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September 2, 2012

BP Unfiltered

The Justin Ruggiano Club

by R.J. Anderson

Justin Ruggiano is having one of the league’s most surprising seasons. He entered Sunday with 245 plate appearances, a .324 batting average, and strikeouts in 25.3 percent of his plate appearances. Intuitively, we all know striking out more than a quarter of the time makes it tough to be a productive hitter, and nearly impossible to post a high average. Yet Ruggiano is angling to join an exclusive club of players with more than 250 plate appearances in a season, a strikeout rate above 25 percent, and a batting average of .300 or better:

Player

Season

PA

SO%

BA

Ryan Howard

2006

704

25.7%

.313

Josh Phelps

2002

287

28.6%

.309

Chris Johnson

2010

362

25.1%

.308

Bobby Bonds

1970

745

25.4%

.302

Wily Mo Pena

2006

304

29.6%

.301

B.J. Upton

2007

548

28.1%

.300

 

For fantasy and trivial purposes, the table below shows how those players hit the next year:

Player

Season

BA

Ryan Howard

2007

.268

Josh Phelps

2003

.268

Chris Johnson

2011

.251

Bobby Bonds

1971

.288

Wily Mo Pena

2007

.253

B.J. Upton

2008

.273

 

Were Ruggiano to follow the trend, he would not hit .300 again. He would, however, hit better than his .226 career mark entering this season. 

R.J. Anderson is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see R.J.'s other articles. You can contact R.J. by clicking here

1 comment has been left for this article.

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