Happy Labor Day! Regularly Scheduled Articles Will Resume on Tuesday, September 2.
December 10, 2013
Mixed-League Hitter Valuation
In his upcoming book, Winning Fantasy Baseball, Larry Schechter has a chapter subheading called Why Mixed League Value Formulas Are Mostly Worthless. While this statement contains some degree of hyperbole, in my experience it is mostly accurate.
However, it is certainly a worthy endeavor to try to measure what a mixed league hitter is worth. Below are the steps I went through to derive what I consider valid mixed league values, a cursory examination of some truisms surrounding mixed league values and whether they are correct or not, and how you can apply these values to your mixed league and—perhaps more importantly—how you can’t.
The values below assume 12-team mixed leagues with the same rules as a “standard” Rotisserie-style league (5x5 category scheme, $260 budget per team, etc.)
Step 1: Establishing the Baselines
Distributing $3,120 worth of value across the best 276 players is an interesting exercise, but isn’t useful in measuring what a player is worth on a league’s typical auction day. Including the complete duds and the players who didn’t quite live up to their expectations produces dollar values that are far too low and won’t provide earnings that can be applied to an auction environment.
As a result, the baseline for mixed league dollar values is less than it is for NL or AL only stats, but not as extreme as you might expect.
Table 1: NL Only, AL Only, and Mixed Hitter Baselines by Player