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July 31, 2012
Transaction Analysis
Giants Counter Dodgers, Acquire Pence
by Kevin Goldstein and R.J. Anderson
Acquired OF-R Nate Schierholtz, C-R Tommy Joseph, and RHP Seth Rosin from Giants for OF-R Hunter Pence and cash. [7/31]
A second-round pick out of an Arizona high school, Joseph earns mixed reviews from scouts, but those that are on board see him as a potential first-division starter behind the plate. His calling card is the kind of plus-plus raw power rarely seen in a catcher, but his hit tool has not fully developed to a point that allows him to fully tap into it; he holds career averages of .256/.307/.427 with a home run every 27.2 at-bats. Many of his problems revolve around a poor approach, and he has a tendency to fall in love with his power and get pull-conscious. He's made great strides defensively, particularly in his ability to control the running game, as he's shortened his release to better take advantage of plus arm strength. His receiving is still a tick below average, however, as he often stabs at balls and needs to improve his footwork. His collection of strengths and weaknesses make him a tough player to evaluate, but there's at least a big leaguer here with some star possibilities.
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Player A vs. rhp in 2012:
ISO .194 AVE .287 OBP .370 SLG .481 TAv .312, LD% 20.2 K/BB 1.56
Player B vs. rhp in 2012:
ISO .171 AVE .280 OBP .342 SLG .451 TAv .285, LD% 12.9 K/BB 2.36
Player A is a year younger.
However, Player B has scored 47 and driven in 50, and hit 11 doubles, 1 triple, and 13 home runs this year against righties, vs. 14, 12, 2, 4, and 5 for Player A (albeit in only 146 plate appearances vs. Player B's 336).
Player A's counting stats adjusted for Player B's # of plate appearances are still below Player B's, but it's closer:
32 runs, 27 rbi, 4 doubles, 9 triples, 11 home runs.
And Player A is good defensively (3.2 UZR/150), while Player B (-12.5 UZR/150) apparently is not as good in right as Gregor Blanco (18.5 UZR/150).
Still, I'm excited to see what Hunter Pence will bring to the Giants and wish personal favorite Nate Schierholtz all the best in full-time play in Philadelphia. Maybe some of those triples will turn into home runs at Citizen's Bank.