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June 18, 2014

PECOTA Takes on Prospects

Corner Outfielders

by Andrew Koo


Series introduction and methodology
Previous positions: Catcher | First Base | Second Base | Third Base | Shortstop

To the outfield corners we go.

Very Good Prospects

Rank

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Related Content:  Prospects,  Minor Leagues,  PECOTA

16 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

sgturner65

Where are Oscar Taveras and Gregory Polanco?

Jun 18, 2014 08:44 AM
rating: 1
 
BP staff member Andrew Koo
BP staff

Classified as center fielders, as they were brought up.

Jun 18, 2014 09:53 AM
 
maphal

Jesse Winker has been playing at High A Bakersfield in 2014.

Jun 18, 2014 09:00 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Andrew Koo
BP staff

He has! It makes this UPSIDE--a preseason-run number--even more impressive.

Jun 18, 2014 09:54 AM
 
maphal

FWIW, Winker is going to AA Pensacola this week.

Jun 19, 2014 07:01 AM
rating: 0
 
jsdspud

How does Jose Tabata end up number 5 on this list? Maybe the Pirates can use this to trade him and dump his contract.

Jun 18, 2014 09:16 AM
rating: 1
 
BP staff member Andrew Koo
BP staff

Mostly from early-career success in the majors. PECOTA, in his long-term projection, has mostly corrected for his recent replacement-levelness.

Jun 18, 2014 09:58 AM
 
Rob Moore

Also Joc Pederson - is he considered a CF?

Jun 18, 2014 09:48 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Andrew Koo
BP staff

Yes, sir.

Jun 18, 2014 09:55 AM
 
whappo

How legitimate is Jason Heyward's #2 position on the under 25 list?

Jun 18, 2014 12:30 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Andrew Koo
BP staff

I think it's reasonable. It's that high because Heyward debuted so young and started hitting home runs immediately. That's rare. Stanton and Harper did it too, which is why they're up there with him. Plenty of guys can do it so young in the minors (think Jesus Montero) but at the ML level is a much rarer story.

If you're asking whether Heyward > Bryce Harper, the higher rating's mainly because of Heyward's tenure in the league, while Harper is less accomplished. Harper's power numbers do look better long-term, but Heyward gets a major fielding value boost too.

Jun 18, 2014 12:43 PM
 
whappo

Interesting. Thanks for reply and excellent article.

Jun 18, 2014 12:52 PM
rating: 1
 
NJTomatoes

I'm surprised to see Myers rated below viciedo, Arcia and Tabata. What gives?

Jun 18, 2014 13:02 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Andrew Koo
BP staff

Talked about Tabata in a comment above. Myers and Arcia are similar players to PECOTA--good power potential, too much striking out and not enough walking early on in their careers. Viciedo's the same but he's been around longer, too. They're close enough in UPSIDE that I'd group them in the same bin. Can't really definitely say one's better than the other, though Myers probably isn't getting enough credit for his defense.

Jun 18, 2014 13:26 PM
 
MaineSkin

Grichuk had a good run in the PCL. His K% and negative park effect just seems like a sell high in fantasy. Cards kept him up for his D, but like Gose, ct% will never allow the other tools to play. Actually, Gose has improved greatly with his approach at 13% BB%, so with the elite D and cannon arm he may be a nice little .270-35 CF next year if growth continues.

Jun 19, 2014 10:42 AM
rating: 0
 
R.A.Wagman

Speaking of Gose, he seems to see a very high number of pitches per PA, but I can't seem to find that data anywhere. Great skill to have - I think he is growing into a full time every day MLB CFer.

Jun 19, 2014 12:30 PM
rating: 0
 
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