CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: Sa... (10/04)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: H... (09/30)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: P... (10/07)
Next Article >>
Prospectus Notebook: I... (10/05)

October 5, 2005

Prospectus Matchups

The In-Spite-Of Team

by Jim Baker

the archives are now free.

All Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible.

Not a subscriber? Get exclusive content like this delivered hot to your inbox every weekday. Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

Subscribe for $4.95 per month
Recurring subscription - cancel anytime.


a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Purchase a $39.95 gift subscription
a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Come playoff time, a curious thing happens: every player who appears in a game is lionized. Why is this? Allow me to present the tautology:

A team is in playoffs and
A player is on the team
Therefore: the player must be part of the reason the team is in playoffs.
You will hear platitudes about players who, by virtue of circumstances, find themselves in the thick of a battle they are probably not worthy to join. That won't prevent some of them from coming up with a timely hit and etching their names amongst the immortals.

Here, then, are the players who contributed the least to the eight teams who made it into the playoff maze. Not all of them are around for the postseason, but some are and, with them, you'll have to endure a barrage of compliments as to what wonderful contributors they are.

Catcher: Johnny Estrada, Atlanta, .232 EqA, 3.0 WARP1

Jose Molina was worse, in less playing time, as a back-up for the Angels. His brother Yadier of the Cardinals had a worse VORP than Estrada but had the better defensive season, helping him post a WARP1 of 4.0. HACKING MASS players might be shocked to discover that Brad Ausmus does not make the squad. His 4.1 WARP1 in 2005 was better than all playoff catchers other than Jason Varitek and Jorge Posada.

First Base: Darin Erstad, Los Angeles, .256 EqA, 4.2 WARP1

Erstad is a better fielder than most of the other playoff-team first sackers, but he gets the nod based on a VORP of just 7.7 in 667 plate appearances. That's a lot of work with very little result, especially at a position where, as I once read on a Topps bubblegum card, good offense is desirable, if not mandatory.

Second Base: Mark Bellhorn, Boston/New York, .256 EqA, 2.2 WARP1

It's not often that a player can try to torpedo the efforts of not one but two playoff-bound teams, but Bellhorn managed to do just that in 2005, albeit on a tiny scale with the Yankees. Regardless, he was a member of the 2004 Red Sox and for that, he will be forever immortal in New England, regardless of subsequent events.

Third Base: The Padres' trio of Sean Burroughs, Joe Randa and Geoff Blum

Randa, the last man standing, did not bring his A-game with him from Cincinnati. His EqA dropped by 40 points as a Padre, a mark still 15 points higher than that posted by Burroughs in his unfortunate 2005 effort. Blum was dispatched to another playoff team, the White Sox, where he did just about nothing in 77 plate appearances. It would be natural to assume that the In-Spite-Of Team would be loaded with Padres, what with their 82-80 record and even worse projections, but that's not the case. Randa is still pretty legit, though, so his inclusion here is, to some extent, an unfortunate byproduct of a small sample size.

Shortstop: Adam Everett, Houston, .231 EqA, 4.0 WARP1

That -19 BRAA puts Everett at the bottom of the eight playoff shortstops.

Left Field: Chris Burke, Houston, .238 EqA, 1.2 WARP1

The Astros overcame a lot of lineup malfeasance to get where they are in 2005. In addition to Burke's brutal showing, Mike Lamb put in some hurtful appearances, posting a .239 EqA and a .7 WARP1 while sometimes batting third in the lineup. Is it any wonder Roger Clemens got so little support?

Center Field: Steve Finley, Los Angeles, .233 EqA, 1.6 WARP1

Wow, how did the Angels get 95 wins? Between Finley and Erstad...unbelievable. That's some serious holeage in the ol' lineup. It was a nice career, but it's over, really.

Right Field: Vacant

No playoff team right fielder really fits the bill. By default, it would go to Raul Mondesi, who posted a .214 EqA in limited duty with the Braves. He is very far removed from the playoffs, however.

