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July 5, 2011
NL East Draft Wrap
Who They Are: There is no doubt that Gilmartin will reach the big leagues barring injury, but there's not much of a ceiling compared to most first-rounders. His command and changeup garner the highest scouting scores, as his fastball sits in the upper 80s.
Ahmed is a solid shortstop with gap power and a bit of speed who could be a nice pick if he can stay on the left side.
Kubitza offers the size and physical profile of a classic third baseman, but there are questions about his hitting skills and glove work.
Who They Are: Fernandez is a good story as a Cuban refugee, but he was also seen as the best of the level two tier of high school arms. He has a pro body, plus velocity, and really knows how to spin a breaking ball.
Conley has big velocity for a southpaw, but might end up working better as a reliever due to a shallow arsenal.
Barron has the profile for a modern, big, and athletic shortstop with raw power and speed, but the bat could take a while.
New York Mets
Who They Are: Nimmo is a big athlete with speed, average power, and very good hitting skills from the left side. He'll need a lot of money to sign, but the Mets didn't take him at 13th overall not to get a deal done. He has a very high ceiling, but is anything but a sure thing.
Fullmer is yet another Oklahoma high school pitcher, and was the best not named Bradley or Bundy. He already sits in the low- to mid-90s, but still needs to transition from thrower to pitcher.
Mazzoni already signed and is the safest of the team's top picks, with three solid to plus offerings and the ability to throw strikes.
Verret is similar to Mazzoni, but with a bit less velocity yet a stronger breaking ball.
Who They Are: Greene is a massive human being and has crazy power, with more raw strength in his swing than any high school player in the draft. It's also his only tool, so there's some chance for the next Ryan Howard, and a bigger chance for him to strike out 180 times in the Florida State League.
Quinn is the anti-Greene; he’s an absolute burner who is six inches shorter and 70 pounds lighter than Greene.
Many thought Martinez would be a sure-fire first-round pick when he enrolled at Miami, but his game never fully came around. He's a good defensive third baseman with a line-drive bat but below-average power for the position.
Morgan is the safe pick for the Phillies as a command-and-control lefty who could move quickly.
Who They Are: Once the Mariners passed on Rendon with the second pick in the draft, he slid to sixth overall; teams with the top three picks did not waver from the pitcher-focused ways. While his junior year did not live up to expectations, mostly due to injuries, Rendon has the hitting ability and plate discipline to be an on-base machine in the big leagues with at least average power while offering excellent third-base defense.
Scouts have always been intrigued by Meyer's upside; he's 6-foot-9 and can dial it up to the upper 90s. He remains a bit of a project, but he made impressive improvements to his command this year while upgrading his slider and changeup into usable secondary pitches.
Goodwin is a bit raw, but he has average power, plus speed, and a leadoff hitter’s approach.
Matt Purke is still the biggest mystery of the draft; he entered this year with visions of being considered for the top overall pick. Blisters hampered him early, but then he developed shoulder problems, a far more concerning issues. He tried to pitch late in the year, but his stuff was nowhere close to what teams saw last year, when he want 16-0 for TCU. He likely wants tons of money as a draft-eligible sophomore, and could shoot up draft charts next year with a return to form if he doesn't sign.