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September 16, 2013

Pebble Hunting

The 45-Strikeouts, One-Walk Pitcher

by Sam Miller


Derek Law’s worst outing with the San Jose Giants probably came on Aug. 24, when he was brought in to protect a three-run lead. The leadoff batter in the ninth reached on an error, followed by a double, a single, a wild pitch and, with two outs, a full-count walk to put the winning run on base. Law would end up striking out the side to preserve the lead. That walk wouldn’t come back to hurt him, except in the most trivial way: it was the only walk he allowed in High-A all season.

That’s roughly a 0.45 FIP. He’s a big guy with a four-seamer that touches 95 and a hammer curve that “will be a plus offering,” says Chris Rodriguez of our prospect team. Somebody else who has seen him multiple times in San Jose told me “he was always around 95, and have seen 97.” And he’s got as pure a baseball name as there is.

Law isn’t a prospect, though. This is the first time he’s ever been mentioned by a Baseball Prospectus author: never mentioned in an article, a book comment, a chat, and as far as I know a private phone conversation, a confessional diary entry, a legal filing, a text, a sext, or even an absent-minded doodle. On MLB.com’s team rankings (updated in late July), he doesn’t make the Giants’ top 20. Which leads to this question:

First the disclaimer: Every prospect is different. Low-minors stats lie. That’s the point of this article, in fact. What follows is a lumping together of players based on stats who would, by scouting standards, have no business being lumped together, because we’re trying to answer a very specific question that has nothing to do with scouting. It has to do with us, and what we—the non-scouts—can do with a season like Law’s.

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Related Content:  Relievers,  Prospects,  Scouting,  Minor Leagues,  Derek Law

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<< Previous Article
Premium Article What You Need to Know:... (09/16)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Castin... (09/13)
Next Column >>
Pebble Hunting: Why Ko... (09/18)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Painting the Black: Th... (09/16)

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