We cannot leave the outfield without some mention of Tony Womack. Had he played more, he'd probably be the In-Spite-Of MVP (or LVP or something). He's taken enough abuse from analysts this year, so we'll leave it at that...unless he has the temerity to come back for more next year. Then the gloves come off again.

Designated Hitter: Carl Everett, Chicago, .260 EqA, 1.4 WARP1

Everett complained when he was dropped in the order, and who can blame him? Nobody can give an objective assessment of a player like the player himself, right? Apart from Scott Hatteberg of the A's, Everett was the only DH with considerable playing time who posted a negative MLV. When your sole job is to contribute offensively, well, you had better be contributing offensively. Get used to hearing about his veteran presence, though. It will be a fixture of the 2005 postseason for as long as the White Sox are in it.

Starting Pitcher (minimum 20 starts): Wandy Rodriguez, Houston, -1.9 VORP

The great thing about the weak link in a rotation is that they can be shipped to Siberia for the duration of the playoffs and the team will be better for it. As for Rodriguez's rookie year: too much of everything except strikeouts. The Yankee trio of Kevin Brown, Jaret Wright and Carl Pavano was worse, but didn't stay in the rotation long enough to qualify for the artificial threshold of 20 starts that I established.

Swingman: Curt Schilling, Boston, 1.3 VORP

He could turn on a dime, though, as he did last Sunday against the Yankees. To be fair, Schilling was on the receiving end of some miserable luck this year. Balls in play fell in at an alarming rate for him in 2005 while his strikeout rate stayed consistent with last year's. Sometimes it just doesn't work out, which is why you shouldn't mortgage your trailer home to bet against him this week.

Reliever: Alan Embree, Boston/New York, -8.8 VORP

Just when it seemed like Embree was turning things around with a 3.86 ERA in August, he blew up in September to the tune of 14.54. Adam Bernero of the Braves was also a viable candidate. He pitched 10 more innings and had a VORP of -6.3.

Closer: Danny Kolb, Atlanta, -4.8 VORP

Relieved of his closer job, Kolb gave up 28 more hits and 14 more walks in essentially the same amount of innings he pitched in 2004. On the positive side, he increased his strikeout total from 21 to 39. Why don't we just credit Leo Mazzone with that?

Related Content:  The Who

0 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: Sa... (10/04)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: H... (09/30)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: P... (10/07)
Next Article >>
Prospectus Notebook: I... (10/05)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: A Pierz to be Missing
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, July 11
Notes from the Field: Not Jose Fernandez (Bu...
Premium Article Raising Aces: Breakout Breakdown: Corey Klub...
Pebble Hunting: The Best Defensive Game of J...
Premium Article 2014 Futures Game Preview
Overthinking It: Forever Changes

MORE FROM OCTOBER 5, 2005
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: Atlanta Braves vs. Houst...
Premium Article Prospectus Today: Blowout Day
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: Division Series, Day One
Premium Article Prospectus Game of the Week: Boston Red Sox ...
Premium Article Blast from the Past: Jon Daniels Q&A
Prospectus Notebook: Indians, Yankees, Devil...

MORE BY JIM BAKER
2005-10-14 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: Looking Back
2005-10-11 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: Ranting and Raving
2005-10-07 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: Playoff Octet
2005-10-05 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: The In-Spite-Of Team
2005-09-30 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: Heavenly World Series
2005-09-27 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: Four-Way Tie
2005-09-23 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: From the Headlines
More...

MORE PROSPECTUS MATCHUPS
2005-10-14 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: Looking Back
2005-10-11 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: Ranting and Raving
2005-10-07 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: Playoff Octet
2005-10-05 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: The In-Spite-Of Team
2005-09-30 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: Heavenly World Series
2005-09-27 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: Four-Way Tie
2005-09-23 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: From the Headlines
More...

INCOMING ARTICLE LINKS
2007-10-09 - Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: Me So Worthy, or Unwort...