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February 22, 2013

Pebble Hunting

Fixing the Holes, National League

by Sam Miller


It’s part two of our tour through the worst team performances by position in 2012 (using the visual year-to-date tool) and corresponding hopes for 2013 (using visual depth charts). Part one is here. Part two is also here. Specifically, here:

Braves: 1B
Extent of despair: 0.8 WARP
Foremost subtractor: Eric Hinske (-0.2)
Projection for 2013: 2.0
Like the Yankees', the Braves’ worst position was still a pretty good position, and one that projects to be average in 2013 without any changes being made. While Hinske technically bears the most blame by our working standards, the bulk of the starts went to Freddie Freeman and his 0.9 WARP. Freeman hit around the league average but gets knocked for his defense, a surprise given his respectable showing in the Fielding Bible vote. From the 2012 Annual:

Finding a harmony between the scouting reports and defensive metrics about Freeman is impossible. Folks who watched Freeman know about his picking-and-scooping abilities as well as his strong arm, characteristics that fan the flames of contention.

Credit him with a league-average glove instead of knocking him seven runs and the Braves now get 1.5 WARP out of the position.

Brewers: SS
Extent of despair: -0.2
Guiltiest party: Cesar Izturis (-0.5)
Projection for 2013: 1.1 WARP
The fix for this position is supposed to be Jean Segura, acquired last summer. I was in

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<< Previous Article
Pitcher Profile: Arold... (02/22)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Fixing... (02/20)
Next Column >>
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Next Article >>
Premium Article Prospects Will Break Y... (02/22)

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