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October 15, 2012
Monday Morning Ten Pack
October 15
by BP Prospect Staff
Francisco Lindor, SS, Indians (Low-A Lake County)
The best shortstops in baseball all share a similar skill set, and this is as true at the lowest levels of the game as it is at the highest. To play on the left side of the diamond, you need the arm, you need the fielding actions, you need the range, and, most importantly, you need the instincts. You might be able to placate the defensive Gods with an average arm, or sloppy actions, or even less-than-desirable range, but what can push a skill set beyond its physical state (or limit it to the simple actions of that state) are the feel and instincts for the game itself. Francisco Lindor is as instinctual on the field as any prospect you will find, existing in his surroundings like he was born and raised in the dirt-filled area between second and third. He moves in this space like I move in a bar. His baseball intelligence and makeup are off-the-chart, and even when you create a new chart specifically designed to measure his baseball intelligence and makeup, he’s off that chart as well.—Jason Parks
Zack Wheeler, RHP, Mets (Triple-A Buffalo)
Often pitchers with plus stuff can get away with mistakes, especially when they’re in the low minors, or else they consistently lean on a pitch or two because they are that much better than their competition. The progression into higher levels typically forces them to either adjust quickly or hit the proverbial wall. I caught Wheeler during his time with Double-A Binghamton this year and the stuff was exceptional. He toyed with the hitters, using an electric arsenal: a 92-96 mph fastball, a tight mid-to-high 70s curveball with deep break and finish, an 83-86 mph slider, and a low-80s changeup. Wheeler also showed the ability and knowledge to utilize his whole repertoire, often setting up batters with varied sequences or ruthlessly exploiting weaknesses. I did come away from the outing with some needs going forward, mainly in the form of improving the fastball command due to being late with his delivery at times. The heater can stay up in the zone, but I kept coming back to the pitchability Wheeler showed
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Scouting the Draft: Hi... (10/15)
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If Odor has good range and a good arm, why isn't he a SS?
Several reasons: 1) The organization is lousy with high-end shortstop prospects with higher defensive ceilings than Odor. A healthy Sardinas is vastly superior to Odor at the position, and guys like Luis Marte and Al Truinfel are approaching from the short-season levels. He can get reps at the position, but he will eventually get squeezed out by the talent in his own org.
2). I wouldn't peg range at SS as anything above-average; he has good instincts and quick feet, but lacks the range quality of a plus defender at the position. The arm is fine for SS. The actions are a little stiff, and wouldn't put a plus on his glove at the position. To play shortstop at the highest level, you need to really flash the leather. Odor has some chops, and they certainly look better at 2B, but when you try to project him to the major league level, his overall defensive skill-set isn't above-average.
I will say that in several orgs, Odor could be developed as a shortstop. But organizational depth creates the opportunity and the luxury to develop Odor at 2B, a position that is better suited for his skill-set. He will still get reps on the left-side of the diamond, and its not like he can't make plays. He's just a better long-term fit for the keystone.
Is this similar to the conventional wisdom around Jean Segura before this season? That he might be able to play SS, but wouldn't be a plus guy if he did?
(For all I know, this is still what 'we' think about Segura, though my impression was that he did better than expected for the Brewers this season)
I thought Segura looked good this season; better than I remember seeing in the minors. He still had a thick lower half, but he was quicker and the range was fine. He's not special at SS, and I think most people would rather their average offensive shortstop provide above-average defensive value, but a true 5 shortstop does have a lot of value while under team control.