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September 6, 2008

Future Shock

All Pedro, All of the Time--Can I Have My Law Degree Now?

by Kevin Goldstein


The hearing for Grievance No. 2008-11 (August 15 deadline) begins on Wednesday, and to an outsider, it looks like an open and shut case. The grievance, as filed by the union against MLB, accuses the Commissioner's Office of providing extensions to the signing deadline, thus changing collectively bargained rules without informing the union. In statements about the case, Major League Baseball has already admitted to providing such extensions. So while it looks like an easy win for the union, the more complicated issue concerns the award. As detailed yesterday, the grievance is not filed on behalf of Pedro Alvarez, Eric Hosmer, or their advisor, Scott Boras, nor is it filed against the Kansas City Royals or the Pittsburgh Pirates. It's only the MLBPA versus MLB, which complicates any kind of relief, as any determination for relief will have a significant effect on individuals as opposed to their organizations as a whole. Here's a look at many of the potential scenarios being ventured, both in order of explosiveness, and also (unfortunately for those who love drama) in inverse order of likelihood.

1. Contracts for those players who signed late are voided.
Pedro Alvarez and Eric Hosmer are either (a) free agents, or (b) subject to the following year's draft.

This certainly would be explosive, but it's just not going to happen. On a purely logical, black-and-white level, it does make some sense; the deadline for contracts is midnight, Alvarez and Hosmer's contracts came after midnight, therefore the contracts are void. That certainly seems right on the surface, but the deadline extensions given to teams by Major League Baseball crush the theory because of the legal doctrine of promissory estoppel, or a related term known as detrimental reliance. This doctrine states that, "promissory estoppel prevents one party from withdrawing a promise made to a second party if the latter has reasonably relied on that promise and acted upon it to his detriment." By giving teams extensions to the deadline, and having those extensions communicated to the players and/or their advisor(s), one of the negotiating parties (the team) made a promise that the rule now allowed for negotiations and signings past midnight.

To void these contracts now would go against the doctrine of promissory estoppel; by initially not meeting the deadline after having promised an extension to the players, and now saying that the contracts are void, would be to admit that the players acted to their detriment by not meeting the initial deadline. Again, this is a grievance hearing and not a legal proceeding, and the arbitrator can rule however he sees fit, but the chances of this happening are about the same as you and I sitting down at a blackjack table and being dealt 21... 21 times in a row.

  • Who would be mad about this: Pretty much everyone, except for Pedro Alvarez and possibly Eric Hosmer. In an open bidding war the two players would make significantly more money. As far as re-entering the 2009 draft goes, people can talk all they want about how this situation hurts the players value because of the shenanigans and time off and makeup questions, but we have precedent here. The same was said about Luke Hochevar after the strangeness surrounding his dealings with the Dodgers in 2005. He re-entered the draft and ended up being the first overall pick, while also signing for a larger bonus than the one he had agreed on from the Dodgers before deciding not to sign the contract.
  • Who this would be unfair to: Pretty much everyone. Both the Pirates and the Royals had reason to believe that they were acting in good faith by asking for the extended windows in which to sign the two players, and both certainly would have acted differently had those extensions not been available. In counter-balance to that, both of the players may also have acted differently had it been clearer that the deadline was not the truly the deadline.

2. Void the contracts for those players who signed late, but re-open a window of negotiation.

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<< Previous Article
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (09/06)
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Premium Article Future Shock: The Proc... (09/05)
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Prospectus Q&A: Cito G... (09/07)

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