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October 11, 2012

Playoff Prospectus

NLDS Game 4 Preview: Cardinals at Nationals

by Daniel Rathman


In a quadrupleheader replete with thrilling action, Game Three between the Cardinals and Nationals provided little of it, as the visitors surged to a 4-0 lead after two innings and never looked back. The 8-0 rout put Washington’s season in peril heading into Game Four. Will the Nats survive? To answer that question, here are the PECOTA odds and projected starting lineups for this afternoon’s contest:

Cardinals (Kyle Lohse) at Nationals (Ross Detwiler) – 4:00 p.m. ET
PECOTA Odds of Winning: Nationals 50.2 percent, Cardinals 49.8 percent

Odds if Nationals started Strasburg in this game: Nationals 63.4 percent, Cardinals 36.6 percent

Projected Starting Lineups:

Cardinals vs. Detwiler (L)

Nationals vs. Lohse (R)

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