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Confessions of a Fake Manager: April

3

Russell A. Carleton

Follow along as SaberManager™ leads the 2005 Chicago Cubs through the first month of their season.

Previously in this series:
Confessions of a Fake Manager: The Set Up


The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

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¿Que nos puede ensenar el auge (y resurgimiento) de Dallas Keuchel sobre usar tuneles de lanzamiento?

(More information on BP En Espanol.)

Traducción por Carlos Pérez

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Kate Preusser and Trevor Strunk on the feeling that it's all a lot of oysters, but no pearls

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September 19, 2017 6:00 am

Expert FAAB Review: Week 25

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Mike Gianella

You might save your FAAB money for necessary moves in the final transaction period.

Welcome back to The FAAB Review, the weekly series that looks at FAAB bidding in expert leagues to help you, the Baseball Prospectus reader, with your fantasy baseball bidding needs. Every week, I closely scrutinize the expert free agent bids in LABR Mixed, Tout Wars NL, and LABR AL.

As a reminder, LABR uses a $100 budget with $1 minimum bids, while Tout Wars uses a $1,000 budget with $0 minimum bids. LABR and Tout Wars use a bidding deadline of Sunday at midnight ET for all FAAB claims. Any statistics mentioned in this article are through the previous Sunday’s games.

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From now until the end of the regular season, you can subscribe or extend your existing subscription at the old price.

Back in 2003, the highest-paid player in baseball was Rangers shortstop Alex Rodriguez, at $22 million. This year, 24 players are making at least as much as Rodriguez did in 2003, led by Clayton Kershaw at $33 million. Back in 2003, the average MLB team payroll was $70 million, with only the Yankees above $120 million and 14 teams under $60 million. This year, the average MLB team payroll is $150 million, no team is under $80 million, and the “small-payroll” Royals out-spend the 2003 Yankees. Even the MLB minimum salary has risen from $300,000 in 2003 to $535,000 today, an increase of 78 percent.

It won’t stir up quite as much excitement (or potential for insult) as the “Guess Your Weight” game at state fairs and amusement parks, but if you step right up! we can guess the exact dollar amount you first paid for a subscription to Baseball Prospectus. The answer is $39.95. We know that because our subscription price has not changed since at least 2003 (and possibly ever). We’ve decided to raise BP’s subscription price for the first time. Just a little bit, from $39.95 to $45.95, with a similar increase to our super-premium subscription package.

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

September 18, 2017 1:19 pm

Closer Report: Week 25

0

Matt Collins

Even with the regular season winding down, some bullpens remain up for grabs.

Welcome back to the Closer Report. The season is coming to a close and, I won’t lie to you, the news is getting pretty thin these days are teams are just finishing out their years. That being said, those of you who are either in the playoffs or the thick of the race in your roto races still have some little advantages you can kind in bullpens. Before we get to that, just a reminder that you can keep up with any movement with the Closer Grid. Now, on to the news.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Cleveland's streak meets its demise, the Astros clinch the AL West, Willson Contreras goes nuts, and Matt Boyd flirts with a no-hitter.

The Weekend Takeaway

The Indians finally, predictably proved themselves fallible this weekend. After 22 straight wins, including Jose Ramirez’s five extra-base hits in an 11-1 stunner, a hair-raising walk-off against the Royals, and each of Cody Allen’s six slam-dunk saves, the little cracks in their armor started to show. On Friday, they lost the battle.

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What can Dallas Keuchel's rise (and re-rise) teach us about using pitch tunnels?

This article is a summary of the research done by Kate Morrison and Jeff Long for their Saber Seminar presentation. You can find the slides from their presentation online here.

When Baseball Prospectus released our pitch tunnels data back in January, we were honest about the realities around the data. At the time, we had some idea of how the data could be used to analyze pitchers, but we certainly didn’t have it all figured out. Of course, while it’s valuable to have new tools through which we can analyze and grow our understanding of the game, we hoped that our pitch tunnels data would prove to be more.

Recently, we added some batted ball outcomes to the data on the stats pages of BP, allowing you to not only see how a pitcher’s pitches look in flight, but to also see what that means in terms of batted ball outcomes. This is, we believe, a big step in being able to better determine the impact that something like pitch tunnels might have on the field. We were thrilled to see what might come out of groups using the data at the SABR analytics conference this spring, and some of the work was truly remarkable.

One of the participants, Scott Spencer from Columbia University, took things a step further and put together a terrific analysis of the impact of pitch tunnels on whiff rates. Spencer has helped us bridge the gap between analysis and on-field application, as his work suggests that pitch tunnels impact whiff rates greatly. His conclusion, seen below, would seem to agree with some of the initial work that Jonathan Judge assisted with when we rolled out pitch tunnels[i].

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Holly M. Wendt takes on an alien not, for once, named Hunter; Meg Rowley examines furniture; James Fegan appreciates audio technology.

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