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August 21, 2009

Future Shock Blog

by Kevin Goldstein

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At this point, it might not be enough

Carlos Zambrano, RHP, Cubs (Low-A Peoria)
Thursday's stats: 5 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 5 K
On the shelf since early in the month with back spasms, Zambrano carved up Midwest League hitters on Thursday in preparation for a return to the Cubs rotation. The problem is, it might be too little, too late, as the Cardinals have the biggest lead of any division leader, and the North Siders have four teams ahead of them in the wild card race. It's looking nearly impossible for the Cubs to make the playoffs at this point, but it would be even more so without Big Z.

This much closer to the big leagues

Jeremy Hellickson, RHP, Rays (Triple-A Durham)
Thursday's stats: 5 IP, 3 H, 2 R (1 ER), 2 BB, 10 K
Hellickson continues his ascension both up the Rays prospect list and on his journey to the big leagues, as he needed just five innings to establish a season high in strikeouts. With the International League batting just .192 against him, Hellickson is ready for a look in the eyes of many, but at this point, it would cost them a roster spot, so it's a brief September look for him at best.

No worries...

Buster Posey, C, Giants (Triple-A Fresno)
Thursday's stats: 2-for-3, BB
For anyone concerned with Posey's ability to handle a jump from the California League to Triple-A, Posey has now reeled off five straight multi-hit games, is batting .444 in his last 10, and .319/.404/.543 in 26 games for the Grizzlies. The Giants insist there's no guarantee that he'll be called up this year, but as far as being the team's primary catcher in 2010, book it.

Welcome to the pros

Mike Minor, LHP, Braves (Low-A Rome)
Thursday's stats: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K
One of the more controversial first-round selections, Minor was the seventh overall selection in June, despite the fact that some teams didn't even see his talent as first-round worthy. The poster boy for the risk vs. reward debate, it's hard to find anyone who doesn't think he'll be a solid big-league starter, but it's equally difficult to find anyone who thinks he'll be a star. The masses also think he can move quickly, and by retiring all six players he faced in his pro debut, he's well on his way.

Paperwork is finally in order

Maikel Cleto, RHP, Mariners (Low-A Clinton)
Thursday's stats: 3 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 6 K
Going from the Mets to the Mariners in the complicated J.J. Putz trade completed last winter, Cleto begin the year on Seattle's Double-A roster, only he wasn't actually with the team, as the 20-year-old Domincan's problems with getting a visa in order to return to the States turned into a nearly four-month affair. Still shaking the rust off, Cleto is one of the harder throwers in the minors, often getting into the mid to upper 90s with his fastball, but he still needs to work on his secondary stuff and command.

Sleeper alert?

Daniel Moskos, LHP, Pirates (Double-A Altoona)
Thursday's stats: 7 IP, 4 H, 1 R (0 ER), 1 BB, 6 K
While it's strange to call a guy who was the fourth overall pick two years ago a sleeper pick, many had already written off Moskos, who entered the year with a career 5.64 ERA and the possibility of being remembered as little more than the guy the Pirates took (under their former administration) instead of Matt Wieters in the 2007 draft. However, something is suddenly clicking for Moskos, who has transformed himself into a bit of a ground-ball machine, as evidenced by the 15 non-strikeout outs in last night's first complete game. Only two came in the air. With a 2.60 ERA in his last six starts, there's suddenly some hope here.


Kevin Goldstein is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Kevin's other articles. You can contact Kevin by clicking here

11 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

G. Guest

Because I'm sure you saw this question coming: Has Hellickson passed Wade Davis in terms of long-term prospects to be a starter? Looking at the stats, they're similar in a similar sample size at AAA while 22 y/o.

Looking at the stats, Davis seems to be pretty similar in Durham in '09, with a light drop off since his few appearances in '08.

What are the scouts saying about these two that the stats don't?

Aug 21, 2009 09:16 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

I certainly think there's a discussion to be had there. Some scouts are always going to prefer the significantly bigger guy (Davis), but I'm not sure Hellickson's not better.

Aug 21, 2009 10:07 AM
 
jwschaefer

no capt. kirk?

"Whoa. Kirk Nieuwenhuis was 2-5 and drilled a tie-breaking grand slam in the sixth inning. That’s now three games in a row with a jack for the CF. In his last six games, Nieuwenhuis is 11-for-23 (.478) with three doubles, a triple, and five homeruns, that’s a 1.348 slugging percentage for those of you keeping score at home. I can’t think of any other Mets hitter who had a week like this all year; it’s absolutely remarkable." - http://www.metsminorleagueblog.com/

Aug 21, 2009 09:23 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Capt. Kirk was the LAST cut. He's definitely crazy hot and kind of interesting as a prospect.

Aug 21, 2009 10:06 AM
 
Meddler1

Hah, this is what I was going to ask, fair enough.

Aug 21, 2009 10:49 AM
rating: 0
 
mymrbig

Any decent comps for Hellickson in terms of what his upside might be? Seems like a guy who had a couple years in a row where his numbers were much better than his scouting reports. Now scouts seem to be getting on the bandwagon. Has Hellickson changed/improved, or is he just better at doing what he does than scouts gave him credit for?

Aug 21, 2009 10:50 AM
rating: 0
 
stencil1047

If the Giants remain in contention, does it make sense for the Giants to call Posey up to play a different position just to get his bat in the lineup for the pennant race? I know it might slow his development a bit, but given the giants need for offense, it seems like it makes sense if it might make the difference in their chances to make the post-season.

Aug 21, 2009 11:05 AM
rating: 0
 
gregorybfoley

Bengie Molina has a .280 OBP so catcher would be a great place for the Giants to upgrade their offense.

Aug 24, 2009 05:29 AM
rating: 0
 
stencil1047

I guess I overlooked the obvious.

Aug 24, 2009 19:51 PM
rating: 0
 
JBailey

Was Danny Duffy also a late cut? It was nice to see him return from some reported back stiffness earlier in the month to record 5 no-hit innings last night.

Aug 21, 2009 11:06 AM
rating: 0
 
wilykat

Wasn't Moskos drafted with the expectation that he'd be a closer? When did they try him as a starter?

Aug 21, 2009 14:05 PM
rating: 0
 
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