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June 2, 2014

Pebble Hunting

The Best Defensive Game of May

by Sam Miller


Last month, we started a thing: Trying to identify, and then appreciate, the single best defensive game any player had that month. Partly an excuse to make sweet moving pictures, mostly an attempt to put excellent short-burst defense in perspective, so that we can intuit the value of a great defensive game just as easily as we can process Chris Davis’ 4-for-5 with three home runs. To do that we had to turn these defensive plays into something like numbers, and to do that we turned to Inside Edge, provider of defensive data to major-league clubs, media outlets, and elsewhere. Inside Edge rates each defensive opportunity thusly:

  • Routine: Greater than 90 percent chance that it will be fielded
  • Likely: 60 to 90 percent chance
  • Even: 40 to 60 percent chance
  • Unlikely: 10 to 40 percent chance
  • Remote: 1 to 10 percent chance
  • Impossible: 0 percent chance

With each play rated, then, we could pick a winner, and for May that winner is Aaron Hill, for the game he played on May 14th. Here’s what Aaron Hill’s defensive performance looked like in the box score of the next morning’s newspaper:

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Related Content:  Defense,  Aaron Hill

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