CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

<< Previous Article
Behind the Curtain: Hu... (05/21)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: My ... (05/19)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Rep... (05/22)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article TTO Scoresheet Podcast... (05/22)

May 22, 2014

Fantasy Freestyle

Dallas Keuchel: Sell-High Candidate?

by Craig Goldstein


Last week, I took the opportunity that the Fantasy Freestyle affords us to look at one of the hotter pitching names in the early going: Nathan Eovaldi. This week I thought it prudent to take a similar look at another starter that is burning up the waiver wires and getting a lot of love from the internetting baseball community (in fact he was just profiled by Mike Petriello yesterday). We look at Dallas Keuchel on the heels of the latest sterling performance in a string of many. His eight and two-thirds inning performance left him one out shy of a second consecutive complete game. He lowered his ERA from 3.06 to 2.92 and he induced 18 ground balls, a season-high, snapping a streak of three straight games where he induced 15 ground balls.

Keuchel’s emergence as a high quality rotation option is as surprising as he’s been dominant. As a minor leaguer he never once cracked a 20 percent strikeout rate. Last year he checked in at 18 percent and this year he’s upped his game to just under 23 percent. He’s paired that impressive knack for improvement with a diminishing walk rate, going from 10.3 percent in 2012 to 7.6 percent last year to five percent thus far in 2014. Where he really sets himself apart though, is in his batted ball profile. Keuchel is generating ground balls at a 67.7 percent clip. For frame of reference Justin Masterson, as elite a ground ball starting pitcher as there is topped out at just under 60 percent in 2010, and even then his fly ball rate was five percentage points higher than Keuchel’s is now.

We can’t just sit here and cry “regression” though. Keuchel has always been a grou

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Related Content:  Fantasy,  Dallas Keuchel

1 comment has been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Behind the Curtain: Hu... (05/21)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: My ... (05/19)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Rep... (05/22)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article TTO Scoresheet Podcast... (05/22)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Live That Fantasy
Premium Article Pitching Backward: Brandon McCarthy and the ...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Bringing the Band Back...
Premium Article Raising Aces: Best and Worst Mechanics: NL W...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Catchin' Relief
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Martin in Miami, Nate ...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a St...

MORE FROM MAY 22, 2014
Baseball ProGUESTus: An Ode to the Double Pl...
Premium Article Skewed Left: Dallas Keuchel Defies his Desti...
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May...
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week Eight
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Representativeness, Valua...
Fantasy Article Closer to Me: Week Eight
Fantasy Article TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Running a Scoresheet...

MORE BY CRAIG GOLDSTEIN
2014-05-28 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Will Carlos Santana Heat ...
2014-05-27 - Fantasy Article Dynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part Thre...
2014-05-23 - TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 18: That's...
2014-05-22 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Dallas Keuchel: Sell-High...
2014-05-20 - Fantasy Article Dynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part Two
2014-05-16 - TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 17 - Mooki...
2014-05-14 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Nathan Eovaldi: Great or ...
More...

MORE FANTASY FREESTYLE
2014-05-28 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Success Stories in the En...
2014-05-28 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Will Carlos Santana Heat ...
2014-05-22 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Representativeness, Valua...
2014-05-22 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Dallas Keuchel: Sell-High...
2014-05-19 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: My Closer Lost His Job an...
2014-05-15 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: The Middle of the Road
2014-05-14 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Nathan Eovaldi: Great or ...
More...

INCOMING ARTICLE LINKS
2014-07-30 - Fantasy Article Dynasty Dynamics: Who We're Selling at the D...