CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Prospectus Q&A: Russel... (09/17)
<< Previous Column
One-Hoppers: Fun with ... (09/15)
Next Column >>
One-Hoppers: Even More... (09/18)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Houst... (09/17)

September 17, 2010

One-Hoppers

Three True Outcomes Leaders

by Jay Jaffe

You know we love the Three True Outcomes and have for over a decade. As Rany Jazayerli put it, "[T]he Three True Outcomes distill the game to its essence, the battle of pitcher against hitter, free from the distractions of the defense, the distortion of foot speed or the corruption of managerial tactics like the bunt and his wicked brother, the hit-and-run." But for all of our love, we've often failed to maintain a dedicated leaderboard in our stats reports. So today in honor of Marc Normandin's article on Adam Dunn and my own reference to the mystical TTO leaderboard in today's AL Hit List, I present to you the 2010 leaders (200 plate appearance minimum):

Rk

Player 

Tm

PA 

HR 

BB 

SO 

TTO%

1

Mark Reynolds

ARI

563

32

76

197

54.2%

2

Jim Thome

MIN

319

23

57

81

50.5%

3

Jack Cust

OAK

357

11

61

106

49.9%

4

Adam Dunn

WAS

590

35

70

175

47.5%

5

Russell Branyan

2TM

428

25

46

131

47.2%

6

Carlos Pena

TBA

529

27

79

143

47.1%

7

Mike Stanton

FLO

329

20

28

104

46.2%

8

Pedro Alvarez

PIT

322

11

34

103

46.0%

9

Shelley Duncan

CLE

220

10

21

70

45.9%

10

Chris Snyder

2TM

345

14

50

93

45.5%

11

Colby Rasmus

SLN

469

22

53

134

44.6%

12

David Ortiz

BOS

549

30

74

136

43.7%

13

Will Venable

SDN

396

12

43

118

43.7%

14

Rick Ankiel

2TM

207

5

20

65

43.5%

15

Pat Burrell

2TM

381

17

52

93

42.5%

16

Geovany Soto

CHN

378

17

61

79

41.5%

17

Andruw Jones

CHA

312

19

40

70

41.3%

18

Bill Hall

BOS

339

17

28

94

41.0%

19

Justin Upton

ARI

571

17

64

152

40.8%

20

Drew Stubbs

CIN

529

18

45

152

40.6%

21

B.J. Upton

TBA

548

17

61

144

40.5%

22

Jason Giambi

COL

208

6

34

44

40.4%

23

Matthew Joyce

TBA

213

8

34

44

40.4%

24

Jose Bautista

TOR

616

47

93

106

39.9%

25

Milton Bradley

SEA

278

8

28

75

39.9%

26

Marcus Thames

NYA

212

11

19

54

39.6%

27

Prince Fielder

MIL

639

30

96

127

39.6%

28

Jayson Werth

PHI

601

21

74

142

39.4%

29

Michael Saunders

SEA

279

8

30

72

39.4%

30

Dan Uggla

FLO

604

30

71

137

39.4%

31

Mike Napoli

LAA

463

25

35

122

39.3%

32

Adam LaRoche

ARI

560

23

45

152

39.3%

33

David Wright

NYN

610

23

66

149

39.0%

34

Wilson Betemit

KCA

263

12

32

58

38.8%

35

Ian Stewart

COL

423

18

42

104

38.8%

36

Rickie Weeks

MIL

678

27

65

170

38.6%

37

Ike Davis

NYN

539

18

64

126

38.6%

38

Ryan Howard

PHI

560

29

47

140

38.6%

39

Jason Heyward

ATL

556

17

81

116

38.5%

40

Brad Hawpe

2TM

325

9

40

76

38.5%

As he did in 2009, Reynolds leads the majors by dint of a 200+ strikeout pace, and looks to have the title of TTO champion sewn up. Alas, he's is having a relatively down season by most measures, hitting just .207/.326/.456 due both to contact woes and bad luck on balls in play; his BABIP has dropped from .338 last year to .261 this year due to those pesky fielders and their meddling ways. The next five names on the list below Reynolds are all familiar to TTO connoisseurs, but there's some new blood in the lower reaches of the top 10 via rookies Alvarez and Stanton, and the journeyman Duncan. The likes of Rasmus and Venable are also relatively new to this party. The TTO style lives on! Note also the presence of four Diamondbacks here (including the departed Snyder, now in Pittsburgh); as Joe Posnanski points out, the Snakes are on their way to a record-setting season for whiffing. The Rays, who lead the AL in K's, have five names here themselves, including two-teamers Burrell and Hawpe. 

Jay Jaffe is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Jay's other articles. You can contact Jay by clicking here

13 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Prospectus Q&A: Russel... (09/17)
<< Previous Column
One-Hoppers: Fun with ... (09/15)
Next Column >>
One-Hoppers: Even More... (09/18)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Houst... (09/17)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: A Pierz to be Missing
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, July 11
Notes from the Field: Not Jose Fernandez (Bu...
Premium Article Raising Aces: Breakout Breakdown: Corey Klub...
Pebble Hunting: The Best Defensive Game of J...
Premium Article 2014 Futures Game Preview
Overthinking It: Forever Changes

MORE FROM SEPTEMBER 17, 2010
Premium Article Prospectus Hit List: AL: The Wheat from The ...
Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Houston Astros
Checking the Numbers: CarGo on the Road
Premium Article Prospectus Q&A: Russell Branyan
Premium Article Under The Knife: Is Ryan's Way Working?
Premium Article On the Beat: The Baffling Angels
Premium Article Ahead in the Count: High BABIPs and True Ski...

MORE BY JAY JAFFE
2010-09-23 - Prospectus Hit List: NL: Getting Sorted
2010-09-21 - Premium Article Prospectus Perspective: September Song
2010-09-17 - Premium Article Prospectus Hit List: AL: The Wheat from The ...
2010-09-17 - One-Hoppers: Three True Outcomes Leaders
2010-09-16 - Premium Article Prospectus Hit List: NL: Do The Tighten Up
2010-09-14 - Premium Article Prospectus Hit and Run: JUMP Again
2010-09-14 - Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Baltimore Orioles
More...

MORE ONE-HOPPERS
2010-09-28 - One-Hoppers: An LDS Menage a Trois?
2010-09-24 - One-Hoppers: Taking Turns
2010-09-18 - One-Hoppers: Even More Fun with Opponent Qua...
2010-09-17 - One-Hoppers: Three True Outcomes Leaders
2010-09-15 - One-Hoppers: Fun with Opponent Quality
2010-09-10 - One-Hoppers: The Little Closer That Could
2010-08-31 - One-Hoppers: The Strongest of the Week
More...

INCOMING ARTICLE LINKS
2011-01-20 - Premium Article Free Agent Bargain Bin: Infielders