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April 25, 2013

In A Pickle

Who'll Stop the Run?

by Jason Wojciechowski


Sometimes you think big. You have hypotheses or theories about how the game of baseball works in some fundamental way or you have a deep analysis of a player or a team or transaction that shines a light nobody has yet shined.

Other times, you ask resident data guru Tim Collins for some help and he delivers and you just want to explore the results in public.

Guess which type of article this is.


The data I asked for and received takes our Team Baserunning report and flips it: How many baserunning runs did teams allow or prevent on defense in 2012? I have the whole answer, but for now, I want to explore one tiny corner of it: Here are the two teams that allowed the most runs above (i.e. worse than) average on stolen bases.

The Pirates probably make you shrug, but the Twins are a surprise. Joe Mauer! Joe Mauer's magnificent scalp! The Minnesota golden boy, though, had a terrible year trying to stop the opposition's larceny, throwing out a measly 14 percent of basestealers. Moreover, Mauer donned armor for less than half of his team's innings, with the rest being handled by Ryan Doumit and Drew Butera, who themselves combined to catch only 22 percent of thieves.1

Catchers, of course, make up only a portion of the battery tasked with stopping base-stealers and, per Ben Goessling last year, Ron Gardenhire laid the blame squarely at the feet of the moundsmen, noting that many of them were slow to the plate. Avoiding the slide-step or otherwise rushing the delivery can be a valid trade if a hurler gets better pitches and thus better pitching performance out of it, but:

Pitcher SBA CS% FIP
Alex Burnett 9 0% 3.98
Sam Deduno 9 11% 5.45
Carl Pavano 8 13% 4.33
Francisco Liriano 15 13% 4.20
PJ Walters 7 14% 5.43
Jeff Gray 6 17% 5.80
Nick Blackburn 6 17% 6.05
Brian Duensing 6 17% 3.77
Scott Diamond 19 21% 3.89

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Related Content:  Minnesota Twins,  Joe Mauer,  Drew Butera

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<< Previous Article
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (04/25)
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Premium Article In A Pickle: Torii of ... (04/18)
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Premium Article What You Need to Know:... (04/25)

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