CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Jona... (01/16)
No Previous Column
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rank... (01/21)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Three-Year Pro... (01/16)

January 16, 2014

Graphical Fantasy Rankings

Catchers

by Mauricio Rubio

the archives are now free.

All Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible.

Not a subscriber? Get exclusive content like this delivered hot to your inbox every weekday. Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

Subscribe for $4.95 per month
Recurring subscription - cancel anytime.


a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Purchase a $39.95 gift subscription
a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

I think we all understand that not everyone learns and retains information the same way. I’m a visual learner and it created some difficulty in the majority of my math classes. The first time I sat down and got serious about fantasy baseball and read through rankings, they failed to get through to me in a way that would allow me to retain the information. So, slowly over time, I developed a system to help identify a player’s strengths and weaknesses. I developed a loose tier system that’s been ever evolving, and now I would like to share this information with you.

So, over the next few months we at Baseball Prospectus will be rolling out our comprehensive fantasy baseball package. I was brought on to provide a visual wrinkle to the product in an effort to better communicate the ideas we’re going to be trotting out there for you guys.

The first infographics we will be debuting will feature what a player does well and not so well when compared to the top players at their respective positions. The data I used is PECOTA information that will be featured in the book. Both baseline production numbers and projected stats are all based off the PECOTA information.

They break down like this:

  • C – Top 30 by WARP
  • 1B – Top 30 by WARP
  • 2B – Top 30 by WARP
  • 3B – Top 30 by WARP
  • SS – Top 30 by WARP
  • OF – Top 90 by WARP
  • SP – Top 150 by WARP
  • RP – Top 60 by WARP

I then created a baseline production for each position complete with tiered bins of data using a simple standard deviation model. For the graphic I’ll be using the basic 5x5 stats as projected by PECOTA.

With that information I created a tiered color system which is again, relative to the other top 30 players at their positions:

With this infographic specifically, you’ll notice that there are some odd pairings within the tiers. There is no specific rank within the tiers themselves, and this was made to mirror Mike Gianella’s list of catchers. So, you’ll get a guy like Wilson Ramos ahead of Jason Castro for that reason. Playing time obviously plays a major role in counting statistics so keep that in mind as well.

I hope this is a good guide for you guys to use when drafting so that you can understand where a guy helps you or hurts you relative to other players at the same position.

And for the curious, here are the data bins at catcher:

HR

Tier 1

19+

Tier 2

14-18

Tier 3

11-13

Tier 4

6-10

Tier 5

5-

R

Tier 1

57+

Tier 2

47-56

Tier 3

39-46

Tier 4

30-38

Tier 5

29-

RBI

Tier 1

63.5+

Tier 2

52.5-63

Tier 3

41.5-52

Tier 4

30.5-41

Tier 5

30-

SB

Tier 1

5+

Tier 2

3,4

Tier 3

2

Tier 4

1

Tier 5

0

AVG

Tier 1

.281+

Tier 2

.264-.280

Tier 3

.248-.263

Tier 4

.232-.247

Tier 5

-0.231

Mauricio Rubio is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Mauricio's other articles. You can contact Mauricio by clicking here

Related Content:  Fantasy

25 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

BP staff member Mauricio Rubio
BP staff

BTW, if you need to enlarge the graphic the URL is as follows:

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/u/images/catchersrankings.jpg

Jan 16, 2014 05:05 AM
 
edwinblume

Really, the graphic should be a link to an embiggened version of it.

Jan 16, 2014 20:11 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Ben Lindbergh
BP staff

It does now. Also enlarged the embedded version.

Jan 17, 2014 03:40 AM
 
Bryan Cole

That's a pretty great feature. But I do wish the scales were consistent from one position to the next.

Jan 16, 2014 05:54 AM
rating: 1
 
BP staff member Mauricio Rubio
BP staff

That's a good idea, I'll work on that.

Jan 16, 2014 07:11 AM
 
batts40

Love all the fantasy content. Great work, looking forward to the other positions.

Jan 16, 2014 05:56 AM
rating: 2
 
Andy Cochrane

Fantastic! Thanks.

Jan 16, 2014 06:11 AM
rating: 1
 
johnwood427

Love this!

Jan 16, 2014 06:15 AM
rating: 1
 
dbiester

This is GREAT and a nice quick tool during a draft to find the player in the tier that fits your scoring category need.

Somehow I missed what the stars in the margin are for, sorry if I skimmed over it

Jan 16, 2014 06:51 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Mauricio Rubio
BP staff

It's tied into the Tiers that Mike wrote about. There are 5 star, 4 star guys etc etc. I'll make it more clear for 1B next week.

