CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

World Series time! Enjoy Premium-level access to most features through the end of the Series!

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Squawking Baseball: Th... (01/28)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Transaction Action: Se... (01/27)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Transaction Action: Th... (02/02)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Expanded Horizons: Vis... (01/28)

January 28, 2010

Transaction Action

Minor Moves in the AL

by Christina Kahrl

the archives are now free.

All Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible.

Not a subscriber? Get exclusive content like this delivered hot to your inbox every weekday. Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

Subscribe for $4.95 per month
Recurring subscription - cancel anytime.


a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Purchase a $39.95 gift subscription
a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart

Designated RHP Dennis Sarfate for assignment. [1/27]

This was to make room for Miguel Tejada on the 40-man; if the deal to Mark Hendrickson becomes official once he passes a physical, there's going to be another cut to come. The O's aren't yet cutting to the bone as far as being entirely out of guys they can trim without too much fear of a waiver claim; take Matt Albers or Armando Gabino, for example.


BOSTON RED SOX
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart

Agreed to terms with OF-L Jeremy Hermida on a one-year, $3.345 million contract, avoiding arbitration. [1/26]

NEW YORK YANKEES
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart

Acquired CF-R Greg Golson from the Rangers for 1B/3B-L Mitch Hilligoss. [1/26]
Signed OF-S Randy Winn to a one-year, $2 million deal. [1/28]

Signing Winn seems as if it fills up the Yankees' outfield to the brim: beyond purportedly burning the bridge to a renewed engagement with Johnny Damon, it should mean that Curtis Granderson, Nick Swisher, and Brett Gardner are set to get the majority of the playing time. Winn potentially represents Granderson's platoon partner in left or center. Rule 5 pick Jamie Hoffman remains in the mix as well for the fifth outfielder, although he stands to have to fend off the recently added Golson and show some pop at the plate plus playability in center. It's not exactly an epic battle, but the toolsy Golson can run and fly to the gaps, and his upside is fifth outfielder, while Hoffman's may be Triple-A all-star.

In itself, the idea that the Yankees might carry youngsters like Golson or Hoffman, Ramiro Pena, and Francisco Cervelli as three of their four bench players makes for an interesting development, since it would mean the Bombers are (initially) going cheap as far as who's on their bench. That said, I wouldn't necessarily buy that's your Yankees bench in September, because even if they stand pat between now and Opening Day, I'd expect a few in-season add-ons, not unlike last season's decision to bring in Eric Hinske and Jerry Hairston Jr. The fact that jobs would go to Hoffman/Golson, Pena, and Cervelli doesn't represent endorsements of them as prospects; the current grouping of 10 veterans ahead of them figure to be locked into near-everyday play with a regularity Ralph Houk would admire, with Granderson/Winn/Gardner representing the moving part. If Pena gets more than 20 starts at any position, something will have gone badly wrong. Similarly, if Hoffman or Golson get many more than 30 total in the outfield, I'd suspect the entire Yankees brass got lost on a three-hour tour out of Tampa, perhaps leaving a groundskeeper temporarily in charge or something.

Is Winn up to the challenge? He's coming off of an awful year, with a .248 EqA that reflects a season where his only real stroke of bad luck was a complete implosion of his HR/FB rate. His stolen-base numbers from the last three years are nice (56 steals against seven times caught), and he's been worth about five runs on the bases in each of the last two seasons. So that's handy, and he's been a defensive asset in both corners, and good work in center doesn't seem too unlikely, despite limited exposure recently.

There seem to be two major complaints. First, he doesn't seem like the ideal platoon partner for Granderson if you only look at his ghastly performance against southpaws last season (.158/.184/.200), but he did hit .322/.372/.504 against lefties in 2007-08. Single-season implosions against lefties for an everyday player happen (many a Strat league was no doubt appalled by Jeff Bagwell's '97 slip, for example), but Winn's implosion last season was especially ugly. Second, there's the question of whether or not Winn's going to adapt all that effectively to being a bench player, having been an everyday guy for the last decade.

Now, maybe both of those things work out, and maybe not. But if they do, Winn might make a decent single-season fourth outfielder, and live up to the late-career value his top PECOTA comp, Stan Javier, delivered. He might also be be a total flop, but if anyone can afford to blow $2 million finding out, it's the Yankees. And given the alternatives on hand, we know this isn't really the bench the Yankees seem all that likely to employ heading into the stretch. If they have to add an outfielder to their shopping list, they can afford it.


TEXAS RANGERS
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart

Traded CF-R Greg Golson to the Yankees for 1B/3B-L Mitch Hilligoss. [1/26]

The nicest thing you can say is that Hilligoss doesn't have to be on the 40-man, and it might be nicer to have him around than getting nothing whatsoever for discarding Golson.



Where's Thome, you ask? Waiting on a data request I belatedly made to the data team to do a more historical view of what his addition might represent, and to have it coincide with a slightly significant posting tomorrow.

Christina Kahrl is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Christina's other articles. You can contact Christina by clicking here

18 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Squawking Baseball: Th... (01/28)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Transaction Action: Se... (01/27)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Transaction Action: Th... (02/02)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Expanded Horizons: Vis... (01/28)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, Octo...
Pebble Hunting: An Illustrated Guide to the ...
Raising Aces: Ghosts of World Series Past
Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game 3 P...
Playoff Prospectus: A Decade of Planning an ...
Playoff Prospectus: Never-Wrong Ned?
Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Fou...

MORE FROM JANUARY 28, 2010
Premium Article Expanded Horizons: Visual Consistency
Premium Article Squawking Baseball: The Age of the Payroll F...
Premium Article Contractual Matters: AL Central Payroll Proj...

MORE BY CHRISTINA KAHRL
2010-02-03 - Premium Article Transaction Action: The 10,000 Arms of Dr. T...
2010-02-02 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Pleading the Fourth
2010-02-02 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Thome, Taveras, and 10,0...
2010-01-28 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Minor Moves in the AL
2010-01-27 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Senior Circuitry
2010-01-26 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Sheets, Miggy, and Chooc...
2010-01-24 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Brewing Up a Reunion and...
More...

MORE TRANSACTION ACTION
2010-02-03 - Premium Article Transaction Action: The 10,000 Arms of Dr. T...
2010-02-02 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Pleading the Fourth
2010-02-02 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Thome, Taveras, and 10,0...
2010-01-28 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Minor Moves in the AL
2010-01-27 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Senior Circuitry
2010-01-26 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Sheets, Miggy, and Chooc...
2010-01-24 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Brewing Up a Reunion and...
More...

INCOMING ARTICLE LINKS
2010-05-04 - Premium Article Transaction Action: Not Least, the AL East
2010-01-29 - Premium Article Prospectus Hit and Run: Damon's Next Dash?