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August 22, 2014

Painting the Black

A Marlins Fastball, A Twins Approach

by R.J. Anderson


Before Jose Fernandez's UCL popped, he was enjoying a fantastic sophomore season. He'd tallied nearly twice as many strikeouts as hits allowed, and five times as many strikeouts as walks. He'd surrendered just four home runs, or about one every 13 innings, leaving him with a shiny 2.44 ERA. Yet, for as good as Fernandez's season was, if he qualified he wouldn't lead the Marlins rotation in ERA—that honor would go instead to Henderson Alvarez and his 2.43 mark.

Alvarez, who returned on Saturday after missing two weeks with shoulder inflammation, has turned his career around following his trade to the Marlins the winter before last. Since then, he ranks 12th in ERA+ and 28th in FIP among pitchers with at least 200 innings. Alvarez isn't better than Fernandez—everyone knows that—but he's easy to overlook due to an unusual profile. Compared to other starters, Alvarez has one of the worst strikeout rates, best groundball rates, and quickest fastballs around. He is, in a sense, the ideal Twins pitcher, except with the ideal Marlins pitcher velocity.
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Related Content:  Minnesota Twins,  Miami Marlins

6 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

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ChicagoOriole

Looks like a guy who would benefit from being an Oriole.

Aug 22, 2014 05:02 AM
rating: 2
 
Matthew W

Not to quibble, but if you remove the start where Fernandez actually Tore his UCL, he's numbers are significantly lower.

Aug 22, 2014 06:22 AM
rating: 0
 
LeafontheWind

That's quibbling.

Aug 22, 2014 08:23 AM
rating: 4
 
Matthew W

Not Really, his ERA was 1.73 before he tore his UCL.

Aug 23, 2014 04:13 AM
rating: -2
 
HelicopterSunday

"Something else that could be altered in time: Alvarez's team"


I think that could said about the majority of players.

Aug 22, 2014 11:40 AM
rating: 0
 
tomter

Where did you find the data on how Alvarez and the Marlins defended ground balls?

Aug 22, 2014 12:45 PM
rating: 0
 
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<< Previous Article
Transaction Analysis: ... (08/22)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Painting the Black: Da... (08/15)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Painting the Black: Th... (09/05)
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Fantasy Article Interleague Report: We... (08/25)

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