Jan 16, 2014 07:22 AM
 
dbiester

Got it now, I thought from the location the stars were tied to individual players -- maybe move them to top dead center in between the tiers?

Jan 17, 2014 12:13 PM
rating: 0
 
Behemoth

The stars are the rating for each tier of players according to the tiered rankings published recently.

Jan 16, 2014 07:23 AM
rating: 1
 
JusitnG

must... acquire... Lucroy...

Jan 16, 2014 07:23 AM
rating: 1
 
boards

Might I suggest a little more variation in the color scheme? 1 and 2, 4 and 5 are fairly close in color and hard to distinguish on certain monitors.

I second the idea of comparison across positions.

Jan 16, 2014 07:44 AM
rating: 3
 
BP staff member Mauricio Rubio
BP staff

That's fair, 1B will have a wider color temperature range.

Jan 16, 2014 07:46 AM
 
patsmack

He's got Cubs fever and the only cure is spun Clark the Cub blood.

Jan 16, 2014 12:22 PM
rating: -2
 
Teenwolf

Is Jason Castro really projected for 6-10 HR? He could do that in his sleep. 209 ISO, 485 SLG, 18 HR last season. I hope I'm reading the graph wrong.

Jan 16, 2014 08:18 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Mauricio Rubio
BP staff

10 on the dot according to PECOTA's projections. Playing time is a factor to keep in mind here and PECOTA has him under 400 ABs next year.

Jan 16, 2014 08:21 AM
 
ander521

Very nice work

Jan 16, 2014 11:31 AM
rating: 0
 
patsmack

Jason will be the most productive Castro in 2014. Beliee dat.

Jan 16, 2014 12:21 PM
rating: -2
 
BP staff member Mauricio Rubio
BP staff

I have a big crush on Jason Castro, he's my Dynasty boyfriend.

Jan 16, 2014 12:22 PM
 
patsmack

Love lucrative Lucroy; longing for lacing liners in long-term leagues.

Jan 16, 2014 12:19 PM
rating: 1
 
fgreenagel2

Mauricio,

In a dynasty league that favors infielders over OF and SP, is Lucroy a better pick for 5 years than Chris Davis, Felix Hernandez or Jay Bruce?

Jan 16, 2014 22:00 PM
rating: 0
 
gpurcell

Why is Jason Castro in three star tier? And if the entire range of SB is from 0 to 5 it's pretty ridiculous to include it as element in the ranking at all.

Jan 19, 2014 08:11 AM
rating: 0
 
ClaytonThompson

When will all the PECOTA projections be released? Sorry, new to the site and am hoping to use a PECOTA projections spreadsheet to help with my fantasy prep.

Jan 20, 2014 07:32 AM
rating: 0
 
You must be a Premium subscriber to post a comment.
Not a subscriber? Sign up today!
<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Jona... (01/16)
No Previous Column
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rank... (01/21)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Three-Year Pro... (01/16)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Fantasy Article Closer Report: Ninth Edition, 2015
Expert FAAB Review: Week Eight
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Two American League Outfi...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Your Meats and the Ro...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Help Me, Rusney, Help,...
Premium Article Baseball Therapy: When Was the Sabermetric R...
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of May 22-25, 201...

MORE FROM JANUARY 16, 2014
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Clayton Kershaw Predic...
Premium Article Overthinking It: How the Braves Can Keep a G...
Premium Article Skewed Left: The Historical Precedent for an...
Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Yes, Paul Maholm Still Exists
Premium Article Minor League Update: International Winter Le...
Fantasy Article Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Catchers
Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Jonathan Lucroy vs. Carlos...

MORE BY MAURICIO RUBIO
2014-01-21 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: First Basemen
2014-01-21 - Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Episode 3
2014-01-17 - TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 2 -- I'm a...
2014-01-16 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: Catchers
2014-01-14 - Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Episode 2
2014-01-13 - TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 1 -- Like ...
2014-01-09 - Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Episode 1
More...

MORE GRAPHICAL FANTASY RANKINGS
2014-02-04 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: Shortstops
2014-01-29 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: Second Basemen
2014-01-21 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: First Basemen
2014-01-16 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: Catchers
More...

INCOMING ARTICLE LINKS
2014-03-07 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: Relief Pitchers
2014-02-28 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: Starting Pitcher...
2014-02-21 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: Outfielders
2014-02-11 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: Third Base
2014-02-04 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: Shortstops
2014-01-29 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: Second Basemen
2014-01-21 - Fantasy Article Graphical Fantasy Rankings: First Basemen