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September 14, 2007

Protrade Market Movers

Week of September 13, 2007

by Jeff Ma

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Your wait is over, baseball fans--Protrade Live Beta is now up and running at www.ProtradeLive.com. For those not in the know, Protrade Live is the next generation in baseball play-by-play on the web that combines fan opinions and real-time Win Probability calculations with the traditional box score for an entirely new experience. Check it out--it's like nothing you've ever seen.

Welcome to Market Movers, Protrade's report covering how sports fans from around the world are valuing Major League Baseball stocks in the world's only 24/7 virtual Sports Stock Market. Protrade is a next-generation fantasy sports experience centered around a community of passionate fans who trade players and teams like stocks. Our virtual sports stock market helps capture the wisdom of these fans by enabling them to display their reactions and generate a market response to every event in sports news; every at-bat, every rumor, and every injury report can be factored into the value of an athlete or team. Equalized across all sports so that the best baseball players are worth roughly the same as the best football and basketball players in Protrade Dollars (PT$), our prices are set by market analysts before the beginning of every season with a "season IPO," and then move based on a combination of on-field performance and buy/sell pressure.

For more information on how our market works, check out Protrade's FAQ. You can also register for free by clicking here.

And now, Protrade's top five market gainers and losers since Sept. 6, 2007:

MLB Market Movers
Rk Player Ticker Team Price Sept. 6 Change
1. Dioner Navarro DNAVA Devil Rays $54.97
$45.00 22.13%
While his season line isn't exactly worthy of writing home about, Navarro has quietly raked since the All-Star break--.308/.367/.519 in 155 PA--and seems to be finally getting comfortable behind the plate in Tampa. Yes, he's been on the prospect radar since before high-quality camera phones and MySpace profiles, but at 23 he still has a lot of room to grow into a nice career.
2. Mark Ellis MELLI.A Athletics $141.01
$125.76 12.12%
As usual, Ellis has heated up down the stretch, batting .287/.339/.478 with 25 extra-base hits since July 12. Over the course of his career, Ellis has now posted an OPS that's 120 points higher after the All-Star Break, and that's in a decent sample of at-bats.
3. Hank Blalock HBLAL Rangers $64.05
$58.04 10.34%
Don't look now, but after spending most of 2007 on the DL and most of his career disappointing Rangers fans, Blalock has torched opposing pitchers at a .323/.382/.742 rate in September, providing traders with a low-risk, moderate-upside option. Sure, it's just some 30-odd at-bats that probably don't represent much of an improvement for Blalock overall, but it's something to be pleased with about his performance. When was the last time you could say that about the former third-round pick?
4. Carlos Pena CPENA Devil Rays $209.60
$191.78 9.29%
Here we are again; this is just getting boring now. Batting an insane .279/.398/.612 and a legitimate down-ballot MVP candidate, Pena has completely revitalized his career in three short months. Coming into the season, I'm not sure I could have found someone to take the over on 30 home runs for the rest of Pena's career.
5. Huston Street HSTRE Athletics $89.20
$82.70 7.85%
When it comes to the A's season, you've got to focus on the silver lining, and Street's performance since July 23 shines bright. First of all, he's been able to take the mound with regularity since coming off the DL. That's a big step forward, considering all the lingering health problems Oakland has endured in 2007. Secondly, his peripherals have been absolutely stellar in that time--in 26 innings, Street has whiffed 38 batters while allowing just four walks.
1. Jeremy Bonderman JBOND Tigers $94.80
$129.59 26.85%
On the heels of a season that saw him post a shockingly-high ERA that barely jibes with his underlying perihperal numbers, Bonderman will likely spend the rest of the year idled by elbow inflammation. Is it the product of more than 900 innings before his 25th birthday? Probably. Should he still be on your short list of top fantasy starting pitchers for 2008? Absolutely.
2. Brandon McCarthy BMCCA.A Rangers $37.69
$46.12 18.29%
There aren't too many players who endured a more damaging 2007 season than McCarthy, who was once a well-regarded pitching prospect, but who now seems like a poor replacement for John Danks in the Rangers' rotation. The owner of a 5.04 ERA and even less impressive peripheral numbers, McCarthy recently came off the DL following a stress fracture in his right shoulder blade, only to surrender three runs on three hits in just two-thirds of an inning. I wish I could say this was an out-of-the-ordinary performance for the former White Sock, but it's the sixth time this year that he's managed to allow more runs than innings pitched in a single night.
3. Troy Glaus TGLAU Blue Jays $120.82
$144.00 16.10%
He's been recently accused of PED use, and he'll undergo season-ending surgery next week to repair a nerve in his left foot, but what's perhaps most disconcerting about Glaus for me is the way he collapsed down the stretch, batting just .214/.319/.358 with six home runs since July 17. Like Bonderman, Glaus' stock has been retired for the remainder of 2007; he'll enter 2008 in the mid-range of AL third basemen.
4. Dave Bush DBUSH Brewers $106.34
$125.25 15.10%
Like Anthony Reyes, a quick perusal of Bush's peripheral numbers just don't tell enough of the story. Although his strikeout-to-walk ratio resides comfortably in the three-to-one range, but he's been unable to miss bats a lot of the time (away from Milwaukee, opposing hitters have hit .323/.375/.492), and that's a significant problem. Instead of taking a step forward in the second half like so many people hoped he would, Bush has fallen two steps back, posting a 6.18 ERA with 14 home runs allowed in just 59 2/3 innings.
5. Adam Lind ALIND Blue Jays $51.78
$60.33 14.18%
Lind recently rejoined the big club, but unless he goes all Chone Figgins on the league over the next few weeks, he won't be able to save his season, which was marred by a .171/.200/.280 performance in May. While Lind's long-term outlook is still relatively strong--he hit .299/.353/.471 in Triple-A as a 23-year-old this year--the short-term view is decidedly less optimistic.

Protrade Live is the next generation in baseball play-by-play on the web that combines live fan opinions and advanced analytics with the traditional box score for an entirely new experience. Check it out now at ProtradeLive.com.

Related Content:  Fan Reactions

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