November 24, 1997
Diamondbacks Expansion Draft Analysis
We rate Arizona's expansion draft performance
Let's take a look through the roster by position:
White will obviously start in CF, which at this late date is not a good idea. White's range on defense has dropped, and his offensive skills, which were average for years, have dropped down into defensive-replacement calibre. There were better options available in the draft. Garcia and Dellucci are the two best ballplayers here, and both have the potential to be stars. Garcia's a low-OBP slugger, and Dellucci's a Rusty Greer-type player who could hold down CF in a pinch. Benitez has some power, but doesn't have anything else to offer. Given this crop, I'd start Garcia in RF, Dellucci in CF, trade White for whatever minimum salary I could get, and cherry-pick the minor league and Rule V drafts, which will certainly have better options than Devo.
An infield of Fryman/Bell/Batista/Lee could easily be the best in the NL West in '98. Batista and Lee could both have very surprising years. Batista is still young, fantastic with the glove, and has demonstrated the ability to hit for power and average in the minors. Bell is a consistent shortstop, and Fryman is an average hitter who chips in some good glovework at third. Park effects of playing in the high, dry air of Phoenix will likely make this bunch one of the best-looking infields in baseball.
Yecch. There were probably fifteen better options available in the expansion draft than both of these guys. [Doug Mirabelli, George Williams, Creighton Gubanich, etc.] Fabregas can't hit, and primarily for that reason, has an exaggerated reputation for handling pitchers. Never mind that all the pitchers he's handled haven't developed or performed any better while he's behind the plate. Miller hit well in his third year in Salt Lake City this year, at age 27. B>oth could be released before spring training with no damage to the club whatsoever.
A solid bunch of arms. Anderson, Suppan, and Daal all have a chance to be top-echelon starters. Other than that, this is a good bunch of pitchers drafted by an organization that understands that pitching prospects are inherently unpredictable. Without fail, they grabbed a pitcher that has a chance to be very good; each has been labelled a prospect at some point, and all have pretty good stuff. In particular, Lidle could turn in a fine career similar to Eric Plunk's. Sodowsky, Martin, Erdos, and Rodriguez are all likely to pan out to some degree, and Marty Janzen could succeed as either a starter or reliever.
Overall, the D-backs had a decent but not spectacular draft. A lot of available talent was ignored, and the emphasis on pitching, although popular with conventional wisdom, probably wasn't a good idea. The strategy should have been to maximize the total value of the players on the team, and there were a lot of excellent position players available or probably available who were not selected (speculation most notably on Frank Catalanotto and Tom Evans).