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August 28, 2013

Sporer Report

Six September Stashes

by Paul Sporer


For the third straight week now the Sporer Report has an eye on September. This time around, I’ve got six potential National League September call-ups, all pitchers, who could bring solid value down the stretch. This is some deep speculation, so keep that in mind when deciding whether or not to take the plunge. The recent news in Queens takes some punch out of a couple of these, but you’ll have to trust that they made my list last week when I compiled both the AL and NL lists.

Those of you in 10- and 12-team mixers likely don’t need to pounce just yet and in fact shouldn’t pounce just yet unless you’ve got remarkably deep rosters. Instead, use this as a cheatsheet of who to keep tabs on as we now sit just four days from September 1. Those of you in deeper leagues might find a few of these guys already rostered, but most should be available, and if you have the roster space, then you should consider getting the jump on your league mates. These are ranked in order of potential impact which accounts for the likelihood that they even get the call.

Rafael Montero, New York Mets
With Daisuke Matsuzaka getting a start last Friday against the Tigers, I felt good about having a Met on the list that I’d made the Tuesday before that, but then news hit about Harvey and it was a certainty that at least one Met would be included and I considered doubling up to include Noah Syndergaard. He might actually be the bigger speculation over Montero considering the fact that he is still in Double-A, but now it just seems unrealistic for them to bring up a 20-year-old who would be skipping Triple-A and is already sitting at 14 innings over his 2012 total.

Montero is 27 innings clear of his 2012, but he’s two years older and he has spent most of his season in Triple-A handling the hellish conditions of Las Vegas with aplomb. He has a 3.28 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 82 1/3 innings, plus a 21 percent strikeout rate and seven percent walk rate. He destroyed Double-A in 66 2/3 innings before that with a sparkling 2.43 ERA and 1.12 WHIP to go with his obscene 28 percent strikeout rate and four percent walk rate. He’s on the smaller side at 6-0, 170, so the Mets should be somewhat mindful of his innings jump, but he could nab a handful of starts as the Mets now have two open spots with Harvey sidelined and the Matsuzaka experiment looking like a clear failure.

Robbie Erlin, San Diego Padres
The 22-year-old lefty is one of my favorite secondary prospects as a command-first fly-ball pitcher who has shown some bat-missing ability and whose skills will play up in a place like Petco Park. He made his MLB debut earlier this year back in late-April and then made his debut in the rotation about a month later. He looked good in his first two starts before the Red Sox and Nationals ran him back to Triple-A.

It’s been a struggle down there this year, his first struggle at any of his professional stops, with a 5.07 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in his 20 starts spanning 99 1/3 innings. Oddly, his primary asset (command) has failed him, leading to a 1.0 HR/9 and 7.5 percent walk rate, which is actually quite high for him despite being above average for most. He has a five percent career rate in 426 innings outlining just abnormal this year rate has been for him.

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<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Five to Watch: Septemb... (08/28)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Sporer Report: Looking... (08/21)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Sporer Report: Five Ti... (09/04)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (08/28)

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