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August 19, 2014

Deep Impact

Week 20

by Ben Carsley


525,600 intros.

Mookie Betts, OF/2B, Red Sox
For the third time this season, Betts finds himself as a member of the Boston Red Sox. This time, his promotion very well could be permanent, as the 21-year-old has continued to mash at the Triple-A level while his MLB counterpart, Jackie Bradley Jr., ranked as one of the worst hitters in the majors. Bradley should be stuck in Pawtucket until September, and even then, the Sox are unlikely to want to stifle Betts’ development, so it looks like fantasy owners have been gifted an interesting, useful outfielder for the remainder of the season.

There’s nothing in Betts’ minor-league numbers that suggests he won’t get on base and run a little bit in the majors right away. He’s walked in about 13 percent of his PA between Double-A and Triple-A this year while striking out about 11 percent of the time. Betts has a swing geared for consistent, hard line-drive contact, and he has excellent plate discipline to boot.

Those are skills that generally translate well to the majors sooner than later—as opposed to, say, extreme power or speed. I don’t expect Betts to leave the yard often this season, but if he gets 100 PA the rest of the way, two homers, six or seven steals, and a dozen-plus runs and RBI are well within his reach. There aren’t a lot of outfielders likely to be promoted with more upside remaining, so feel free to bid a significant portion of your FAAB on him.

Trevor May, RHP, Twins
May was a big-name prospect back with the Phillies a few years ago, and when you see his pure stuff, it’s not hard to understand why. May has the arsenal to miss bats and get outs at the big-league level, and his move from Philadelphia to Minnesota before the 2013 season was generally a positive one for his fantasy value. After a pretty decent year in Triple-A, May’s now earned some starts in the Twins’ MLB rotation.

This does not, however, mean you should be buying May in deep leagues. Yes, his 23.5 percent strikeout rate and 2.84 ERA in Triple-A are attractive. But May is still far too prone to losing the strike zone at a moment’s notice, and while he comes with considerable strikeout upside, he comes with massive, WHIP- and ERA-crushing downside, too. We saw a bit of that in May’s first start, when he walked seven batters in two-plus innings, and he’s already walked four more in 4 2/3 innings tonight as I write this.

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<< Previous Article
Daily League Strategy:... (08/19)
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Fantasy Article Deep Impact: Week 19 (08/12)
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Fantasy Article Deep Impact: Week 21 (08/26)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article The Stash List: 18th E... (08/19)

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