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May 26, 2011

Future Shock Blog

Minor League Update: Games of May 25

by Kevin Goldstein

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Luis Domoromo, OF, Padres (Low-A Fort Wayne): 1-for-2, HR (3), R, RBI, BB.

Signed to a seven-figure bonus in 2008, Domoromo was more of a “wait and see” prospect entering the year after a sub-standard showing in the Northwest League, but he's generating considerable buzz in his full-season debut, as the 19-year-old Venezuelan is hitting .324/.405/.465 in his first 20 games. He's not a pure tools player, as he's merely an average runner and defender, but one scout called his swing among the best he's seen in the league, and when combined with a surprisingly mature approach, he's currently has more walks (11) than strikeouts (10) in 71 at-bats. No more waiting, no we are seeing.

Others Of Note:

  • Matt Adams, 1B, Cardinals (Double-A Springfield): 5-for-6, HR (14), 3 R, 2 RBI. Has 20 total bases in last three games and is up to .333/.373/.655 overall; Bat only fat guy, but it's looking more and more real.
  • Jose Altuve, 2B, Astros (High-A Lancaster): 3-for-5, 3B, R. 16-for-28 (.571) during seven-game hitting streak and up to .398/.442/.570 overall; hitting streak also corresponds with appearing on the podcast.
  • Xavier Avery, OF, Orioles (Double-A Bowie): 2-for-5, 3B, 2 R. Nine-game hitting streak has batting average up 36 points to .255/.318/.321.
  • Dellin Bentances, RHP, Yankees (Double-A Trenton): 6 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 10 K. Season-high in both innings and strikeouts; More strikeouts (39) than hits plus walks (22+16=38) in 34.2 innings.
  • Michael Choice, OF, Athletics (High-A Stockton): 2-for-5, 2 HR (9), 3 R, 3 RBI, BB, K. Plenty of power, plenty of walks, plenty of whiffs; .247/.360/.488 in 42 games.
  • Jarred Cosart, RHP, Phillies (High-A Clearwater): 5.2 IP, 3 H, 1 R (0 ER), 2 BB, 9 K. Has allowed seven hits over 20.2 innings in last three starts while striking out 20; 2.87 ERA in 10 starts.
  • Sean Coyle, 2B, Red Sox (Low-A Greenville): 2-for-4, 2B, HR (5), R, 3 RBI, BB, K. Coming on strong after ugly April; .300 in last ten games and .243/.385/.505 overall.
  • Zack Cox, 3B, Cardinals (Double-A Springfield): 2-for-3, 2 R, RBI, BB, K. Double-A debut after hitting .418 (28-for-67) in last 18 Florida State League games.
  • Jarek Cunningham, 3B, Pirates (High-A Bradenton): 3-for-4, 2B, HR (11), R, 2 RBI. Home runs in back-to-back games and .298/.339/.631 overall in 42 games.
  • James Darnell, 3B, Padres (Double-A San Antonio): 3-for-4, 2 2B, HR (10), R, RBI. On yet another roll; 10-for-20 in last five games with 20 total bases and .377/.479/.686 overall.
  • Delino DeShields, 2B, Astros (Low-A Lexington): 2-for-5, 3B, 3 R, 2 RBI, BB, K. Six-game hitting streak has averages up to more respectable .242/.320/.401; scouting reports are better than the numbers.
  • Nick Franklin, SS/2B, Mariners (High-A High Desert): 5-for-6, HR (4), 2 R, 3 RBI. OPS up 50 points in one night to .272/.366/.438; still hitting just .189 away from High Desert.
  • Christian Friedrich, LHP, Rockies (Double-A Tulsa): 1.2 IP, 7 H, 10 R (2 ER), 3 BB, K. For you old school readers that have been with me since the days of The Prospect Report, “Ooooof.”
  • Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, Diamondbacks (Double-A Mobile): 2-for-4, HR (16), 2 R, RBI; 2-for-7, 2B, BB, 2 K. Has yet to slow down; .335/.466/.696 in 45 games.
  • Mycal Jones, OF, Braves (Double-A Mississippi): 3-for-5, 2B, 3 R, 2 RBI, SB. Moved to centerfield this year and hitting .276/.436/.552 in his first nine games of the year.
  • Casey Kelly, RHP, Padres (Double-A San Antonio): 6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 5 K. Best start of the year lowers ERA to 3.83 in ten games; has been highly inconsistent, but scouts still project good No. 3 starter.
  • Barret Loux, RHP, Rangers (High-A Myrtle Beach): 6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 5 K. Last year's draft soap opera victim has been healthy and good; .223 opponent batting average and 52 Ks in 47.2 innings.
  • Starling Marte, OF, Pirates (Double-A Altoona): 2-for-4, 2 2B, K. Six multi-hit efforts in last eight and .335/.364/.476 overall; impressive defense with speed and gap power could be enough to make up for few walks.
  • Chris Owings, SS, Diamondbacks (High-A Visalia): 4-for-5, 2 2B, 2 R, RBI. Has been a disappointment after impressive spring training; 10-for-25 during five-game hitting streak and .257/.297/.424 overall.
  • Jurickson Profar, SS, Rangers (Low-A Hickory): 1-for-1, R, 2 BB, HBP. Eight hits in last 11 at bats and on base 13 times in his last 16 plate appearances; .275/.405/.517 in 34 games and nearly four months younger than Bryce Harper.
  • Kyle Russell, OF, Dodgers (Double-A Chattanooga): 3-for-5, 2B, 2 HR (8), 3 R, 4 RBI, K. Four home runs in last three games and .299/.352/.573 overall; contact is still a huge issue with 55 strikeouts in 45 games.
  • Edward Salcedo, 3B, Braves (Low-A Rome): 1-for-3, 2 R, 2 K, 4 E. Has certainly improved with the bat, but 20 errors over 41 games in the field is quite the red flag.
  • Jake Smolinski, OF, Marlins (Double-A Jacksonville): 2-for-4, HR (5), 2 R, 3 RBI, BB. Under-the-radar guy who has his fans among scouts; slugging .590 in May and hitting .282/.384/.476 overall.
  • Angelo Songco, OF, Dodgers (High-A Rancho Cucamonga): 5-for-7, 2B, 3B, HR (6), 4 R, 4RBI, K. Nice cycle in a 25-9 thumping of Lancaster; ceiling is fourth outfielder.
  • Tyler Townsend, 1B, Orioles (High-A Frederick): 4-for-4, RBI, CS. 9-for-17 in last four games and .309/.331/.564 overall; needs to stay healthy, and at 23, he needs a bigger challenge.
  • Josh Vitters, 3B, Cubs (Double-A Tennessee): 2-for-5, 2B, R, RBI, K. Hitting .300 in May and up to .271/.311/.439 overall; I'd say be optimistic, but every time I do that he slumps again.
  • Tim Wheeler, OF, Rockies (Double-A Tulsa): 2-for-3, 2 R, RBI, 2 BB, K, SB. Hitting .370 overall and .320/.401/.623 overall in 44 games; has outside shot at 30-30 year with 12 home runs and nine stolen bases.

