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December 26, 2012 Transaction AnalysisLeery of Liriano
Signed LHP Francisco Liriano to a two-year, $12.75 million deal. [12/21] A couple weeks ago, while taking the Twins to task for signing Kevin Correia to a two-year, $10 million contract, I mentioned that the Pirates had tried to trade Correia at last year’s deadline, despite their interest in adding pitching. Now they’ve signed Liriano to a more lucrative contract that lasts just as long. Here’s one comparison of Correia and Liriano over the last two seasons that makes it look like the Pirates picked the wrong pitcher: Kevin Correia: 325 IP, 4.49 ERA, 2.4 BB/9, 48.5 GB%, 43 days injured (oblique)
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We also need to consider where the teams are on the win curve. For the Pirates as a sub-.500 team, they need high risk, high reward players if they want to reach the postseason on a budget. Liriano fits the bill.
If a team like the Nationals needed a starter and could choose Liriano or Correia, I'd probably expect them to choose the latter since he has a fairly high floor.