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June 27, 2013

Free Agent Watch

Week 13

by Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre


12-TEAM MIXED

Raul Ibanez, OF, Seattle Mariners

At the beginning of the 2013 campaign, there was some debate on Baseball Prospectus’ Fantasy Hour podcast as to whether or not Ibanez was worth owning in an AL-only league. Ibanez has put those concerns to rest, and due to his latest HR barrage is getting picked up in mixed formats as well. While I can understand why owners are getting excited, it is always a mistake to chase stats at the tail end of a streak for a player who doesn’t have a track record of this level of performance. Ibanez will continue to hit the odd home run, but a 25 percent HR/FB rate indicates that a correction is probably in order. In standard mixed formats, there should still be better options than Ibanez, hot streak or not. —Mike Gianella

Comparable Player: Josh Willingham

Jordan Lyles SP, Houston Astros

He looks like nothing more than a deeper mixed or AL only option, but Lyles has outpitched that expectation of late. In his last eight starts, Lyles has a 2.36 ERA, and that includes Sunday’s clunker against the Cubs. Lyles still profiles as more of a match-up play in mixed leagues, but his ability to keep the ball on the ground makes outings like Sunday’s more of the exception as opposed to the rule. Two bad outings have torpedoed Lyles’ ERA. The rub is that there is always the risk he might do that again. In mixed leagues, Lyles is a play to make if you need to gamble to offset a slow start by your fantasy team. —Mike Gianella

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<< Previous Article
Overthinking It: The R... (06/26)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week... (06/20)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week... (07/11)
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Fantasy Article Bullpen Report: Stuck ... (06/27)

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