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May 16, 2014

PECOTA Takes on Prospects

UPSIDE at Second Base

by Andrew Koo


Series introduction and methodology
Previous positions: Catcher | First Base

Here’s a chart of production by position in 2013:

Position

PA

TAv

WARP

1B

20581

.281

63.6

2B

20638

.261

63.0

Last week, I talked about the offense required from first basemen to offset their negative positional adjustment. This week, we explore second base, whose occupants hit 20 points of True Average worse last season but produced the same total WARP. This demonstrates the defensive gap we’re familiar with while also illustrating the low offensive bar for second basemen. One needed to produce a TAv of only .261 while playing average defense to be a “league average” second baseman last year (league-average TAv is always scaled to be .260). Gregor Blanco personified the league average hitter in 2013—and he had the 114th-best TAv out of 141 qualified batters.

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Related Content:  Prospects,  Minor Leagues,  PECOTA,  UPSIDE

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