Kevin Goldstein is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Kevin's other articles. You can contact Kevin by clicking here

Related Content:  Luis Domoromo

33 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

Ian Miller

Scouting is a crazy business. If you'd seen Michael Choice on Monday (and only on Monday) like I did, you'd have no earthly idea the kid was a prospect: 0-for-3 with 2 walks, which Zack Wheeler was giving away like circus peanuts. Then he goes out of his mind on Wednesday and hits 2 bombs. Just underlines how much data you need before you can get an accurate picture of a guy.

My hats are off to those scouts. They've got an incredibly hard job.

May 26, 2011 11:05 AM
rating: -1
 
cooper7d7

But the scout is not interested in the outcome, but the approach, no?

May 26, 2011 13:06 PM
rating: -1
 
Ian Miller

Yes, but the two are related, and there's often a causal relationship between the two. Choice looked ghastly when I saw him the other day; the approach and the results were both poor.

May 26, 2011 14:21 PM
rating: -1
 
Peter7899

DJ LeMahieu is starting to show some doubles power this year at Tennessee (15 2B, 2 HR, .508 slg). The kid can obviously hit, but with the emergence of Darwin Barney and Flaherty also hitting well, what kind of future do you see DJ having in the Cubs organization?

May 26, 2011 11:15 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Never been a big believer in either LaMahieu or Flaherty, but think the latter has a chance at a utility career.

May 26, 2011 13:15 PM
 
SenatorsGuy

Isn't Profar on the Rangers?

May 26, 2011 11:35 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Jason Parks
BP staff

He was recently traded to Baltimore for a bucket of Buck Showalter's tears. Pretty fair deal, actually.

May 26, 2011 11:47 AM
 
Peter7899

Well that isn't true. Everyone knows Buck Showalter is physically incapable of shedding tears.

May 26, 2011 12:09 PM
rating: 6
 
adamcarralejo

I've heard before that Kyle Russell was a quality defender in RF but he didn't get a full write-up in the Top 11 - any idea what Kyle Russell's reasonable upside is? Good starter? or is he just pure AAAA material ...

May 26, 2011 12:12 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

I think he's going to hit 40+ home runs one day . . . in Japan.

May 26, 2011 13:15 PM
 
Tarakas

Is Matt Adam's low walk rate a concern?

May 26, 2011 12:22 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Yes. As is the body.

May 26, 2011 13:16 PM
 
BillJohnson

The walk rate has been a subject of hot debate at Future Redbirds, a Cardinals' minor-league blog. The question is: how worrisome is a low walk rate when the guy murders everything he does get a bat on? And will the lack of walks be a problem once he runs into pitching that he can't count on hitting hard? My own views are "quite" and "too likely," but there are differing opinions. Question: Are there any Adams comparables who have succeeded as power hitters in the bigs without having a minor-league BB rate above 5%? I'm hard pressed to think of any.

As for the body, word is that the Cardinals want to put him on a serious fitness/conditioning regime this winter. He'll always be a big guy, but excess fat can be dealt with (although I sure wish I could find a good way to deal with my own!).

