BP Comment Quick Links
![]() |
|
|
|
December 14, 2012 The Keeper ReaperOutfielders for 12/14/12Yoenis Cespedes | Oakland A’s Cespedes, Oakland’s big free-agent splash of last offseason, debuted in the spring to a multitude of swirling questions. Would his Cuban League stats translate to the majors? Does his viral training video of him doing four-foot squat jumps substantiate his baseball abilities? Is he really the perfect combination of speed and power? Fairly early into the season it became clear that the answer to all of these questions was, indeed, yes. By the end of April, he was batting .250 and had already tallied five homers and four steals, proving himself a valuable fantasy asset. After a DL stint that encompassed most of May, Cespedes caught fire in June and stayed hot for (mostly) the rest of the season. His age-26 rookie-year stat line ended up looking like this: 70 R, 23 HR, 82 RBI, 16 SB, and a .292 average—one potentially worthy of hardware in most years. The comforting aspect of Cespedes’ numbers is that there are virtually no red flags hiding in the periphery. His biggest question mark coming into the year was his ability to make contact, and that proved not to be a major issue with his slightly above-average 19 percent strikeout rate. To anyone who got to watch him play, the ball truly does jump off his bat. His .328 BABIP is not alarmingly high for a player with his speed and batted ball profile, and he draws his fair share of walks. The only thing, it seems, that can stop Cespedes is himself, with injuries limiting him to 130 games last year. Besides landing on the DL for 24 days with a strained hand, Cespedes was also limited at times by thigh, knee, thumb, and wrist ailments throughout the year. While none of these were major injuries, they also weren’t of the fluky variety either. All players pose injury risks, but Cespedes does appear especially prone to small tweaks and strains, which should be taken into account. Having said that, Cespedes is still a physical specimen in his prime with a productive season under his belt. His injury risk and the Oakland environment prevent him from being a top-30 player, but his five-tool talent assuredly lands him somewhere in the 30-to-60 range.
|
I think I made this criticism last year, and intend it to be a constructive one, but the Keeper Reaper series would be much more helpful if it considered potential keepers in terms of dollar value. This segment essentially treats Cespedes and Curtis Granderson as keepers of equivalent value, but a lot of owners could be keeping Cespedes in the single digits, and Granderson in the $30's. And Cespedes in the single digits is probably a no-brainer in any league, but there are plenty of more marginal decisions out there. What do you do with a $34 Verlander vs. a $5 Chris Sale? Or a $45 Miguel Cabrera vs. a $4 Adam Dunn? I would just suggest including a range of dollar values at which the player makes a good keeper and associated discussion in addition to the shallow/deep format.
Clearly Sale at $5.
Prob Dunn at $4
im the opposite. i think its clearly Verlander and Miggy. You cant beat having the #1 pitcher and the #1/2/3 hitter on the same fantasy team. My elbow hurts watching Sale's arm torque into positions it shouldnt be...and honestly, is anyone gonna be surprised if Dunn just falls off the map again this year?
and to the original poster, if they are such no-brainers, why do you need an article to re-assure yourself? You're right, comparing Cespedes at $7 and Grandy at $32 is pointless. maybe thats why its not done here.
This is an interesting discussion. I think there is a clear answer, but I'll wait until my Monday article to give my thoughts.
The issue with providing a dollar range is that you can't take any values in a vacuum, everything is relative. A $34 Verlander might not be kept if there is a $5 Sale, and probably would be kept against a $10 Sale. This makes giving a dollar range such as "keep Verlander for under $35" defunct. I'm always happy to answer specific keeper questions, just not sure it can be provided in article format.