CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: Th... (10/02)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Geniu... (09/26)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Geniu... (10/10)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Collateral Damage: Pla... (10/03)

October 3, 2011

Resident Fantasy Genius

BP Fantasy End of Season Awards

by Derek Carty

the archives are now free.

All Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible.

Not a subscriber? Get exclusive content like this delivered hot to your inbox every weekday. Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

Subscribe for $4.95 per month
Recurring subscription - cancel anytime.


a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Purchase a $39.95 gift subscription
a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

With the fantasy season coming to a close this past week, each member of the BP Fantasy team cast their votes for a variety of categories. Today, I'm here to hand out the theoretical hardware. After seeing who we thought had the best, worst, and most interesting 2011 seasons, be sure to tell us who you think deserved some recognition in the comments section.

Derek Carty

Most Valuable Hitter

Matt Kemp

Most Valuable Pitcher

Justin Verlander

Rookie Hitter of the Year

Mark Trumbo

Rookie Pitcher of the Year

Michael Pineda

Comeback Player of the Year

Ryan Vogelsong

Biggest Surprise of the Year

Melky Cabrera

Biggest Disappointment of the Year

Hanley Ramirez

Luckiest Player of the Year

Jeremy Hellickson

Unluckiest Player of the Year

Matt Thornton

Top Breakout of the Year

Alex Gordon

Most Overrated Player of the Year

Nelson Cruz

Most Underrated Player of the Year

Mike Leake

Championship Creator of the Year

Brent Morel and Shelley Duncan

Your Best Prediction of the Year

That Jose Bautista was for real

Your Worst Prediction of the Year

That Dan Johnson was undervalued

Rob McQuown

Most Valuable Hitter

Matt Kemp

Most Valuable Pitcher

Justin Verlander

Rookie Hitter of the Year

Jemile Weeks

Rookie Pitcher of the Year

Craig Kimbrel

Comeback Player of the Year

Jacoby Ellsbury

Biggest Surprise of the Year

Matt Kemp

Biggest Disappointment of the Year

Adam Dunn

Luckiest Player of the Year

Jeremy Hellickson

Unluckiest Player of the Year

Chase Utley

Top Breakout of the Year

Alex Avila

Most Overrated Player of the Year

Ivan Nova

Most Underrated Player of the Year

Ricky Romero

Championship Creator of the Year

Ted Lilly

Your Best Prediction of the Year

Cory Luebke will be a very good SP

Your Worst Prediction of the Year

Brennan Boesch won't play well enough to get playing time

Michael Street

Most Valuable Hitter

Matt Kemp

Most Valuable Pitcher

Justin Verlander

Rookie Hitter of the Year

Eric Hosmer

Rookie Pitcher of the Year

Craig Kimbrel

Comeback Player of the Year

Ryan Vogelsong

Biggest Surprise of the Year

Casey Kotchman

Biggest Disappointment of the Year

Hanley Ramirez

Luckiest Player of the Year

Jeremy Hellickson

Unluckiest Player of the Year

Alex Rios

Top Breakout of the Year

Ian Kennedy

Most Overrated Player of the Year

Carl Crawford

Most Underrated Player of the Year

R.A. Dickey

Championship Creator of the Year

Mike Moustakas

Your Best Prediction of the Year

Ian Kennedy as sleeper pitcher

Your Worst Prediction of the Year

Brett Wallace for sophomore breakout

Mike Petriello

Most Valuable Hitter

Matt Kemp

Most Valuable Pitcher 

Roy Halladay

Rookie Hitter of the Year

Danny Espinosa

Rookie Pitcher of the Year

Michael Pineda

Comeback Player of the Year

Jacoby Ellsbury, with apologies to Ryan Vogelsong

Biggest Surprise of the Year

Albert Pujols shaking off a broken wrist to come back in record time and hit even better

Biggest Disappointment of the Year

Adam Dunn, narrowly beating out Carl Crawford

Luckiest Player of the Year

Doug Fister, traded from terrible Mariners to red-hot Tigers

Unluckiest Player of the Year

Evan Longoria and his subterranean BABIP

Top Breakout of the Year

Alex Avila

Most Overrated Player of the Year

Michael Young, "MVP Candidate"

Most Underrated Player of the Year

Andrew McCutchen

Championship Creator of the Year

James Loney

Your Best Prediction of the Year

Mike Morse, reliable power hitter.

Your Worst Prediction of the Year

Brandon Belt, NL Rookie of the Year.

