CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

No Previous Article
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Under The Knife: Getti... (09/27)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Under The Knife: Too M... (09/29)
No Next Article

September 28, 2004

Under The Knife

Returns and Second Chances

by Will Carroll

the archives are now free.

All Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible.

Not a subscriber? Get exclusive content like this delivered hot to your inbox every weekday. Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

Subscribe for $4.95 per month
Recurring subscription - cancel anytime.


a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Purchase a $39.95 gift subscription
a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

It's amazing how much news is happening this week in baseball. It's almost like they need a whole network to show it all. You know, like the NBA and NFL have, just with more games. Show some of the great content of MLB.tv--maybe all the condensed games overnight so I can Tivo them. Do more things like Yankeeography and Nine Innings from Ground Zero that build the mythology of baseball. Can't you see a Crossfire-style show called "Beer and Tacos", facing off "Fat Scout" and "Pasty Stathead?" I know every week isn't like this, but lots of them are. It keeps me wide awake.

Powered by Brian Wilson's finally released masterpiece SMiLE on to the injuries...

  • I'm at a loss as to what to call Mark Loretta's season. Is it a breakout? Not really, since he was pretty darn good for the last couple seasons. It's hardly a fluke, despite the near universal lack of recognition Loretta gets. Let's just call it a surprise that he matched his 125th percentile PECOTA projection. With this surprise season nearly over, Loretta avoided ending it on a sour note. He was hit in the forearm by a 94mph heater, but X-rays were negative and the Padres believe he'll be back on the field quickly.

  • The Cards expect to bring back Scott Rolen on Tuesday against the Astros. Rolen is running with a slight limp and will be watched closely. Sources are conflicted on whether he's on "Edgar rules"--asked not to run hard. While one team official said that was the plan, the other said it was discarded since "Rolen is incapable of not playing 110%." Rolen's calf strain remains a dubious diagnosis to many, so this will be watched closely. Want to play medhead? It will be more interesting to see how Rolen stops than runs. The Cards aren't sure what to do with Steve Kline either. His finger injury may keep him off the playoff roster.

  • After getting crushed by the Red Sox in only two-thirds of an inning, Kevin Brown has a last chance. His left hook to the wall has given him a goat tag he'll wear like an albatross if George doesn't get another ring. Brown will get one more start to convince everyone--mostly Joe Torre--that he deserves a spot on the roster, if not the rotation. Indications are that Jason Giambi will be on the roster for the Division Series. He'll be used mostly as a pinch hitter or DH.

  • The Rangers late surge has come despite the absence of Alfonso Soriano (and half their bullpen). Soriano's hamstring is making progress, a case of too little, too late. He could see some action in the last few days of the season, though there's little reason to do so. Soriano is almost surely playing his only season in Texas and could be one of the first moves this off-season. Texas' reconstituted front office is hoping to avoid Kansas City's fate, and thinks Soriano could bring some pitching depth.

    "He can do everything. Except play baseball." That was the word from a Tigers team official on Carlos Guillen. Guillen will have knee surgery on Tuesday to repair a damaged--but not ruptured--right anterior cruciate ligament. The extent of the repairs will determine his prognosis; all early indications have him playing by spring training, but it is unclear if he'll be game ready at that point.

  • I'm not sure how many comparisons will be made between Greg Maddux and Scott Kazmir over the latter's career. I'm going to make one here at risk of sounding like an apologist. In 1987, Maddux was a rookie pitcher on the cusp of being returned to Iowa. Sure, he had potential but no results at that stage, showing little of the form that would make him one of the all-time greats. An Eric Show pitch left Andre Dawson bleeding in the dirt and Maddux didn't hesitate to put a fastball into Benito Santigo in the next inning. I won't advocate beanballs or team chemistry, but over and over, people around Maddux point to that moment as the one where he made The Leap. Kazmir did that on Tuesday, despite having given up nothing to the Red Sox. I still don't like Kazmir's mechanics and I'm not ready to call him a potential star, but I like moxie.

  • The Pirates can exhale now. The worst possible scenario would be Kip Wells following Sean Burnett onto the operating table. Instead, Jim Andrews saw Wells, and Wells came away with his old elbow intact. The bad news is that the diagnosis was severe tendonitis of the UCL, meaning Wells isn't in the clear yet. He won't be pitching this winter and the Pirates can only hope their ace is healthy in the spring.

  • Quick Cuts: Add Shannon Stewart to the list of Twins that's catching some rest this last week. He'll be back for a couple games and should be ready for the playoffs at as near 100% as anyone can be after a marathon season...If you're counting on much from the Padres this week, scale it back. They'll be out of the race soon--but it was a heck of a year--and a virus is making the rounds of the clubhouse. It's particularly nasty...Rod Barajas is out with back spasms, hurting the chances of the Rangers to make a late surge. They seem to have lost confidence in Gerald Laird as well...Expect an announcement on the Washington Federals to be made before Thursday. Stan Kasten, former Braves president, is a late entry for ownership, but could be a sudden favorite...Thanks, Peter...There's a lot of backstabbing and even frontstabbing coming from the Mets right now. Rick Peterson hasn't been hit by much mud yet, but it doesn't stop his critics from throwing it. He should just point to the talent he had to work with and the results of pitchers like Braden Looper to answer anything...Seriously, go get SMiLE right now. Something timeless can't be thirty-five years late.

0 comments have been left for this article.

No Previous Article
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Under The Knife: Getti... (09/27)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Under The Knife: Too M... (09/29)
No Next Article

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Live That Fantasy
Premium Article Pitching Backward: Brandon McCarthy and the ...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Bringing the Band Back...
Premium Article Raising Aces: Best and Worst Mechanics: NL W...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Catchin' Relief
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Martin in Miami, Nate ...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a St...

MORE FROM SEPTEMBER 28, 2004
D.C. At The Bat
Premium Article Prospectus Today: Three for the Road
Premium Article Prospectus Matchups: The Gerald Williams Mys...

MORE BY WILL CARROLL
2004-10-01 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Down to the Wire
2004-09-30 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Heartstopping
2004-09-29 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Too Much Good Stuff
2004-09-28 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Returns and Second Chances
2004-09-27 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Getting Set for October
2004-09-24 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Open Questions
2004-09-23 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Arms and the (Injury) Man
More...

MORE UNDER THE KNIFE
2004-10-01 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Down to the Wire
2004-09-30 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Heartstopping
2004-09-29 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Too Much Good Stuff
2004-09-28 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Returns and Second Chances
2004-09-27 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Getting Set for October
2004-09-24 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Open Questions
2004-09-23 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Arms and the (Injury) Man
More...