October 7, 2012

Playoff Prospectus

ALDS Game One Preview: Yankees at Orioles

by Daniel Rathman

Camden Yards has not played host to a postseason game since Oct. 15, 1997, but that 15-year drought ends tonight. The Yankees and Orioles met 18 times during the regular season, and they split those contests, 9-9. Here are the PECOTA odds and projected starting lineups for the 19th showdown between the American League East rivals:

Yankees (CC Sabathia) at Orioles (Jason Hammel) – 6:00 p.m. ET

PECOTA Odds of Winning: Yankees 63.3 percent, Orioles 37.7 percent

Projected Starting Lineups:

Yankees vs. Hammel (R)

Orioles vs. Sabathia (L)

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers. Not a subscriber? Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web. Cancel anytime. That's a 33% savings over the monthly price! That's a 33% savings over the monthly price! Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in. 3 comments have been left for this article. BP Comment Quick Links code of conduct WaldoInSC (26415) I don't know why anyone would bother applying PECOTA to analyze the Orioles this post-season. They have completely baffled the system all year. You might as well use a Ouija board. Oct 07, 2012 13:36 PM link rating: 0   NYYanks826 (37443) Wouldn't a five-inning, one-run outing not count as a quality start, since it fails to achieve the six inning minimum requirement? Oct 08, 2012 01:39 AM link rating: 0   Ben Lindbergh BP staff (37618) Correct. Fixed. (Although I'd rather have a five-inning, one-run outing than a six-inning, three-run outing, "quality" or not.) Oct 08, 2012 01:45 AM link   Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content. << Previous Article Playoff Prospectus: AL... (10/07) << Previous Column Playoff Prospectus: AL... (10/07) Next Column >> Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/07) Next Article >> Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/07) RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS Raising Aces: Splitting the Platoon: Lefty-P... Daily Hit List: Friday, May 24 Transaction Analysis: Demotion Pictures What Makes a Good Changeup? What You Need to Know: Searching for Jesus Eyewitness Accounts: May 24, 2013 Overthinking It: The Longest Plate Appearanc... MORE FROM OCTOBER 7, 2012 Playoff Prospectus: Orioles-Yankees Division... Playoff Prospectus: Cardinals-Nationals Divi... Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: R... Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Preview: A... Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Preview: N... Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Recap: Tig... Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Recap: Red... MORE BY DANIEL RATHMAN 2012-10-08 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Preview: Y... 2012-10-08 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: N... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: R... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Preview: Y... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Preview: A... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Preview: N... 2012-10-06 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Preview: A... More... MORE PLAYOFF PROSPECTUS 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: Orioles-Yankees Division... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: Cardinals-Nationals Divi... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: R... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Preview: Y... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Preview: A... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Preview: N... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Recap: Tig... More... Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Customer Service  |  Newsletter  |  Masthead  |  Glossary  |  Contact Us Copyright © 1996-2013 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.            Surprise Me!