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May 6, 2014

The Stash List

Fourth Edition

by Bret Sayre


The worst thing for a player who is performing at a high level in the minor leagues is to have a player (or players) ahead of him who is also getting the job done. This goes triple for position players, as a starting pitching prospect will force his way in there if his performance dictates that he deserves a job. If you look at the top names on this list (specifically the first five prospects), part of the reason why they are so prominently ranked is that they are significantly better from a talent perspective than what is ahead of them on the depth chart. Those five players, who are potentially going to be phased out, are (roughly) Travis Snider, Jon Jay, Luis Valbuena, Marc Krauss, and Cody Asche. Those are not impediments, they are placeholders.

The waters get much more murky when you have a player like Alexander Guerrero, who from a talent and performance standpoint should probably get a shot at major league playing time, but is behind Dee Gordon on the depth chart. Normally this wouldn’t be a huge obstacle, but Gordon (and his .385 on-base percentage) has been one of the best leadoff hitters in baseball this season. So while Guerrero ends up in the Honorable Mention section again because he would likely get the call in the event of a Gordon injury, that’s a much less likely outcome than a near replacement player playing like a near replacement level player.

Adding to the potential drama, Los Angeles also has Joc Pederson, who would be getting a ton of hype (and possibly a top-five spot on this list) if he weren’t behind a full outfield in Los Angeles. Of course, that didn’t stop Yasiel Puig in 2013, but with the money owed that collective bunch, the likely outcome of this scenario is Pederson getting a September cup of coffee before the Dodgers are forced to fix their glut of outfielders in the off-season. Sure, an Andre Ethier trade would help, but it would have to happen in congress with a Carl Crawford injury for it to even matter to Pederson—making it a two-step process. And the odds of a player just getting to the majors in that situation, let alone performing at a level worth owning in mixed leagues, is just not attractive enough yet.

So without any further ado, here is The Stash List 4.0:

The Graduates: Jacob Turner (19), Robbie Ray (20)

1) Gregory Polanco, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates (Previous Rank: 1)
Nothing much has changed here, Polanco is still raking in Triple-A and he still is extremely likely to have to wait until June to start showing what he can do at the major league level. On a nice note, Polanco is now 5-for-6 in his last half-dozen stolen-base attempts after starting the season successful just 1-for-4.

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27 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

jaked2782

it may be just me but im not really excited about any of these guys this year..i doubt anybody on this list contributes significantly to our fantasy teams until august at the earliest.. i guess its just a down year of sorts but thanks for putting this together always a fun read!

May 06, 2014 05:01 AM
rating: -2
 
BPKevin

I think a lot of people have been spoiled with Trout, Jose Fernandes and a few others. Prospects don't usually contribute highly right away, so I think expectations have been set too high.
Personally, I 've been hoping Alex Meyer gained a little more control because I think he and Kevin Gausman can contribute as soon as they are up.
I'm in two rather deep leagues, so this information is extremely helpful.
In the one AL only league, I've already stashed Jesus Montero and wondered if you think Jesus Aguilar or Johann Santana is worth an "outside of honorable mention" stash?
Thank you

May 06, 2014 06:38 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Jesus Aguilar? Is this RotoLando?

I wouldn't bother with either guy, as their odds of making the roster (and then making an impact) is very small. I'd have to be in either a very deep mixed or AL-only format to do that.

May 06, 2014 06:57 AM
 
Gumby

Don't sleep on Cody Allen, people. The time is coming.

May 06, 2014 06:51 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

My love for Cody Allen is known far and wide across this kingdom. Unfortunately, he's too widely owned to make this list. :(

May 06, 2014 06:58 AM
 
Gumby

If he's even more widely known than Polanco and Baez, then you're to blame, Bret! :)

May 06, 2014 08:04 AM
rating: 0
 
Gumby

er, "owned"

May 06, 2014 08:04 AM
rating: 0
 
Gumby

And just as an additional data point: I realize one size does not fit all league-to-league, but in CBS it looks like Polanco is 70% owned while Allen is at 26%.

