CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Overthinking It: What ... (06/25)
<< Previous Column
What You Need to Know:... (06/25)
Next Column >>
What You Need to Know:... (06/29)
Next Article >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (06/26)

June 26, 2012

What You Need to Know

Tuesday, June 26

by Daniel Rathman

The Monday Takeaway
For the four weeks spanning May 28 through June 22, it seemed that Marlins closer Heath Bell had shed his early-season malaise. During that time, Bell made 10 consecutive scoreless appearances, struck out 16 batters in 9 1/3 innings, and trimmed his ERA from 8.00 to 5.47. His three-year, $27 million contract he signed in early December wasn't looking quite as bad for the Fish.

After last night’s extra-inning loss to the Cardinals, though, it’s back to square one—not just for Bell, but also for the organization as a whole.

The first-year closer entered with the Marlins leading 6-2 in the top of the ninth, and though the Redbirds had plated a run in each of the previous two frames, the game still seemed safely in hand. In fact, Ozzie Guillen may simply have wanted to get the 34-year-old Bell some work, considering that he had pitched only once in the previous eight days. Bell immediately looked rusty, issuing a leadoff walk to Rafael Furcal, and it was all downhill from there.

Shane Robinson struck out, but Matt Holliday drove one into the opposite-field gap for a double. Then, Carlos Beltran singled, Allen Craig hit a sacrifice fly, and Yadier Molina pounded the final nail with a two-run shot that tied the game at 6-6. Bell was not charged with the loss, but it was his meltdown that enabled the visitors to capture the series opener, 8-7, in the 10th.

The loss dropped the Marlins to 34-39—just two games better than their 32-41 mark through 73 games in 2011—and left them alone in the NL East cellar as the Phillies topped the Pirates, 8-3. Manager Edwin Rodriguez resigned after the team’s 32-39 start a year ago, and, though Guillen is not on the hot seat, last place is not what owner Jeffrey Loria and President of Baseball Operations Larry Beinfest had in mind following their offseason spending spree.

What to Watch for on Tuesday

  • It’s BP intern Hudson Belinsky’s favorite day of the season, as (Daniel) Hudson meets (Tim) Hudson in the series opener between the Diamondbacks and the Braves at Turner Field. The former Hudson has befuddled just about everyone with his three most recent outings, holding the powerful Rangers to three runs in seven innings on June 14 but getting shelled by the A’s and Mariners in the starts immediately before and after that win. The latter Hudson is 6-0 with a 1.36 ERA in eight career starts against Arizona (7:10 p.m. ET).
     
  • When the Padres inked Cameron Maybin to a five-year, $25 million extension in March, they thought they were locking up one of the most dynamic young players in the game. Unfortunately, the 25-year-old has been anything but dynamic so far in 2012, logging a .204/.284/.298 triple slash with 56 strikeouts in 245 at-bats. Maybin hasn't produced an extra-base hit since June 8, and he’ll try to end that skid against Astros starter Jordan Lyles—who has coughed up 12 XBH in 44 2/3 innings—tonight (8:05 p.m. ET).
     
  • Keeping the ball in the yard has been a problem for Gavin Floyd this season, and the 15 home runs he has served up in 83 innings of work have bloated his ERA to 5.20 despite a significant uptick in strikeouts. Floyd has struggled against the Twins throughout his career, going 4-11 with a 6.29 ERA and allowing 16 homers in 97 1/3 frames over 16 starts. The main culprits are Denard Span (15-for-29) and Joe Mauer (17-for-39 with eight walks), who will look to provide Liam Hendriks with the support he needs to earn his first career win (8:10 p.m. ET).
     
  • Ryan Vogelsong has not failed to complete the sixth inning in any of his 13 starts this year, but his last outing with fewer than 18 outs came against the Dodgers on Sept. 21, 2011, and he’ll face Don Mattingly’s squad for the second time since then tonight. Los Angeles will counter with Clayton Kershaw, who will try to keep San Francisco from climbing to within a game of the NL West lead (10:15 p.m. ET).

 

Daniel Rathman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Daniel's other articles. You can contact Daniel by clicking here

5 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

Drakos

The whole Maybin thing is weird. He's walking at a career high rate. He's striking out at a career low rate. He's making contact at a career high rate. He is hitting the ball on the ground more than ever and it's just not finding holes. I really wish that someone who knows more than me would do something looking at his swing or approach in the batters box and see if something has changed this year or he's just been unlucky.

Jun 26, 2012 08:38 AM
rating: 0
 
fawcettb

I don't think it's bad luck with his speed. Speed doesn't slump. Maybin needs a smart hitting coach, which San Diego clearly doesn't have.

Jun 26, 2012 08:49 AM
rating: 1
 
CalledStrike3

I've seen a few of Maybin's at bats lately ...he is not squaring up the ball frequently ....looks like he is getting spread out - needs to let the ball get deep and then unleash - he has good hand speed

Jun 26, 2012 12:37 PM
rating: 0
 
flyingdutchman

Sorry, but there's a mistake in there. A Giants fan friend of mine named Tony says that Vogelsong faced the "Dudgers" on May 8th and won on a 2-run homer by Brett Pill.

Jun 26, 2012 12:38 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Daniel Rathman
BP staff

I had a feeling I missed something when I was looking at the gamelog. Thanks for catching that. It's now fixed.

Jun 28, 2012 02:18 AM
 
You must be a Premium subscriber to post a comment.
Not a subscriber? Sign up today!
<< Previous Article
Premium Article Overthinking It: What ... (06/25)
<< Previous Column
What You Need to Know:... (06/25)
Next Column >>
What You Need to Know:... (06/29)
Next Article >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (06/26)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Fantasy Article TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 57
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week Nine
West Coast By Us: Yo
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, May ...
Premium Article Rubbing Mud: Context is King
Premium Article Daisy Cutter: How the Kipnis Got His TAv
Premium Article Release Points: Where Have You Gone, Stephen...

MORE FROM JUNE 26, 2012
Premium Article Western Front: Fowler Power
Baseball ProGUESTus: Jeff Clement, Mike Mors...
Premium Article Painting the Black: Why Does Everybody Go In...
Fantasy Article Value Picks: First, Third, and DH for 6/26/1...
Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Tuesday, June 26
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, June 26

MORE BY DANIEL RATHMAN
2012-07-03 - What You Need to Know: Tuesday, July 3
2012-07-02 - What You Need to Know: Monday, July 2
2012-06-29 - What You Need to Know: Friday, June 29
2012-06-26 - What You Need to Know: Tuesday, June 26
2012-06-25 - What You Need to Know: Monday, June 25
2012-06-22 - What You Need to Know: Friday, June 22
2012-06-21 - What You Need to Know: Thursday, June 21
More...

MORE WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
2012-07-03 - What You Need to Know: Tuesday, July 3
2012-07-02 - What You Need to Know: Monday, July 2
2012-06-29 - What You Need to Know: Friday, June 29
2012-06-26 - What You Need to Know: Tuesday, June 26
2012-06-25 - What You Need to Know: Monday, June 25
2012-06-22 - What You Need to Know: Friday, June 22
2012-06-21 - What You Need to Know: Thursday, June 21
More...