CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe
<< Previous Article
Monday Morning Ten Pac... (04/08)
<< Previous Column
BP Unfiltered: A Conve... (04/09)
Next Column >>
BP Unfiltered: Hot Pro... (04/09)
Next Article >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (04/09)

April 9, 2013

BP Unfiltered

Angels Lose Weaver

by R.J. Anderson

Angels ace Jered Weaver will miss at least the next four weeks after fracturing the elbow in his glove arm during his most recent start, Sunday night in Texas, according to ESPN.

Whenever a large-payroll team suffers a significant loss the reaction is to ponder the trade possibilities. The April market figures to be quiet and the one pitcher know to be available, the Rockies Aaron Harang, is reportedly not under consideration by Jerry Dipoto. Instead Dipoto will turn to Garrett Richards, who had been pitching out of Los Angeles of Anaheim's bullpen.

Richards is a Weaver clone in two regards, as he lands closed in his delivery and he features flowing locks. Beyond those trivial matters the two are nothing alike. Weaver is one of the game's only aces with subpar fastball velocity; Richards' arm strength is his best asset and allows him to pump heat all day and night. Beyond the plus fastball Richards' arsenal has been called shallow, though he does have an at-times monstrous slider and a below-average changeup. The other knock on Richards throughout his prospect days was a tendency to be loose in the zone. Overall the package suggests a future as a number-four starter or late-innings reliever.

Of course a number-four starter does not replace Weaver's contributions. But this is a stretch of about six starts, including one at home against the Astros. Just about anything can happen during a six-start span. To wit here are the ERAs from Weaver's 30 starts separated into six-game intervals:






Richards is probably not going to match the best of those stretches. If he lives up to his PECOTA ERA projection, of 4.51, then he'd have the second-worst. Still, it should be said that Weaver's projected ERA (3.04) would be the third-worst, and Harang's (4.44) would also come in as the second-worst. So yes, the Angels are worse with Richards than Weaver—though Richards could surprise us all with an unlikely Weaver-esque run of starts— and they may be worse off with Richards instead of Harang—though the difference between those two is almost imperceptible. 

R.J. Anderson is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see R.J.'s other articles. You can contact R.J. by clicking here

Related Content:  Angels,  Jered Weaver,  Garrett Richards,  Aaron Harang

1 comment has been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Monday Morning Ten Pac... (04/08)
<< Previous Column
BP Unfiltered: A Conve... (04/09)
Next Column >>
BP Unfiltered: Hot Pro... (04/09)
Next Article >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (04/09)

What You Need to Know: Engel in the Outfield
Short Relief: Underappreciated Player Week: ...
Premium Article Weekly Wrap: August 18, 2017
Premium Article Guarding The Lines: Here The Fastball Are No...
Cold Takes: Doomed and Determined
Circle Change: The Best Failure in Baseball
Banjo Hitter: The First 162: Alex Bregman

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Ramon Mania
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Home-Style Auctioning
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: American League, Week Two
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, April 9
Premium Article Skewed Left: The Astros' Whiff-Prone Ways
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 9, 2...
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: High-Stakes League Free A...

2013-04-10 - Premium Article Painting the Black: What's the Matter with H...
2013-04-10 - BP Unfiltered: Fujikawa's Wild Night Out
2013-04-09 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Ramon Mania
2013-04-09 - BP Unfiltered: Angels Lose Weaver
2013-04-08 - Premium Article Painting the Black: Junk In His Trunk
2013-04-04 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The DFAs
2013-04-03 - BP Unfiltered: Chris Davis is Strong, Too

2013-04-10 - BP Unfiltered: Science Confirms The Good Fac...
2013-04-09 - BP Unfiltered: Sergio Romo's Slider and the ...
2013-04-09 - BP Unfiltered: Hot Prospect Video: Archie Br...
2013-04-09 - BP Unfiltered: Angels Lose Weaver
2013-04-09 - BP Unfiltered: A Conversation Between Housto...
2013-04-08 - BP Unfiltered: The Eight-Man Bullpen Comes B...
2013-04-08 - BP Unfiltered: The Biggest Late Rallies That...