CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe
<< Previous Article
2017 Prospects: The To... (02/13)
<< Previous Column
Tale of the Tape: Elvi... (02/08)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Jose... (02/15)
Next Article >>
Players Prefer Present... (02/14)

February 14, 2017

Tale of the Tape

Khris Davis vs. Miguel Sano

by Alex Chamberlain


Bret shirked his duties of feeding me an angle for this because he was drafting in mixed-league LABR or some inexcusable nonsense like that. I took off my own training wheels and immediately noticed an interesting contrast between back-to-back outfield picks who could not be more similar: Khris Davis and Miguel Sano. At 24th and 25th among outfielders, respectively, and just outside the overall top 100 with about a 10-pick cushion between them, the two are virtually perfect substitutes in terms of price and skill set. In the tale of the tape, however, one must prevail. I always head into these things with a preconceived notion, but I try not to let it color my bias. I'll be fighting it strongly this time.

Batting Average

If a healthy Michael Brantley is the contemporary pinnacle of contact hitting, Davis is nearly his antithesis. Yet somehow Sano is worse. Only twice in 2016 did Sano's rolling 15-game average strikeout rate (K%) ever fall below Davis' full-season 27.7% rate, if that's any indication of how whiff-happy the former is. In Sano's defense, he actually recorded fewer swinging strikes than Davis did, and he chases bad pitches very infrequently for not only his hitting profile but all hitters. Unfortunately, he made the least amount of contact on such swings, making him all but helpless against a pitch that's not, for all intents and purposes, "good." Perhaps it's ironic, then, that I wasted so much digital breath when the difference could come down to BABIP -- which, for Sano, has hovered above .350 through his first 800-plus plate appearances. All that has to happen is Sano marginally improve and Davis marginally slip, but if the last two seasons are any indication, neither will happen. Advantage: Davis, barely

Runs

This surprised me: the Twins' offense (well, and its position-player defense, too) projects to be a good deal better than Brewers. A turd painted gold is still a turd, however, and both Minnesota and Oakland should be pretty bad offensive teams. Run-scoring opportunities should come few and far between, relatively speaking, and Davis has scored more runs per plate appearance than Sano has since the latter's debut. It's Sano's double-digit walk rate (BB%), then, that gives him the advantage, however slight it may be. Just don't count on either for much in this department. Advantage: Sano, barely

Home Runs

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Related Content:  Miguel Sano,  Fantasy,  Khris Davis

0 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
2017 Prospects: The To... (02/13)
<< Previous Column
Tale of the Tape: Elvi... (02/08)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Jose... (02/15)
Next Article >>
Players Prefer Present... (02/14)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Fantasy Article Dynasty Dynamics: Checking on Some Prospect ...
Fantasy Article Deep League Report: Week 8
What You Need to Know: Shutouts and Almost S...
Short Relief: Votto's Insult Comedy, Weaver'...
Premium Article The Call-Up: Sam Travis
Premium Article Rubbing Mud: Jake Arrieta's Broken Breaking ...
Banjo Hitter: Mike Trout's First 50 WARP

MORE FROM FEBRUARY 14, 2017
Premium Article 2017 Prospects: Top 101 Prospects: Just Miss...
Cold Takes: Pace of Play Isn't Going Away
Premium Article Liner Notes: Welcoming Instructional Design ...
Players Prefer Presentation: The Game I Didn...
Expert League Draft Recap: 2017 LABR Mixed
Fantasy Article Welcome to Splitsville: Outfielders
Fantasy Article Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Outfielders, Part O...

MORE BY ALEX CHAMBERLAIN
2017-03-17 - Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 124: Polarizi...
2017-03-10 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Players to Avoid: Relief Pitchers
2017-02-28 - Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Danny Salazar vs. Vincent ...
2017-02-14 - Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Khris Davis vs. Miguel San...
2017-02-07 - Tale of the Tape: Francisco Lindor vs. Jonat...
2017-01-31 - Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Nolan Arenado vs. Kris Bry...
2017-01-24 - Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Ian Kinsler vs. Jason Kipn...
More...

MORE TALE OF THE TAPE
2017-02-28 - Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Danny Salazar vs. Vincent ...
2017-02-16 - Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Andrew Benintendi vs. Noma...
2017-02-15 - Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Jose Bautista vs. Michael ...
2017-02-14 - Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Khris Davis vs. Miguel San...
2017-02-08 - Tale of the Tape: Elvis Andrus vs. Eduardo N...
2017-02-07 - Tale of the Tape: Francisco Lindor vs. Jonat...
2017-02-02 - Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Joey Gallo vs. Jake Lamb
More...