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June 7, 2013

Dissecting the Draft

Assessing Day 1, and Day 2 Options

by Nick J. Faleris


Yesterday we completed Day 1 of the MLB First-Year Player Draft, which consisted of the first two rounds (including competitive balance picks) and the first two picks of our “Shadow Draft”—the seventh and 45th overall selections. As a quick recap, our last full entry in the series highlighted five “wants,” or goals, for us to accomplish with this draft. These “wants” represented a best-case scenario for us as far as taking advantage of the strengths of the draft class as we see them and the needs of our “Shadow Farm System” (a summary of the system can be found back in the introductory piece to this series):

(1) Two middle infielders;
(2) One corner infielder;
(3) One college pitcher;
(4) One catcher;
(5) One “best available” with at least two potential future plus tools (this “want” could be simultaneously satisfied by one of the above four selections, as well).

By setting these goals, we provided a roadmap for attacking the draft, keeping in mind our desire to have a diversified portfolio approach to amateur talent acquisition, which spreads the risk out across a draft class (and minor league system) while offering the opportunity to target high-end talent with as many picks as possible.

Below we’ll quickly step through the thought process for our first two selections this draft, followed by a run through the goals for our selections today. If you followed along with us last night during the draft, you saw our supplemental entry in the series, which touched on some of the concepts we’ll flesh out below.

First Round
When the time came to make our first selection yesterday evening, there were three players under consideration—we arrived at these players by paring down our targets through a process described in the earlier entries of the Dissecting the Draft series, and would encourage you to flip through those entries if you haven’t already and are interested in the process:

1. Braden Shipley, RHP, University of Nevada | Scouting Report
2. Trey Ball, LHP, New Castle HS (New Castle, IN) | Scouting Report
3. Dominic Smith, 1B/OF, Serra HS (Los Angeles, CA) | Scouting Report

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<< Previous Article
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