June 26, 2013
Painting the Black
Trade Deadline Closeup: Chicago Cubs
The trade deadline is five weeks away, and that means it's time to begin analyzing the sellers and their products. Over the next month we'll take a look at each of the likely sellers and which players will pop up in trade talks and rumors. The Cubs, reportedly open for business, are up first.
(Listed in descending order of expected impact)
Age as of Deadline: 29
Half of Salary: $5.125 million
Contract Status: Free agent at season's end
PECOTA Projection: 16 GS, 96 IP, 3.60 ERA, 2.73 SO/BB
Ideal Role: No. 2 starter
Perhaps the most prominent pitcher available on the trade market, Garza is unlikely to net as much in return as he did in 2011. Still, the Cubs should receive enough to forgo potential draft-pick compensation. The one plausible snafu is Garza's health: He's missed more than four months of action over the past year due to shoulder and elbow woes.
When Garza makes it to the mound he does a lot of work with his fastball. He throws a four-seam and two-seam variation, and the pitch sits in the low-to-mid-90s and features arm-side run. When Garza is going for the knockout he breaks out his mid-80s slider, even against left-handed batters. In addition to the slider Garza throws a mid-70