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December 4, 2013

Fantasy Fallout

The Day the Hot Stove Exploded

by BP Fantasy Staff

After one of the craziest transaction days in recent memory, the fantasy team (literally, it took nearly the entire team given the short notice) went through all 10 transactions with fantasy implications to see who gained and lost value in the last 24 hours. A longer introduction than that is not necessary—let’s get straight to what you came here to read.

Yankees sign Jacoby Ellsbury to a seven-year, $153 million deal

Jacoby Ellsbury

It turns out that there is a type of left-handed batter who can sign with the Yankees and not have the “he’s going to hit 40 bombs” crowd come out of the woodwork immediately. Sometimes lazy analysis is lazy analysis for a reason, and in this case, Ellsbury is certainly likely to hit more homers as a member of the Yankees. In the last three seasons, he’s hit 45 of them and only two have been over the left half of the fence. But the more pressing fantasy question is what effect his new team will have on his stolen bases. After all, this is why you own Ellsbury. Managerial tendencies suggest that he’ll steal fewer bases in the Bronx than in Boston due to Joe Girardi being more conservative on the base paths, but it’s likely not going to be a big enough of a decline to be too concerning. In the end, the bump in power should justify the potential trade-off in steals, and with the odds of Ellsbury ending up in a prime lineup spot (no. 2 or no. 3) higher in New York, he could pick up a little value in RBI as well.

Mason Williams

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