December 5, 2007
Who Are the Six?
When the Detroit Tigers traded six players to the Marlins for Miguel Cabrera and Dontrelle Willis, the lobby was filled with questions about just who exactly the six where. Everyone knew that Detroit had sent along Andrew Miller and Cameron Maybin, but as the team has few actual prospects (other than 2007 draftees), the rest just seems like piling on to most of last night's pile-on, making the deal in most people's mind more of two-for-two deal in many ways.
In Maybin, the Marlins fill what has been their biggest positional hole for some time. He's massively talented, but as much as scouts love him, they have the some concerns that PECOTA has, notably his high strikeout rate. He'll play every day for Florida in 2008, ready or not, and he'll likely be one of those players who dazzles one day and frustrates the next--with one scout setting the over/under on his strikeouts at 150. I'm not knocking Maybin as a prospect, because he's still an easy five-star player and one of the top outfield prospects in the game, but based on multiple conversations here in Nashville, both before and after the deal, he might have moved down a bit on my top 100, as scouts have more concerns about him than I realized.
Miller is also a player who hasn't been quite as good as the tools should indicate. Six-foot-six lefties whose velocity sit in the mid-90s don't exactly grow on trees, yet Miller has rarely dominated on a statistical level, even at High-A in 2007. One issue with Miller is his inconsistent command, as his long and lanky build still leads to inconsistent release points. The other primary knock against Miller is his lack of aggressiveness. Scouts don't see a streak in him as nasty as his stuff, and he often avoids challenging hitters or pitching inside. He has the skills to be a frontline starter, but in the end, he's yet to pitch to one.
The other four players are all marginal-to-decent prospects:
My opinion meshes with the general consensus of those that I spoke to last night about the deal: yes, for their pair of young stars the Marlins received a lot in terms of raw numbers, but couldn't they have received more in term of raw talent?