CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

No Previous Article
<< Previous Column
The Daily Prospectus: ... (09/13)
Next Column >>
The Daily Prospectus: ... (09/15)
No Next Article

September 14, 2000

The Daily Prospectus

Beating the Horse

by Joe Sheehan

Who's the best Cy Young candidate on the Braves?

                ERA   GS   CG   ShO      IP    W-L
Tom Glavine    3.62   31    3     1   214.0   19-7
Greg Maddux    3.09   32    6     3   230.1   17-8

As I write this, I don't have updated Support-Neutral or VORP data. Suffice to say Greg Maddux has extended his lead over Tom Glavine since the last time we had this discussion, and is still the best pitcher on the Braves' staff. The only thing Glavine has over him is wins, a statistic that reflects run support and bullpen support as much as it does pitcher performance.

I confess, I am not just an impartial analyst in this matter. Greg Maddux is my favorite pitcher; I love watching him, and I often reconfigure my schedule to watch him pitch. I know he's not the best pitcher in the league this season--Randy Johnson is--but if we're giving away Cy Young Awards to undeserving pitchers, can we at least get the right one?

The BBWAA got it right in 1999, picking the better pitcher over the one with more wins. They got it wrong as recently as 1996, though, when John Smoltz won instead of Kevin Brown, who was the best pitcher in the NL by a fair amount. There's a very real chance they're going to get it wrong again this year. Here's hoping they don't.

Speaking of pitchers who were really, really good in 1992, check out this performance since a disabled-list trip in June:

                 ERA   GS     IP    W-L
                2.41   15   97.0    9-0

This Roger Clemens guy can pitch a little. Clemens has allowed just two runs in his last four starts and, if not for that Pedro guy, would be the favorite to win his sixth Cy Young Award. He'll be the Yankees' #1 starter in the playoffs, setting up the possibility that he and Martinez could reprise their May 28 duel in October.

Among analysts, Clemens's greatness is taken for granted. He's one of the ten best pitchers ever, a first-ballot, inner-circle Hall of Famer. I can't help but think that he's never really gotten his full due from fans or the media, though. Perhaps it's because he didn't have a run, like Maddux from 1992 to 1995, that gave his career a discernable peak. Clemens won five Cy Young Awards over a 13-year period, but never more than two in a row (a feat he accomplished twice). His best seasons follow a similar pattern.

I'd like to see Clemens continue his phenomenal performance into the 2000 postseason. He doesn't need the accolades, but if he were to have a four start stretch like he's just had with everyone paying attention, it might finally seal his image in everyone's mind.

Joe Sheehan can be reached at jsheehan@baseballprospectus.com.

Joe Sheehan is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Joe's other articles. You can contact Joe by clicking here

0 comments have been left for this article.

No Previous Article
<< Previous Column
The Daily Prospectus: ... (09/13)
Next Column >>
The Daily Prospectus: ... (09/15)
No Next Article

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article The View from the Loge Level: Ode to Joe
Premium Article What You Need to Know: July 25, 2014
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Kendrys Redux
Premium Article Skewed Left: The Mismatched Incentives of Dr...
Premium Article Notes from the Field: What's Wrong With Appe...
Premium Article The Call-Up: Chris Taylor
Premium Article Raising Aces: Shelby Miller's Fall From Grac...

MORE FROM SEPTEMBER 14, 2000
AL West Notebook

MORE BY JOE SHEEHAN
2000-09-19 - The Daily Prospectus: Red Sox/Indians
2000-09-18 - The Daily Prospectus: An Olympian Effort
2000-09-15 - The Daily Prospectus: Dot, dot, dot...
2000-09-14 - The Daily Prospectus: Beating the Horse
2000-09-13 - The Daily Prospectus: Sammy Sooser
2000-09-11 - The Daily Prospectus: Bryce Florie
2000-09-08 - The Daily Prospectus: A Giant Story
More...

MORE THE DAILY PROSPECTUS
2000-09-19 - The Daily Prospectus: Red Sox/Indians
2000-09-18 - The Daily Prospectus: An Olympian Effort
2000-09-15 - The Daily Prospectus: Dot, dot, dot...
2000-09-14 - The Daily Prospectus: Beating the Horse
2000-09-13 - The Daily Prospectus: Sammy Sooser
2000-09-11 - The Daily Prospectus: Bryce Florie
2000-09-08 - The Daily Prospectus: A Giant Story
More...