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March 2, 2017

Dynasty League Positional Rankings

The Top 175 Starting Pitchers

by Bret Sayre


We, at Baseball Prospectus, have been talking about starting pitchers for a while now (seven days and change to be exact, depending on when you are reading this) and the party continues to rage on. Yet before we rage, we shall calibrate—since rankings aren’t useful without knowing what you’re reading. The list you are about to read here presupposes a 16-team standard (read: 5x5 roto) dynasty format, in which there are no contracts/salaries, players can be kept forever, and owners have minor-league farm systems in which to hoard prospects. So feel free to adjust this as necessary for your individual league, whether it’s moving non-elite prospects without 2016 ETAs down if you don’t have separate farm teams or moving lower-risk, lower-reward players up in deeper mixed or -only formats.

Here’s how this one is going to work. There’s just so much here that I’m going to give a little longer of an introduction and then present the list without comment. I invite you all to ask whatever clarifying questions you have in the comments.

The dynasty landscape for pitchers is in a strange place right now, as we have our prototypical aces (and it’s a shorter list than usual), but the next wave of pitchers behind them has more warts than we’re used to seeing. Whether it’s due to the injury risk in should-be-aces like Carlos Carrasco or Stephen Strasburg, or the recent performance swings in Chris Archer and David Price. And with the rise in strikeouts across the league and decrease in innings thrown by starters, the aces as a whole tick up in value, which further frustrates with the should-be guys.


There’s really not a noticeable next wave coming either. We’ve got Noah Syndergaard. We had Jose Fernandez, until his tragic accident. Even some of the breakout guys from 2016 like Kyle Hendricks, Aaron Sanchez and Michael Fulmer don’t carry SP1 potential. Alex Reyes could have been a breakout candidate, but blew out his elbow a few weeks back. The best hope we have of increasing the upper tier is through comebacks by players who were once considered at that level. Gerrit Cole and Matt Harvey both still carry that upside, even though the latter will need to show he’s back to full strength first following surgery to for thoracic outlet syndrome. Zack Greinke went off the rails in 2016.

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<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Dynasty League Positio... (03/02)
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Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Dynasty League Positio... (03/09)
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Transaction Analysis: ... (03/02)

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