May 06, 2014 08:06 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Mike Gianella
BP staff

CBS, Yahoo, and ESPN draw from different pools of owners. CBS seems to have more only and dynasty leagues which skews ownership percentages up. ESPN has a lot of standard mixed, which by their definition is a 10-team league.

May 06, 2014 09:27 AM
 
BP staff member Ben Carsley
BP staff

How do you feel about Matt Lindstrom?

May 06, 2014 07:13 AM
 
AJ

Coconut Crab for the All-Star Game!

May 06, 2014 08:00 AM
rating: 1
 
spundin

Josh Willingham considered?

May 06, 2014 08:16 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Was on the list last week, but dropped off due to setbacks with his recovery. He'll be back one he gets a little closer, as the age and nature of the injury (wrist--which is never good for a power hitter) provide a few question marks.

May 06, 2014 09:44 AM
 
Schere

No chance that Kris Bryant gets a call before September, huh?

May 06, 2014 08:28 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Maybe August if you are super optimistic, but I'd be very surprised if he makes any sort of fantasy impact in 2014. The Cubs are still in the evaluation stage with some of their major league roster, including Olt--plus he's behind Baez and Alcantara for a promotion. On top of that, he needs more reps at 3B to see whether he can play the position at the major league level. The guy hasn't even played 100 pro games yet (including the AFL), let's all just take a breath.

May 06, 2014 09:41 AM
 
cnote66

Awesome article -- part of my "must read" from this site. Keep up the excellent work!

May 06, 2014 08:39 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Thanks!

May 06, 2014 09:42 AM
 
JPinPhilly

I don't buy the 4-6 week range for Franco. Sandberg & Co. seem to be giving Asche every opportunity to prove himself and Franco is still only 21 years-old and not really in need of a push. I think he's gonna spend a bit more time in AAA this year.

May 06, 2014 08:56 AM
rating: 0
 
frqtflyr

Seconding the Bryant question. Yes, he strikes out at an alarming (albeit not Gallo-esque) rate, but wouldn't he be an instant upgrade over Olt and company? He wouldn't be the first player to jump from AA. Yet he hasn't made this list, even as a honorable mention, since you started, despite his light-tower power.

May 06, 2014 09:35 AM
rating: -2
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

The point is that it doesn't matter. The Cubs want to see what they have in Olt. They can't do that if he's in Triple-A or on the bench. What's the rush to get Bryant up anyway? It's not like he doesn't have things he needs to work on in the minors.

May 06, 2014 09:47 AM
 
aswnylaw

Brett, this is the most entertaining and informative fantasy baseball article out there. I look forward to it every week. Thanks for the insights!

May 06, 2014 09:39 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Thanks!

May 06, 2014 10:03 AM
 
LynchMob

Did you consider Kyle Blanks for this list?

May 06, 2014 15:43 PM
rating: 0
 
bpars3

What happened to Matt Davidson? Is he continuing his rough start? Thanks.

May 06, 2014 16:12 PM
rating: 0
 
Robbber

Lambo? He's hitting a ton just now.

May 06, 2014 18:22 PM
rating: 0
 
Gregantell1

Did you consider Bundy for this list as his rehab progresses?

Thank you.

May 06, 2014 18:27 PM
rating: 0
 
JustinRKlein

I'm curious to know where you feel Miguel Sano fits in. I am holding him in dynasty, but I'm competing this year (currently in first) and every roster spot counts. I've already been forced to drop Nova and Taillon because of DL issues as well (Kipnis, Eaton, Taijuan).

I have Arenado at 3B along with Castellanos and Bogaerts in the mix as well, so my future at 3B isn't as bleak as it once was (Headley).

Currently stashing Heaney and Gausman along with the recently called up Stroman FWIW.

May 07, 2014 15:28 PM
rating: 0
 
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<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Dynasty Dynamics: AL E... (05/06)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article The Stash List: Third ... (04/29)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article The Stash List: Fifth ... (05/13)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Minor League Update: G... (05/06)

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