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May 3, 2013

Fantasy Freestyle

Lineup Movers

by Paul Singman


Evaluating players based on lineup position is a tricky science. On one hand, it can have a dramatic impact on a player’s value. Take a guy batting eighth in an NL lineup, move him second, and it can be as much as a $5 boost. On the other hand, batting lineups are fickle constructs, so sometimes it is best not to put too much stock in where a player is hitting at the moment and focus on skills instead.

Lineup position also has an obvious compounding effect—that is, players who are already hitting well tend to be the ones who benefit from moving up in the order, and vice versa. Still, whether through injury or merit, when a player has moved into a more (or less) favorable hitting position, it’s worth reviewing who has seen their value affected thus far in 2013. 

For those unfamiliar with this tremendous resource, Baseball-Reference conveniently shows every team’s lineup from every game on a single page. First, go to a team home page, and under “Other” you’ll find “Batting Orders”. Viola. These pages were obviously tremendously helpful for this article, and I also frequently visit them when making decisions for my fantasy teams. Onto the movers: 

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/u/images/up_green_arrow.png Brett Lawrie | Tor| 3B | 6th to 1st

The Jose Reyes injury left a void atop the Blue Jays lineup, one that neither Rajai Davis nor Emilio Bonifacio could sufficiently fill. And so they’ve turned to their reckless third baseman, Lawrie, to bat atop the lineup. He has more power than your typical leadoff hitter, but also has solid speed and should get more active on the basepaths going forward. As long as he can stay healthy, I say he reaches 15 homers and steals. 

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/u/images/up_green_arrow.png Matt Joyce | TBR | OF | 6th to 2nd

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<< Previous Article
The BP Wayback Machine... (05/03)
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Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Ten... (05/02)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Bew... (05/07)
Next Article >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (05/03)

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