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October 4, 2013

Playoff Prospectus

NLDS Game One Recap: Cardinals 9, Pirates 1

by R.J. Anderson


It sounds trite, but some games come down to the starting pitchers. Game 1 of the NLDS between the Pirates and Cardinals sure did.

A.J. Burnett started a postseason game for the first time since 2011, the nadir of his Yankees career. Burnett has pitched well for the Pirates these past two years; so well you forget how they were able to acquire him for cheap. Unfortunately, Game 1 reminded us. Burnett never stood a chance: his location was poor from the get-go and he struggled with his breaking ball. The evening's surprise was not Burnett exiting before the third inning ended, but Burnett making it to the third inning without allowing a run. That changed quick, as did the Pirates' chances of victory.

Coincidentally, Burnett's downfall began with his counterpart, Adam Wainwright. Wainwright battled Burnett for a seven-pitch walk to start the bottom of the third inning, which was followed by a Matt Carpenter single then a Carlos Beltran home run. By the time the inning ended the Cardinals were ahead 7-0 and the Pirates were thinking about tomorrow.

As for the other starter, Wainwright did some positive things on the mound in addition to his work at the plate. There are a few ways to measure how good a pitcher is in a single game: runs allowed, strikeout-to-walk ratio, a mixture thereof, and so on. No matter what you weigh, Wainwright was good. He yielded one run—a Pedro Alvarez home run—in seven innings, fanned nine batters and walked none, and coerced four grounders for each ball in the air.

Wednesday's pre-series press conferences featured an odd line of questioning about whether Wainwright was relieved to avoid the Reds—a team that battered him twice in the regular season. If he viewed the Pirates as toothless foes he failed to show it. Wainwright threw his big curveball time and again, about a third of the time—one of his highest rates on the season.

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<< Previous Article
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/04)
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Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/04)
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Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/04)
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Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/04)

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