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June 26, 2014

BP Top 50

Albert Almora vs. Stephen Piscotty

by Chris Mellen, Jeff Moore and Nick J. Faleris


Links to Other BP Top 50 Debates

Tim Anderson vs. J.P. Crawford | Daniel Norris vs. Jose Berrios

The Rules
Rather than re-printing the BP Prospect Team Midseason Top 50 debates—much of which involves discussion of multiple players at the same time—we thought it would be interesting to call out some of the more interesting pairings among players in consideration for the #BPTop50 and allow an advocate for each to make his case for why that player should be ranked ahead of the other.

In each case, the BP Prospect Team member advocating on behalf of a prospect may or may not ultimately prefer that prospect, but in any event has agreed to argue that prospect’s case for purposes of this series. It’s a good reminder that the differences in value between players on these rankings is sometimes quite small, and in most cases a strong case can be made for ranking players in any number of combinations.

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11 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

JohnnyFive

The "Wrap" refers to the Norris/Berrios discussion. It doesn't summarize the Piscotty/Almora article that it's actually attached to.

Jun 26, 2014 09:30 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Nick Faleris
BP staff

Thanks; editing has been notified.

Jun 26, 2014 10:50 AM
 
bisanders
(329)

In this exercise, it's always fun to see how the sausage is made. Thanks for sharing these, guys.

My question for Chris would be what is Almora's upside? If it's significantly higher than Piscotty's, there's a strong case to be made for preferring Almora. I note, though, that BP's pre-season Top 10's summarized Almora's OFP as a role 6 player, with a high-5 most likely. The Piscotty assessment was identical on both counts.

If they're expected to be of comparable future overall value, it's tough for me to buy that the younger, riskier (and currently struggling) prospect deserves to be ranked higher.

Jun 26, 2014 13:25 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Chris Mellen
BP staff

I peg Almora's OFP as a 6, and as I mentioned in my opener that if everything comes together we could be talking about a potential third place hitter at peak. I see Piscotty's OFP as more of a High-5 over the long-haul, with the realistic career projection of about a solid-average regular.

Jun 26, 2014 16:53 PM
 
evo34
Other readers have rated this comment below the viewing threshold. Click here to view anyway.

Why not just save the drama, and have a top 50 list which is updated weekly?

Jun 27, 2014 01:24 AM
rating: -5
 
Pat Folz

Because the number is less interesting than the reasoning by a factor of 1000000000.03.

Jun 27, 2014 03:31 AM
rating: 3
 
BP staff member Jason Parks
BP staff

We like drama.

Jun 28, 2014 17:54 PM
 
roarke

Given the Cardinals organizational makeup right now, Piscotty looks like a trade chip and I would guess that his value may never be higher than at this trade deadline. I like his bat and I think he'll be a solid player, but probably not for the Cardinals.

That being said, I think I'd take Almora over him beause of the tools and potential (and because I'm a foolish optimist). It is certainly a closer call than you would have thought before the season, but I'd give the slight edge to Almora.

Jun 27, 2014 07:51 AM
rating: 0
 
Myles Handley

And they'll be on same team when the Cards trade for Shark :(

Jun 27, 2014 08:07 AM
rating: 0
 
spncrpatterson

Jeff,

You said that when you're rating prospects one of the things you look at is that particular player's value to his organization. Why is that? I get that some systems may be stronger/weaker than others and players therefore might have a different impact, but that doesn't really affect their tools or floor/ceiling.

Jun 27, 2014 09:15 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Jeff Moore
BP staff

The way I see it, these rankings are, in a sense, the order in which we would take these players were they all subject to a draft. Ceiling is the biggest factor, as we're talking about players whose developmental years are, for the most part, still ahead of them and the goal is to draft the players whose are not currently the best, but who will become the best. Despite this goal, however, there's something to be said for certainty. High ceiling players are nice, but there is value in the player who is more of a sure thing. Look at what the Cardinals have in Marco Gonzales. He's not the highest ceiling guy, but they felt certain enough about him to call him up a year after he got drafted. From an organizational standpoint, there is a financial value in that. Organizations make some of their decisions based on prospects. The Pirates didn't sign an outfielder this winter because of Gregory Polanco. In this case, Almora is a fantastic prospect, but he's not enough of a sure thing or close enough to the majors for the Cubs to make personnel decisions based on his ability. Piscotty is. That's why I have to factor value into rankings with certain players.

Jun 27, 2014 09:21 AM
 
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