CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

<< Previous Article
Pebble Hunting: Why Ko... (09/18)
<< Previous Column
BP Unfiltered: Valuing... (09/17)
Next Column >>
BP Unfiltered: Found F... (09/20)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Bullpen Report: Lookin... (09/19)

September 19, 2013

BP Unfiltered

World's Nerdiest Game: Guess The Chart!

by Sam Miller

This is a graph. The X axis is teams. The Y axis is... up to you to figure out. I'll post the graph again, with the Y axis identified, tomorrow morning.

Three clues:

1. Dan Brooks made this graph using data from a metric found here on BP.

2. The majority of the bars won't change for the rest of the year, though a bunch certainly will.

3. This is a graph about 2013.

Winner gets to replace me as the co-host of Effectively Wild forever.

***

Thursday update.

As Aceathon correctly noted, these are each team's daily playoff odds changes, summed. In one way of looking at this, you might argue that it was better to be an Indians fan this season than a Tigers fan, even if the Indians miss the playoffs. You might argue that. I might argue that, but I sense I wouldn't get very far with most people. Here are a few other looks at the same data:

What's interesting is how much the Royals haven't moved. For all that they have sold themselves as a contender throughout this season, their actual chances haven't fluctuated much more than, say, the Phillies. If they manage to make the playoffs, that's going to be one rapid spike.

Sam Miller is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Sam's other articles. You can contact Sam by clicking here

Related Content:  Nerd Stuff

17 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

Aceathon

Something about the sum of the absolute value of playoff odds changes per day.

Sep 18, 2013 10:29 AM
rating: 29
 
BP staff member Sam Miller
BP staff

oh my word

Sep 18, 2013 10:30 AM
 
BP staff member Dan Brooks
BP staff

Brief recap of last 15 minutes, a ONE ACT PLAY:

Dramatis Personae:
Me.
Sam.
Aceathon.

me: Hey, want to see something neat?
Sam: Sure.
<>
Sam: Oh, do I get to guess what it is?
Sam: This would be a great game, post this chart on BP and have people guess.
Me: Really?
Sam: Yeah, hold on, I bet it takes a bunch of guesses.
<>
Aceathon: Correct on first guess.
Exeunt omnes.
Fin.

Sep 18, 2013 10:34 AM
 
Gotribe31

Aceathon: Drops mic, walks off stage

Sep 18, 2013 10:37 AM
rating: 12
 
majnun

Awesome

Sep 18, 2013 10:34 AM
rating: 0
 
Dave from Pittsburgh

I never would have guessed this

Sep 18, 2013 10:38 AM
rating: 0
 
Randy Brown
(189)

I'm pretty sure that Aceathon works for the NSA.

Sep 18, 2013 13:11 PM
rating: 4
 
DeathSpeculum

i think clues 2 and 3 were probably unnecessary.

Sep 18, 2013 14:22 PM
rating: 0
 
DeathSpeculum

sam,
are you still going to post this again in the morning?

Sep 18, 2013 14:23 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Sam Miller
BP staff

I guess. I'm half pouting half in awe of Aceathon. Dan put together some different angles on this so I might do a separate post and link it.

Sep 18, 2013 14:44 PM
 
Aaron Percival

Does Ben know he has a new co-host?

Sep 18, 2013 15:39 PM
rating: 6
 
BP staff member Ben Lindbergh
BP staff

Looking forward to talking to Aceathon every night

Sep 18, 2013 22:29 PM
 
Rick Lopez

Hire Aceathon! Hire Aceathon!

Sep 18, 2013 18:40 PM
rating: 1
 
dougcox

Season leverage index of yesterday's game?

Sep 19, 2013 07:00 AM
rating: 0
 
Aceathon

#batflip

Sep 19, 2013 10:36 AM
rating: 11
 
SC

#92mphbetweenthenumbers

Sep 19, 2013 11:23 AM
rating: 4
 
Bryan Cole

#worthit

Sep 20, 2013 05:43 AM
rating: 0
 
You must be a Premium subscriber to post a comment.
Not a subscriber? Sign up today!
<< Previous Article
Pebble Hunting: Why Ko... (09/18)
<< Previous Column
BP Unfiltered: Valuing... (09/17)
Next Column >>
BP Unfiltered: Found F... (09/20)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Bullpen Report: Lookin... (09/19)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May...
Premium Article Painting the Black: Stealing Signs
Fantasy Rounders: Statistical Crossroads
Eyewitness Accounts: May 28, 2015
Premium Article Pitching Backward: Started From the Bottom, ...
Premium Article The Call-Up: Eduardo Rodriguez
Premium Article Some Projection Left: Ask the Industry: Catc...

MORE FROM SEPTEMBER 19, 2013
Premium Article Painting the Black: The Things You See
Premium Article Skewed Left: Danny Valencia and the Orioles'...
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, September...
The Lineup Card: Nine of Our Favorite Base S...
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week 25
Fantasy Article Bullpen Report: Looking Back, Looking Forwar...
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: September ...

MORE BY SAM MILLER
2013-09-20 - Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Attacking Andrew McCutchen
2013-09-20 - BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 2...
2013-09-19 - Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, September...
2013-09-19 - BP Unfiltered: World's Nerdiest Game: Guess ...
2013-09-19 - BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 2...
2013-09-18 - Pebble Hunting: Why Koji Uehara?
2013-09-18 - BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 2...
More...

MORE BP UNFILTERED
2013-09-30 - BP Unfiltered: Michael Cuddyer's Ink Is Blac...
2013-09-26 - BP Unfiltered: More on Billy Hamilton's Firs...
2013-09-20 - BP Unfiltered: Found Footage: Kyle Lohse's G...
2013-09-19 - BP Unfiltered: World's Nerdiest Game: Guess ...
2013-09-17 - BP Unfiltered: Valuing the "Contender" Compo...
2013-09-16 - BP Unfiltered: Carlos Gomez Hates Homers, an...
2013-09-10 - BP Unfiltered: 2013 Arizona Fall League Rost...
More...