CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

<< Previous Article
Fantasy Focus: Back in... (05/04)
<< Previous Column
Transaction Analysis B... (05/04)
Next Column >>
Transaction Analysis B... (05/08)
Next Article >>
The BP Broadside: Eigh... (05/05)

May 5, 2011

Transaction Analysis Blog

Hosmer Promoted

by R.J. Anderson

KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart

Kansas City Royals
Optioned 1B Kila Ka'aihue to Triple-A Omaha. [5/5]
Promoted 1B Eric Hosmer from Triple-A Omaha. [5/5]

It’s difficult to tell what the future holds for Ka’aihue as he enters an awkward stage of his career.  He now has more than 300 major league plate appearances and a slash line of .216/.309/.375 to show for it. Granted, those plate appearances do stretch across parts of three seasons and four years, but the numbers conflict with his Triple-A offerings of .285/.424/.521. Perhaps Ka’aihue, now 27, possesses a skill set that is more advantageous in Triple-A than the majors. His selectivity leads to better hitting counts against weaker pitchers, thus allowing him to sit on fastballs and drive when he gets one.  

Even so, it’s difficult to believe he is truly this bad of a major league player. What Ka’aihue may need is a change of scenery. Not for the qualitative aspects—confidence boosting, mechanical adjusting, and what have you—but so he can receive a full season of playing time without looking over his shoulder at a top prospect or two attempting to take his job.  Maybe the Royals should have given him that opportunity before, but no longer is that their burden.

What is their burden is managing the 21-year-old Hosmer’s development. Hosmer has a month of Triple-A experience, but hit .439/.525/.582 and showed enough observationally for the Royals to deem him ready for action. It’s often said that Double-A is the real task for prospects, and Hosmer dismantled the competition last season as well, hitting .313/.365/.615 in 211 plate appearances. PECOTA’s weighted mean has Hosmer hitting .274/.329/.443 in the majors this season.  

Do note that Hosmer’s promotion comes before the Super Two deadline. Their decision not to wait can be looked upon as hasty and impatient or bold and invigorating.  Down the road, the Royals are probably going to pay for the decision in the most literal of senses, but for now, the Royals are in second place and one of the best prospects in baseball is now manning first base for them—cost be damned.  Say what you want about where their minds are, but their heart is in the right place.

For the fantasy perspective on Hosmer, make sure to check out Marc Normandin’s most recent take on him, and for a scouting report, Kevin Goldstein’s ranking of the Royals prospects as well as his placement amongst the Top 101

R.J. Anderson is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see R.J.'s other articles. You can contact R.J. by clicking here

5 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

jj0501

Quick, M's, A's, and Ray's GM's get on the phone for K-K,
an upgrade to current options is the on way to Omaha.

May 05, 2011 17:08 PM
rating: 0
 
CalledStrike3

Kila is hardly and upgrade over Justin Smoak (5 homers. .300 avg) ... The A's have their own combination of Kla in CCarter and Barton....
Kila is Carlos Pena light

May 05, 2011 20:31 PM
rating: 4
 
Shaun P.
(676)

Yep. RJ's suggestion of Kila going to a place where he has no prospects breathing down his back has TB written all over it.

May 06, 2011 10:31 AM
rating: 0
 
LoyalRoyal

Here's one vote for bold and invigorating! The central race is wide open and I think a number as low as 83-84 wins could be enough. Way to go Royals!!!

May 06, 2011 09:55 AM
rating: 0
 
louisbarash

If Hosmer can pitch, the Royals have a shot.

Alex Cobb --33Ks, 8 BBs in 26 IP at Durham -- looks ready to pitch in the majors, and should be an improvement over a number of Royals' starters. A straight up trade could be a plus for both teams, as Kila has nowhere to go in the Royals organization (unless they are willing to trade Butler for prospects before their best player starts getting expensive) and Cobb is buried in the Rays' organization; even if they part with Shields after this season the Ray's other prospects look better than Cobb. Cobb could be a useful back of the rotation starter for KC even after the prospects arrive. The one problem with this logic is that the Rays are contending in the East, and probably can't afford to just give Kila the job. While Kotchman will not keep this up, you need to have a lot of faith that Kila's minor league numbers and 84 ABs last September are real (and not his other 200 MLB ABs) before handing him a major league job and benching both kotchman and Johnson.

May 10, 2011 10:01 AM
rating: 0
 
You must be a Premium subscriber to post a comment.
Not a subscriber? Sign up today!
<< Previous Article
Fantasy Focus: Back in... (05/04)
<< Previous Column
Transaction Analysis B... (05/04)
Next Column >>
Transaction Analysis B... (05/08)
Next Article >>
The BP Broadside: Eigh... (05/05)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article League Preview Series
Every Team's Moneyball: Minnesota Twins: Reb...
Premium Article Skewed Left: History Repeats Itself
Premium Article League Preview Series
Premium Article Pitching Backward: Why Relievers Get A Free ...
Premium Article Spring Training Notebook: Cactus League
Prospectus Feature: How the Astros do Spring...

MORE FROM MAY 5, 2011
Premium Article Overthinking It: Year of the Stolen Base?
Baseball ProGUESTus: A Statistician Rereads ...
Premium Article The BP Broadside: The Premature Burial, by E...
Premium Article Divide and Conquer, AL West: The Disappointm...
The BP Broadside: Eight Things I Hope Are Tr...
Fantasy Article Fantasy Beat: Value Picks in the Bullpen

MORE BY R.J. ANDERSON
2011-05-09 - Transaction Analysis Blog: Reds Get Bailey a...
2011-05-08 - Transaction Analysis Blog: Mets Place Young ...
2011-05-05 - BP Unfiltered: An Umpiring Mess in St. Pete
2011-05-05 - Transaction Analysis Blog: Hosmer Promoted
2011-05-04 - Transaction Analysis Blog: The Twins Disable...
2011-05-03 - Premium Article Painting the Black: Making the Most of Mosko...
2011-05-03 - Transaction Analysis Blog: Rays Get Longoria...
More...

MORE TRANSACTION ANALYSIS BLOG
2011-05-10 - Transaction Analysis Blog: Mazzaro Moves In
2011-05-09 - Transaction Analysis Blog: Reds Get Bailey a...
2011-05-08 - Transaction Analysis Blog: Mets Place Young ...
2011-05-05 - Transaction Analysis Blog: Hosmer Promoted
2011-05-04 - Transaction Analysis Blog: The Twins Disable...
2011-05-03 - Transaction Analysis Blog: Rays Get Longoria...
2011-05-02 - Transaction Analysis Blog: Millwood Opts Out
More...

INCOMING ARTICLE LINKS
2011-05-09 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Beat: Value Picks at First, Third an...