CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe
<< Previous Article
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (10/08)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Bizball: Do the Dodger... (10/02)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Bizball: The Strange C... (10/16)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/08)

October 8, 2012

Bizball

Inside 2012 MLB Attendance, Plus Postseason TV Ratings Update

by Maury Brown


With the 2012 regular season in the books, it’s time to look at how clubs did at selling tickets. Yes, they call it “attendance,” but it’s really “paid attendance,” a showing of tickets sold and rarely reflective of actual butts in the seats. The league’s 30 clubs drew 74,859,268 over 2,423 games this year: an increase of 2 percent. While this wasn’t as good as I projected before the season started, it was the league’s largest year-to-year growth since the 2007 season total rose 4.6 percent over 2006. Nine clubs drew more than three million in paid attendance this season, while 13 clubs eclipsed the 2.5 million mark. In addition, this is the second consecutive season that total attendance increased over the previous year and marks the highest attendance since 2008. When things are all said and done, 2012 will rank as the fifth-best single-season in MLB history in terms of attendance.

That’s the good news. The bad news is that attendance between 2010 and 2011, while technically up, was basically the same. The league sold 397,715 more tickets last year than 2010, or an increase of less than one percent. Let’s call that what it is: flat. In fact, over the last four years, the league has seen attendance pretty much remain flat. When you factor in new ballparks for the Mets, Yankees, Twins, and Marlins over the period, this tells us that either the sour economy still holds its grip on America’s discretionary income or MLB’s true “golden era”, as Selig likes to call it, was really 2004-2008 when attendance soared. Still, the league has to be happy; last year, the Dodgers’ attendance cratered during Frank McCourt’s tenure, and there were a considerable number of rainouts. This season, rainouts weren’t as high, and with the two additional Wild Card teams added in, the races for a postseason berth were more compelling.

Here is the breakdown of attendance for MLB since 2000:

Year

Paid Attendance

% (+/-)

2000

72,748,970

---

2001

72,530,213

-0.30%

2002

67,858,176

-6.44%

2003

67,688,994

-0.25%

2004

73,022,969

7.88%

2005

74,925,821

2.61%

2006

76,078,766

1.54%

2007

79,503,175

4.50%

2008

78,591,116

-1.15%

2009

73,364,441

-6.65%

2010

73,053,807

-0.42%

2011

73,451,522

0.54%

2012

74,859,268

1.92%


Of MLB’s 30 clubs, more than half the league (16 teams) experienced attendance decreases; 14 saw attendance increases. Increases ranged as high as 44.16 percent (the Marlins—more on that in a bit), to as low as 2 percent (the Rays, who still ranked last in paid attendance). Decreases ranged from as high as 22.22 percent (the Astros, during their last season in the National League and coming off back-to-back seasons of more than 100 losses), to as low as 0.29 percent (the Giants, who wound up winning the NL West).

As mentioned, the Marlins celebrate the largest year-over-year increase in the league this year at 44.16 percent thanks to their brand-spanking new ballpark in Miami and being hyper-aggressive on the free agent market, landing Jose Reyes, Heath Bell, and Mark Buerhle. While, that’s good for the Marlins and the league in some respects, at an average of 27,400 per game, it will go down as the worst average paid attendance for a new ballpark opening since 2000. Here’s the listing of the 14 clubs who opened a new ballpark over that period, their opening date, and the average attendance, sorted worst to best:

Club with New Ballpark

Opened

Avg

Miami

4/4/2012

27,400

Washington

3/22/2008

29,005

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

10 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (10/08)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Bizball: Do the Dodger... (10/02)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Bizball: The Strange C... (10/16)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/08)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: June 19, 2...
Fantasy Article Sporer Report: The Fantasy Platoon Advantage...
Feature Focus: Prospect Tracker
Premium Article Painting the Black: The Improbability of the...
Pebble Hunting: Every Manager's Face, Part 2
The Lineup Card: 8 Potential Buyers at the T...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Wheeling and Dealing

MORE FROM OCTOBER 8, 2012
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Recap: Red...
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: N...
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Recap: Tig...
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Recap: Nat...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Managerial Movement
The Week In Quotes: October 1-7
Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Monday, October 8

MORE BY MAURY BROWN
2012-10-30 - Premium Article Bizball: 2012 Sees Lowest World Series Ratin...
2012-10-23 - Premium Article Bizball: 2012 MLB Postseason Shows Money Mat...
2012-10-16 - Premium Article Bizball: The Strange Case of Melky Cabrera S...
2012-10-08 - Premium Article Bizball: Inside 2012 MLB Attendance, Plus Po...
2012-10-02 - Premium Article Bizball: Do the Dodgers Really Have a “Sec...
2012-09-24 - Premium Article Bizball: Astros Will Use Money to Pay Down D...
2012-09-17 - Premium Article Bizball: Who is Getting the Most Bang for th...
More...

MORE BIZBALL
2012-10-30 - Premium Article Bizball: 2012 Sees Lowest World Series Ratin...
2012-10-23 - Premium Article Bizball: 2012 MLB Postseason Shows Money Mat...
2012-10-16 - Premium Article Bizball: The Strange Case of Melky Cabrera S...
2012-10-08 - Premium Article Bizball: Inside 2012 MLB Attendance, Plus Po...
2012-10-02 - Premium Article Bizball: Do the Dodgers Really Have a “Sec...
2012-09-24 - Premium Article Bizball: Astros Will Use Money to Pay Down D...
2012-09-17 - Premium Article Bizball: Who is Getting the Most Bang for th...
More...