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August 3, 2012 Transaction AnalysisDodgers Trade for Blanton
Acquired RHP Joe Blanton from Philadelphia Phillies for player to be named later or cash. [8/3] Sometimes, baseball puts your biases to the test. I don't know you, but I suspect that you have some regard for strikeout-to-walk ratio as a quick-and-dirty measure of a pitcher's effectiveness. If you needed somebody to start Game Three or Four of your favorite team's post-season series, you'd probably be comfortable picking randomly from the top-10 leaderboard in the NL: Lee, Strasburg, Halladay, Cain, Bumgarner, Dickey, Greinke, Zimmermann, and even Kennedy would do just fine. But what about the guy at the top? Joe Blanton has struck out 115 batters this year, and he has walked 18. That's more than six Ks per walk, and nobody else in the NL has topped five. He sticks out, not just because he's so far ahead of everybody else, but because he's (probably) the worst pitcher on that list, by a margin that could stretch from Philadelphia to Los Angeles, where he will now pitch. Next time you're explaining to your uncle or coworker why K:BB ratio is so obviously better than pitcher wins, you'd better hope he doesn't have access to the internet, and you'd better hope he's never heard of Joe Blanton.
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According to team defensive efficiency stats, Philly ranks 25th in the majors, and the Dodgers are ninth. That, plus the move to Chavez Ravine, probably will have at least a superficial effect on Blanton's numbers.
The defensive numbers could also explain the discrepancy between his expected and actual ERAs, and the rest of the Philly staff, but I agree with your general point Sam - Blanton probably leads the majors in K:BB ratio because he's just throwing hittable pitches as opposed to losing a guy by nibbling around the edges. It's a good thing the Twins aren't contending, because they'd probably trade Miguel Sano for him.