May 26, 2011 13:49 PM
rating: 0
 
NYYanks826

Eight of Friedrich's 10 runs were unearned? Were his defenders playing with their hands tied behind their backs?

May 26, 2011 12:32 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Welcome to the minors!

May 26, 2011 13:16 PM
 
ttt

He gets two outs, then one guy reaches on an error and the flood gates open. One error can lead to infinity unearned runs. So either the minors or pre-1970s baseball.

May 26, 2011 16:40 PM
rating: 1
 
ofMontreal

Josh Vitters > Mark Reynolds?

May 26, 2011 13:01 PM
rating: 0
 
Lopecci

Tim Wheeler > = or < Carlos Gonzalez

May 26, 2011 13:06 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

C'mon. . .

May 26, 2011 13:16 PM
 
Lopecci
Other readers have rated this comment below the viewing threshold. Click here to view anyway.

You tell me, your the frickin expert.....c'mon !!

May 26, 2011 13:19 PM
rating: -16
 
CRP13

Reading between the ellipses, I will translate.

Carlos Gonzalez >>>>> Tim Wheeler.

Wheeler hit 249/341/348 in High A last season (510 AB). Maybe he figured something out, but still...comparing him to CarGo?

For the record, in his last stop at High A (though it WAS Lancaster...), Gonzalez hit 300/356/563 in 2006.

May 26, 2011 13:51 PM
rating: 2
 
Benjamin Harris

And CarGo was two years younger.

May 26, 2011 14:16 PM
rating: 1
 
Lopecci
Other readers have rated this comment below the viewing threshold. Click here to view anyway.

I guess nobody remembers greater than, less then, equal too signs? KG said 30/30 is a possiblity for Wheeler, what did Carlos do last year? 30/30? All I was asking is where is he at on the CarGo level, my frickin gosh man.... Ask a simple frickin question to the guy who is the head expert on the site for minor leaguers and I get a "C'mon" !! I don't read the stat lines everyday in the minors, I don't follow the frickin Rockies prospects. Would it have been that hard to type < ? Ya know, KG, not everybody is an expert, as you are...

May 26, 2011 14:56 PM
rating: -8
 
Cromulent

I suspect that what he was saying was that player evaluation is a little more complex and the variability of player profiles a rich enough tapestry that narrowing it down to > = or < is demeaning to both the players and the analyst.

May 26, 2011 16:19 PM
rating: -1
 
R.A.Wagman

Also, KG did not say 30/30 at the MLB level was a possibility for wheller, but that he could do it this year, in Tulsa.

May 26, 2011 20:32 PM
rating: 0
 
Edwincnelson

Is Paul Goldschmidt for real? I know that's a hitters' park but those numbers are getting hard to dismiss. I picked him up in my NL only Scoresheet league and I'm wondering if he has a shot to win a job in spring training next year.

May 26, 2011 14:02 PM
rating: 1
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

I think picking him up in your fantasy league to see if he's the real deal is a good idea.

May 26, 2011 14:23 PM
 
Dave Holgado

I'm not asking the "when will X be promoted" question, I promise, but... do you know if the D-Backs have a plan for all of their first basemen? Goldschmidt needs a new challenge, obviously, and the case could be made that, despite his being a little behind development-wise for his age (24), he ought to bypass Reno altogether. Brandon Allen, who's just a year older, isn't crushing AAA, but he's doing reasonably well. And it's hard to make the case that Juan Miranda (just 28 himself) should be sitting in favor of either of these prospects. Can either Goldschmidt or Allen, let alone both of them, fit into the big league club's future? Can Allen hack it defensively in LF, e.g.? If not, wouldn't a trade of one of them, or at least Miranda, make sense? Granted, one of the most 1B-desperate clubs (Dodgers) happens to be within their own division, but the A's, Blue Jays, Nats, and Pirates could all use a guy right now. What's the hold up?

May 26, 2011 15:06 PM
rating: 0
 
Dave Holgado

And btw, I fully acknowledge that I'm giving Miranda a little too much credit there, and that he's not all that much of a road block. But how can you Wally Pipp the guy when he's sporting a close to .900 OPS?

May 26, 2011 15:11 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

It's a great series of questions my good friend, and I don't have a series of good answers. I get the feeling they're going to mess around with a lot of guys this year and give Goldschmidt the real look in 2012.

May 26, 2011 16:15 PM
 
moehk21

If you had to take one: Paul Goldschmidt or Matt Adams? Higher Upside? Higher body mass index?

May 26, 2011 15:48 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

I think Goldschmidt has the edge in baseball talent, but when it comes to BMI, few can beat Adams. I know what he's listed at, but I'm guess he's more like 280.

May 26, 2011 16:15 PM
 
onegameref

Jared Mitchell has been on a bit of a tear lately. Could he be turning the corner on his way back to health? I have noted a few games of power, walks and no Ks. I read that his coaches changed his stance a bit. It looks like it may have done some good. Any thoughts?

May 27, 2011 08:37 AM
rating: 0
 
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