Michael Jong

Most Valuable Hitter

Matt Kemp

Most Valuable Pitcher

Justin Verlander

Rookie Hitter of the Year

Freddie Freeman

Rookie Pitcher of the Year

Craig Kimbrel

Comeback Player of the Year

Jacoby Ellsbury

Biggest Surprise of the Year

Alex Avila

Biggest Disappointment of the Year

Hanley Ramirez

Luckiest Player of the Year

Jeremy Hellickson

Unluckiest Player of the Year

Ubaldo Jimenez

Top Breakout of the Year

Alex Avila

Most Overrated Player of the Year

Hunter Pence

Most Underrated Player of the Year

Paul Konerko

Championship Creator of the Year

Doug Fister

Your Best Prediction of the Year

Alex Avila as a breakout catcher

Your Worst Prediction of the Year

Ryan Hanigan as a breakout catcher

Jason Collette

Most Valuable Hitter

Matt Kemp

Most Valuable Pitcher

Craig Kimbrel

Rookie Hitter of the Year

Eric Hosmer

Rookie Pitcher of the Year

Craig Kimbrel

Comeback Player of the Year

James Shields

Biggest Surprise of the Year

Alex Gordon

Biggest Disappointment of the Year

Adam Dunn

Luckiest Player of the Year

Casey Kotchman

Unluckiest Player of the Year

Carlos Santana 

Top Breakout of the Year

Jacoby Ellsbury 

Most Overrated Player of the Year

Kelly Johnson

Most Underrated Player of the Year

J.J. Hardy

Championship Creator of the Year

Shelley Duncan

Your Best Prediction of the Year

Ben Zobrist would hit 20 homers again

Your Worst Prediction of the Year

Edwin Encarnacion would hit 30 homers this season

My Impressions
Matt Kemp was the popular choice for Most Valuable Fantasy Hitter, sweeping the vote, and it's easy to see why. The guy hit .324, just missed going 40/40, and tallied 115-plus RBI and runs. He was an absolute stud. For Most Valuable Pitcher, Justin Verlander clearly gets the BP nod, but there were a couple of stray votes for Roy Halladay and, very interestingly, Craig Kimbrel. Kimbrel took four of the six ROY votes for pitchers, but getting his name in the Most Valuable Pitcher hunt really says something about the kind of season that the dominating youngster had. He'll propel himself into the upper echelon of closers in 2012 drafts. Rookie Hitter wasn't nearly as clear-cut, with a tie between Hosmer and Espinosa at two a piece. Both had great seasons, and Espinosa is especially interesting given his tasty power/speed combo at a talent scarce position. If he could find a way to piece together a solid batting average, he could be a fantasy stud.

Vogelsong and Ellsbury rule the Comeback category, with Jason's obligatory Rays-centrice vote going to Shields (who is plenty deserving himself after a terribly unlucky 2010). Surprise Player is all over the place, but Casey Kotchman manages to grab two votes. It's interesting that he also tallies a vote for Luckiest Player, as his BABIP stood at a .335 after it had been .268 in his career before 2011. It seems unlikely Kotchman will post a repeat campaign next season. However, the Luckiest Player award goes to Jeremy Hellickson, who snagged four of the votes thanks to an ERA that stood a point and a half below his FIP. He's a talented young pitcher with decent upside, but he's not the pitcher many currently see him as. There will be some disappointed Rays fans in 2012 unless he can find a way to adjust and improve. Unluckiest, however, is anything but an easy choice, resulting in a six-way tie.

Biggest Disappointment is split right down the middle between Dunn and Hanley, and it's easy to see how one would be conflicted with the choice between the two. Both had miserable seasons despite lofty expectations, and it will be incredibly interesting to see how fantasy owners treat them in drafts next season. Anyone want to set the over/under? Avila snags half the votes for Top Breakout, and while I didn't cast my vote for him, I have no qualms with the selection. A catcher who can hit 20 home runs is very valuable, but I'm not convinced his .295 average is for real. I think a decline is likely there. Overrated and Underrated are all over the place, but I think the Ivan Nova vote for Overrated is a very good one. He's a homegrown Yankee whose ERA exceeded his peripherals, so it's easy to see why he was hyped throughout the season.

Championship Creator goes to Shelley Duncan, who received two votes, though I actually cast two votes in the category. I felt obligated to do so after the team who beat me out for first place in CardRunners managed to own both Duncan and Morel, who combined for 15 home runs down the stretch after hitting a combined six for the first five-and-a-half months of the season.

Your Turn
What do you think? Agree with our picks? Disagree? Let us know by casting your votes in the comments! We'd love to hear from you.

10 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: Th... (10/02)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Geniu... (09/26)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Geniu... (10/10)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Collateral Damage: Pla... (10/03)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, September 1...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: September 12, 2014
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The September Shuffle
Premium Article Raising Aces: Angelic Arms
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: The Best Defensive Game of A...
In A Pickle: How To Lose Lots of One-Run Gam...
Notes About Baseball: Talking About Money

MORE FROM OCTOBER 3, 2011
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two: Aye-yi-ya...
On the Beat: The Next Managers
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Three Major-League Teams Int...
Premium Article Collateral Damage: Playoff Injury Updates
Fantasy Article Fantasy Beat: Questioning Fantasy Adages

MORE BY DEREK CARTY
2011-10-08 - Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Five: Brew Cru...
2011-10-06 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Four: Nothin' ...
2011-10-05 - Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three: All's G...
2011-10-03 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: BP Fantasy End of S...
2011-09-30 - Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Brewers vs...
2011-09-26 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Losing Speed
2011-09-22 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: What Sabermetrics M...
More...

MORE RESIDENT FANTASY GENIUS
2011-10-20 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Rumor Mill ...
2011-10-17 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Rumor Mill ...
2011-10-10 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Can Pitchers Contro...
2011-10-03 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: BP Fantasy End of S...
2011-09-26 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Losing Speed
2011-09-22 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: What Sabermetrics M...
2011-09-15 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: What's Wrong with L...
More...

INCOMING ARTICLE LINKS
2012-10-01 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: The 2012 Fantasy Fa...
2012-02-28 - Fantasy Article Preseason Value Picks: First, Third, and DH ...